United States presidential election in Montana, 2016

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United States presidential election in Montana, 2016

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout 74.44% Increase

  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Gary Johnson June 2016.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Gary Johnson
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Home state New York New York New Mexico
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine William Weld
Electoral vote 3 0 0
Popular vote 279,240 177,709 28,037
Percentage 56.2% 35.7% 5.6%

Montana Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County results

Montana 2016 presidential results by county.png
Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Montana was won by Republican Donald Trump and running mate Mike Pence, on November 8, 2016, with 56.2% of the vote, as part of the 2016 general election. Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine received 35.7% of the vote.[1] Montana assigns all of its three Electoral votes to the winner of the state's popular vote.

The Montana primary was on June 7, 2016, selecting nominees for the two major parties, as well as the Libertarian Party. Registered members of each party may only vote in their party's primary, while voters who are unaffiliated may choose any one primary in which to vote.

Trump's margin was 20.5 percentage points, exceeding Mitt Romney's 13.7 point win in 2012, and John McCain's 2.4 point win in 2008. Republicans have won Montana in every presidential election since 1996. Libertarian nominee and third-party candidate Gary Johnson received 5.6% of the vote.

Primary elections[edit]

Democratic primary[edit]

Four candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:

Montana Democratic primary, June 7, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 65,156 51.56% 11 1 12
Hillary Clinton 55,805 44.16% 10 5 15
No Preference 5,415 4.28% 0 0 0
Uncommitted N/A 0 0 0
Total 126,376 100% 21 6 27
Source: The Green Papers, Montana Secretary of State - Official Primary Results

Republican primary[edit]

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

Montana Republican primary, June 7, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump 115,594 73.68% 27 0 27
Ted Cruz (withdrawn) 14,682 9.36% 0 0 0
John Kasich (withdrawn) 10,777 6.87% 0 0 0
No preference 7,369 4.70% 0 0 0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn) 5,192 3.31% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 3,274 2.09% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 156,888 100.00% 27 0 27
Source: The Green Papers

Results[edit]

Results by county[edit]

Preliminary general election results for president as of 14 December 2016 by county, excluding 2,623 write-in votes.[2]

County Candidate
Trump Clinton Johnson Stein De La Fuente Total
Beaverhead percent 69.15% 23.57% 5.47% 1.44% 0.37% 100.00%
votes 3,353 1,143 265 70 18 4,849
Big Horn percent 43.87% 49.57% 4.38% 1.68% 0.50% 100.00%
votes 1,853 2,094 185 71 21 4,224
Blaine percent 47.47% 45.00% 3.82% 2.73% 0.97% 100.00%
votes 1,268 1,202 102 73 26 2,671
Broadwater percent 74.97% 18.30% 5.40% 1.18% 0.16% 100.00%
votes 2,348 573 169 37 5 3,132
Carbon percent 62.81% 30.64% 5.14% 1.17% 0.23% 100.00%
votes 3,748 1,828 307 70 14 5,967
Carter percent 87.03% 8.99% 3.08% 0.77% 0.13% 100.00%
votes 678 70 24 6 1 779
Cascade percent 57.10% 35.41% 5.81% 1.30% 0.39% 100.00%
votes 19,632 12,175 1,996 446 135 34,384
Chouteau percent 64.85% 28.27% 5.06% 1.43% 0.39% 100.00%
votes 1,679 732 131 37 10 2,589
Custer percent 70.53% 22.68% 5.82% 0.68% 0.29% 100.00%
votes 3,657 1,176 302 35 15 5,185
Daniels percent 76.44% 17.59% 5.34% 0.63% 0.00% 100.00%
votes 730 168 51 6 0 955
Dawson percent 76.66% 18.17% 4.25% 0.76% 0.16% 100.00%
votes 3,320 787 184 33 7 4,331
Deer Lodge percent 42.04% 49.07% 6.58% 1.76% 0.55% 100.00%
votes 1,763 2,058 276 74 23 4,194
Fallon percent 86.19% 10.38% 3.03% 0.27% 0.13% 100.00%
votes 1,279 154 45 4 2 1,484
Fergus percent 73.10% 20.58% 5.17% 0.89% 0.26% 100.00%
votes 4,269 1,202 302 52 15 5,840
Flathead percent 65.04% 28.59% 4.73% 1.41% 0.23% 100.00%
votes 30,240 13,293 2,199 656 106 46,494
Gallatin percent 44.66% 45.50% 7.53% 1.99% 0.32% 100.00%
votes 23,802 24,246 4,015 1,061 168 53,292
Garfield percent 91.20% 4.75% 3.77% 0.14% 0.14% 100.00%
votes 653 34 27 1 1 716
Glacier percent 32.01% 61.67% 4.01% 1.88% 0.43% 100.00%
votes 1,620 3,121 203 95 22 5,061
Golden Valley percent 77.49% 15.07% 6.16% 0.64% 0.64% 100.00%
votes 365 71 29 3 3 471
Granite percent 67.15% 26.59% 4.68% 1.41% 0.17% 100.00%
votes 1,192 472 83 25 3 1,775
Hill percent 54.12% 36.90% 6.82% 1.84% 0.33% 100.00%
votes 3,478 2,371 438 118 21 6,426
Jefferson percent 62.64% 29.96% 5.91% 1.12% 0.36% 100.00%
votes 4,177 1,998 394 75 24 6,668
Judith Basin percent 72.61% 19.57% 6.58% 1.00% 0.25% 100.00%
votes 872 235 79 12 3 1,201
Lake percent 57.44% 36.43% 4.07% 1.75% 0.31% 100.00%
votes 7,530 4,776 534 229 41 13,110
Lewis and Clark percent 49.34% 42.28% 6.45% 1.63% 0.30% 100.00%
votes 16,895 14,478 2,210 559 103 34,245
Liberty percent 73.01% 21.55% 4.92% 0.21% 0.31% 100.00%
votes 698 206 47 2 3 956
Lincoln percent 72.48% 21.98% 4.27% 1.03% 0.24% 100.00%
votes 6,729 2,041 396 96 22 9,284
Madison percent 69.51% 24.88% 4.11% 1.22% 0.27% 100.00%
votes 3,297 1,180 195 58 13 4,743
McCone percent 81.32% 14.53% 3.49% 0.66% 0.00% 100.00%
votes 862 154 37 7 0 1,060
Meagher percent 74.77% 19.79% 4.21% 1.03% 0.21% 100.00%
votes 729 193 41 10 2 975
Mineral percent 66.40% 25.91% 5.39% 1.75% 0.55% 100.00%
votes 1,330 519 108 35 11 2,003
Missoula percent 37.70% 53.44% 5.69% 2.89% 0.29% 100.00%
votes 22,250 31,543 3,357 1,704 172 59,026
Musselshell percent 81.42% 13.74% 3.89% 0.75% 0.21% 100.00%
votes 1,967 332 94 18 5 2,416
Park percent 53.51% 38.63% 5.37% 2.15% 0.33% 100.00%
votes 4,980 3,595 500 200 31 9,306
Petroleum percent 86.34% 9.32% 3.73% 0.31% 0.31% 100.00%
votes 278 30 12 1 1 322
Phillips percent 79.73% 14.72% 4.58% 0.88% 0.09% 100.00%
votes 1,723 318 99 19 2 2,161
Pondera percent 66.24% 27.17% 4.97% 1.25% 0.37% 100.00%
votes 1,799 738 135 34 10 2,716
Powder River percent 84.11% 12.08% 3.71% 0.10% 0.00% 100.00%
votes 884 127 39 1 0 1,051
Powell percent 72.62% 19.72% 5.83% 1.47% 0.36% 100.00%
votes 2,029 551 163 41 10 2,794
Prairie percent 80.70% 14.51% 4.35% 0.15% 0.29% 100.00%
votes 556 100 30 1 2 689
Ravalli percent 66.28% 27.85% 4.44% 1.17% 0.27% 100.00%
votes 14,810 6,223 992 261 60 22,346
Richland percent 80.63% 13.84% 4.93% 0.47% 0.12% 100.00%
votes 3,908 671 239 23 6 4,847
Roosevelt percent 49.26% 42.76% 4.93% 2.60% 0.44% 100.00%
votes 1,797 1,560 180 95 16 3,648
Rosebud percent 65.49% 28.69% 4.42% 0.96% 0.44% 100.00%
votes 2,253 987 152 33 15 3,440
Sanders percent 72.52% 20.61% 5.06% 1.59% 0.22% 100.00%
votes 4,286 1,218 299 94 13 5,910
Sheridan percent 67.74% 26.04% 5.02% 1.09% 0.11% 100.00%
votes 1,241 477 92 20 2 1,832
Silver Bow percent 38.79% 52.43% 6.43% 1.78% 0.57% 100.00%
votes 6,376 8,619 1,057 293 94 16,439
Stillwater percent 75.24% 18.66% 5.16% 0.72% 0.23% 100.00%
votes 3,661 908 251 35 11 4,866
Sweet Grass percent 75.95% 19.14% 3.67% 1.10% 0.14% 100.00%
votes 1,595 402 77 23 3 2,100
Teton percent 68.26% 25.42% 5.10% 0.85% 0.38% 100.00%
votes 2,170 808 162 27 12 3,179
Toole percent 73.74% 19.80% 4.73% 1.43% 0.30% 100.00%
votes 1,497 402 96 29 6 2,030
Treasure percent 79.23% 13.32% 5.87% 1.35% 0.23% 100.00%
votes 351 59 26 6 1 443
Valley percent 69.61% 22.86% 6.04% 1.14% 0.36% 100.00%
votes 2,698 886 234 44 14 3,876
Wheatland percent 74.36% 18.96% 4.56% 1.48% 0.64% 100.00%
votes 702 179 43 14 6 944
Wibaux percent 86.22% 10.24% 3.35% 0.00% 0.19% 100.00%
votes 463 55 18 0 1 537
Yellowstone percent 59.70% 32.35% 6.30% 1.31% 0.35% 100.00%
votes 40,920 22,171 4,316 898 239 68,544
Total percent* 56.47% 35.94% 5.67% 1.61% 0.32% 100.00%
votes* 279,240 177,709 28,037 7,970 1,570 494,526*

* Excludes 2,623 write-in votes

Analysis[edit]

Like every Republican nominee since 1996, Donald Trump carried Montana's three electoral votes. He won by a large margin, and he swept most of the plains counties in eastern Montana, traditionally the most conservative part of the state, by staggering margins sometimes exceeding 60 points. The eastern part of the state has benefitted from the recent energy boom in neighboring North Dakota, and its populace is suspect of the environmental movement championed by Democrats in recent elections.

Counties in the western part of the state are also traditionally Republican, with a ranching-based economy heavily dependent on the raising and production of cattle and hay, particularly in the counties bordering Idaho such as Beaverhead County and Ravalli County. However, an influx of retirees from the West Coast have made the western region more competitive in recent elections.[3]

The only significant counties won by Clinton were Missoula County where the city of Missoula is located, and Big Horn County and Glacier County, which are both majority Native American. While sweeping most of the rural, majority white conservative counties of the state, Trump also won in Lewis and Clark County where the capital city of Helena is located, in neighboring Cascade County where Great Falls is located, and in Yellowstone County where the city of Billings is located.[4]

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Montana Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 11, 2016. 
  2. ^ 2016 Statewide General Election Canvass (PDF) Montana Secretary Of State Linda McCulloch. Accessed December 14, 2016.
  3. ^ Cohen, Micah (2012-06-21). "Presidential Geography: Montana". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2016-11-26. 
  4. ^ "Montana Election Results 2016". Retrieved 2016-11-26. 

External links[edit]