United States presidential election in Iowa, 2016

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United States presidential election in Iowa, 2016

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout 72.77% Decrease

 
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 800,983 653,669
Percentage 51.15% 41.74%

Iowa Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County Results


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Iowa was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Iowa voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

Both parties' caucuses were held on February 1, 2016.[1]

Donald Trump won the election in Iowa with 51.1% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 41.7% of the vote.[2] Trump carried Iowa by the largest margin of any Republican candidate since Ronald Reagan in 1980. Trump enjoyed the support of working-class whites in the agricultural industry, as well as the endorsements of Iowa's GOP establishment.[3][4] The difference of 9.4% points was the largest winning margin for Trump in a state that had voted for Barack Obama in 2012. He carried 93 out of 99 counties, the most for a Republican presidential nominee since 1980. This was the first time since 1988 Iowa didn't go for the winner of the popular vote.

Background[edit]

The incumbent President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected to the presidency in 2008, running with U.S. Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote,[5][6] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes.[7] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40 and 50 percent for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year.[8][9] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for President Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa.[10]

Following his second term, President Obama is not eligible for another re-election. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and two-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic presidential nomination either.[11] With their term expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate is asked to elect a new president, the 45th president and 48th vice president of the United States, respectively.

Caucuses[edit]

Democratic caucus[edit]

Procedure[edit]

There is no ballot; instead, a unique form of debate and groupings chose delegates to county conventions supporting Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, and Bernie Sanders. The Iowa Democratic Party does not release vote counts or the numbers of these delegates.

Results of the Democratic caucuses by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders
  Tie
e • d Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Iowa, 2016
– Summary of results –
Candidate State delegate equivalents Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
America Symbol.svg Hillary Clinton 700.47 49.84% 23 6 29
Bernie Sanders 696.92 49.59% 21 0 21
Martin O'Malley 7.63 0.54% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 0.46 0.03% 0 1 1
Total 1,405.48 100% 44 7 51
Source: The Green Papers, Iowa Democrats

County Conventions[edit]

In early March, the delegates chosen in the Caucuses met chose delegates to the Congressional District Conventions.

Republican caucus[edit]

Election results by county.
  Ted Cruz
  Donald Trump
  Marco Rubio
  Tie between Cruz and Trump
Iowa Republican precinct caucuses, February 1, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
America Symbol.svg Ted Cruz 51,666 27.64% 8 0 8
Donald Trump 45,427 24.3% 7 0 7
Marco Rubio 43,165 23.12% 7 0 7
Ben Carson 17,395 9.3% 3 0 3
Rand Paul 8,481 4.54% 1 0 1
Jeb Bush 5,238 2.8% 1 0 1
Carly Fiorina 3,485 1.86% 1 0 1
John Kasich 3,474 1.86% 1 0 1
Mike Huckabee 3,345 1.79% 1 0 1
Chris Christie 3,284 1.76% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum 1,783 0.95% 0 0 0
Other 117 0.06% 0 0 0
Jim Gilmore 12 0.01% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 186,932 100.00% 30 0 30
Source: "Iowa". cnn.com. Retrieved 23 November 2016. 

Polling[edit]

General election[edit]

United States presidential election in Iowa, 2016
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 800,983 51.2% 6
Democratic Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 653,669 41.7% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson William Weld 59,186 3.8% 0
Independent Evan McMullin Nathan Johnson 12,366 0.8% 0
Green Jill Stein Ajamu Baraka 11,479 0.7% 0
Constitution Darrell Castle Scott Bradley 5,335 0.3% 0
New Independent Lynn Kahn Jay Stolba 2,247 0.1% 0
Legal Marijuana Now Dan Vacek Mark Elworth 2,246 0.1% 0
Independent Rocky De La Fuente Michael Steinberg 451 0.0% 0
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva Dennis J. Banks 323 0.0% 0
Totals 1,566,031 100.0% 6
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 72.0%
Source: Iowa Secretary of State

By county[edit]

County Trump Trump
 %
Clinton Clinton
 %
Johnson Johnson
 %
Others Others
 % %
Total
Adair 2,461 64.58% 1,133 29.73% 127 3.33% 90 2.36% 3,811
Adams 1,395 66.24% 565 26.83% 93 4.42% 53 2.51% 2,106
Allamakee 4,093 59.12% 2,421 34.97% 227 3.28% 182 2.63% 6,923
Appanoose 4,033 65.73% 1,814 29.56% 139 2.27% 150 2.44% 6,136
Audubon 2,136 62.60% 1,080 31.65% 107 3.14% 89 2.60% 3,412
Benton 8,232 59.46% 4,678 33.79% 542 3.92% 392 2.83% 13,844
Black Hawk 27,476 42.66% 32,233 50.05% 2,368 3.68% 2,328 3.63% 64,405
Boone 7,484 52.72% 5,541 39.03% 643 4.53% 528 3.71% 14,196
Bremer 7,208 53.24% 5,356 39.56% 543 4.01% 431 3.18% 13,538
Buchanan 5,510 53.75% 3,970 38.72% 478 4.66% 294 2.87% 10,252
Buena Vista 4,903 59.23% 2,856 34.50% 288 3.48% 231 2.79% 8,278
Butler 4,921 65.50% 2,157 28.71% 219 2.91% 216 2.88% 7,513
Calhoun 3,468 67.22% 1,398 27.10% 173 3.35% 120 2.33% 5,159
Carroll 6,638 62.96% 3,309 31.38% 318 3.02% 279 2.64% 10,544
Cass 4,761 66.82% 1,951 27.38% 206 2.89% 207 2.91% 7,125
Cedar 5,295 55.50% 3,599 37.72% 365 3.83% 282 2.95% 9,541
Cerro Gordo 11,621 50.60% 9,862 42.94% 851 3.71% 631 2.75% 22,965
Cherokee 4,192 66.99% 1,679 26.83% 206 3.29% 181 2.89% 6,258
Chickasaw 3,742 58.15% 2,266 35.21% 236 3.67% 191 2.98% 6,435
Clarke 2,713 60.91% 1,465 32.89% 160 3.59% 116 2.60% 4,454
Clay 5,877 68.20% 2,249 26.10% 288 3.34% 203 2.36% 8,617
Clayton 5,317 58.24% 3,237 35.46% 334 3.66% 241 2.64% 9,129
Clinton 11,276 48.88% 10,095 43.76% 825 3.58% 871 3.80% 23,067
Crawford 4,617 66.58% 1,991 28.71% 172 2.48% 155 2.23% 6,935
Dallas 19,339 50.56% 15,701 41.05% 1,757 4.59% 1,455 3.80% 38,252
Davis 2,723 70.14% 977 25.17% 85 2.19% 97 2.50% 3,882
Decatur 2,296 61.49% 1,201 32.16% 123 3.29% 114 3.06% 3,734
Delaware 5,694 61.62% 2,957 32.00% 337 3.65% 253 2.74% 9,241
Des Moines 9,529 49.88% 8,212 42.99% 635 3.32% 727 3.80% 19,103
Dickinson 6,753 65.22% 3,056 29.52% 292 2.82% 253 2.44% 10,354
Dubuque 23,460 47.18% 22,850 45.96% 2,013 4.05% 1,398 2.80% 49,721
Emmet 3,124 65.73% 1,357 28.55% 139 2.92% 133 2.80% 4,753
Fayette 5,620 56.34% 3,689 36.98% 328 3.29% 338 3.38% 9,975
Floyd 4,375 54.28% 3,179 39.44% 241 2.99% 265 3.28% 8,060
Franklin 3,163 63.67% 1,493 30.05% 188 3.78% 124 2.48% 4,968
Fremont 2,407 66.95% 963 26.79% 115 3.20% 110 3.06% 3,595
Greene 2,820 58.49% 1,691 35.08% 160 3.32% 150 3.10% 4,821
Grundy 4,527 65.88% 1,856 27.01% 233 3.39% 256 3.73% 6,872
Guthrie 3,628 63.10% 1,732 30.12% 258 4.49% 132 2.29% 5,750
Hamilton 4,463 58.01% 2,726 35.43% 259 3.37% 246 3.19% 7,694
Hancock 3,977 67.74% 1,587 27.03% 166 2.83% 141 2.40% 5,871
Hardin 5,254 61.57% 2,787 32.66% 298 3.49% 194 2.28% 8,533
Harrison 4,902 65.67% 2,131 28.55% 210 2.81% 222 2.98% 7,465
Henry 5,779 61.45% 2,904 30.88% 337 3.58% 384 4.08% 9,404
Howard 2,611 57.27% 1,677 36.78% 131 2.87% 140 3.07% 4,559
Humboldt 3,568 70.14% 1,252 24.61% 127 2.50% 140 2.75% 5,087
Ida 2,655 73.50% 792 21.93% 103 2.85% 62 1.71% 3,612
Iowa 5,205 58.46% 3,084 34.64% 317 3.56% 298 3.35% 8,904
Jackson 5,824 56.49% 3,837 37.22% 319 3.09% 330 3.19% 10,310
Jasper 11,560 57.48% 6,109 35.35% 715 3.76% 650 3.42% 19,034
Jefferson 3,748 45.95% 3,710 45.49% 246 3.02% 452 5.55% 8,156
Johnson 21,044 27.35% 50,200 65.25% 2,758 3.58% 2,938 3.82% 76,940
Jones 5,720 56.45% 3,787 37.37% 305 3.01% 321 3.17% 10,133
Keokuk 3,390 68.00% 1,342 26.92% 139 2.79% 114 2.28% 4,985
Kossuth 5,653 65.68% 2,543 29.55% 194 2.25% 217 2.52% 8,607
Lee 8,803 54.50% 6,215 38.48% 510 3.16% 623 3.86% 16,151
Linn 48,390 41.32% 58,935 50.33% 5,557 4.75% 4,216 3.60% 117,098
Louisa 3,069 61.28% 1,648 32.91% 136 2.72% 155 3.10% 5,008
Lucas 2,877 66.08% 1,239 28.46% 115 2.64% 123 2.82% 4,354
Lyon 5,192 81.42% 920 14.43% 137 2.15% 128 2.00% 6,377
Madison 5,360 62.07% 2,678 31.01% 347 4.02% 251 2.90% 8,636
Mahaska 7,432 69.90% 2,619 24.63% 318 2.99% 263 2.48% 10,632
Marion 10,962 61.53% 5,482 30.77% 706 3.96% 666 3.74% 17,816
Marshall 9,146 50.87% 7,652 42.56% 577 3.21% 605 3.37% 17,980
Mills 5,867 66.82% 1,996 26.11% 307 3.99% 234 3.05% 7,698
Mitchell 3,190 58.89% 1,888 34.85% 210 3.88% 129 2.39% 5,417
Monona 3,120 68.24% 1,247 27.27% 112 2.45% 93 2.03% 4,572
Monroe 2,638 68.25% 1,056 27.32% 104 2.69% 67 1.74% 3,865
Montgomery 3,436 68.12% 1,314 26.05% 152 3.01% 142 2.82% 5,044
Muscatine 9,584 49.32% 8,368 43.06% 748 3.85% 734 3.78% 19,434
O'Brien 5,752 77.67% 1,315 17.76% 197 2.66% 142 1.93% 7,406
Osceola 2,531 78.77% 552 17.18% 73 2.27% 57 1.76% 3,213
Page 4,893 69.46% 1,807 25.65% 176 2.50% 168 2.40% 7,044
Palo Alto 3,081 65.51% 1,398 29.73% 131 2.79% 93 1.99% 4,703
Plymouth 9,680 73.39% 2,885 21.87% 343 2.60% 282 2.13% 13,190
Pocahontas 2,702 69.91% 963 24.92% 115 2.98% 85 2.20% 3,865
Polk 93,492 40.38% 119,804 51.74% 10,029 4.33% 8,230 3.56% 231,555
Pottawattamie 24,447 57.28% 15,355 35.98% 1,469 3.44% 1,409 3.30% 42,680
Poweshiek 4,946 50.30% 4,304 43.77% 283 2.88% 300 3.06% 9,833
Ringgold 1,824 67.38% 753 27.82% 72 2.66% 58 2.14% 2,707
Sac 3,703 71.05% 1,270 24.37% 129 2.48% 110 2.12% 5,212
Scott 39,149 45.41% 40,440 46.90% 3,555 4.12% 3,076 3.57% 86,220
Shelby 4,362 68.48% 1,662 26.09% 174 2.73% 172 2.70% 6,370
Sioux 14,785 81.26% 2,300 12.64% 435 2.39% 674 3.70% 18,194
Story 19,458 38.40% 25,709 50.74% 3,014 5.95% 2,486 4.90% 50,667
Tama 4,971 56.80% 3,196 36.52% 245 2.80% 340 3.88% 8,752
Taylor 2,111 69.69% 758 25.02% 97 3.20% 63 2.08% 3,029
Union 3,525 60.44% 1,922 32.96% 213 3.65% 172 2.96% 5,832
Van Buren 2,527 70.96% 845 23.73% 83 2.33% 106 2.98% 3,561
Wapello 8,715 57.53% 5,594 36.93% 380 2.51% 460 3.04% 15,149
Warren 14,814 54.26% 10,411 38.14% 1,275 4.67% 800 2.92% 27,300
Washington 6,173 56.48% 3,943 36.08% 459 4.20% 354 3.24% 10,929
Wayne 2,069 70.37% 719 24.46% 78 2.65% 74 2.52% 2,940
Webster 10,056 57.69% 6,305 36.17% 569 3.26% 500 2.88% 17,430
Winnebago 3,447 59.56% 1,931 33.37% 218 3.77% 191 3.30% 5,787
Winneshiek 5,344 47.03% 5,254 46.24% 382 3.36% 382 3.36% 11,362
Woodbury 24,727 56.56% 16,210 37.08% 1,179 2.70% 1,602 3.67% 43,718
Worth 2,453 57.62% 1,530 35.94% 165 3.88% 109 2.55% 4,257
Wright 3,800 63.06% 1,896 31.46% 176 2.92% 154 2.56% 6,026
Iowa Total 800,983 51.15% 653,669 41.74% 59,186 3.78% 52,193 3.33% 1,566,031

By congressional district[edit]

Trump won all 4 of the congressional districts.[12]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 48% 45% Rod Blum
2nd 49% 44% Dave Loebsack
3rd 48% 45% David Young
4th 60% 33% Steve King

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "2016 Primary Calendar and Results". nytimes.com. Retrieved January 25, 2016. 
  2. ^ "Iowa Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 10, 2016. 
  3. ^ "Donald Trump wins Iowa on a wave of popular discontent". Des Moines Register. Retrieved 2017-01-16. 
  4. ^ CNN, Dana Bash and Abigail Crutchfield. "Can Trump turn Iowa red?". CNN. Retrieved 2017-01-16. 
  5. ^ "United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009". Clerk.house.gov. Retrieved January 30, 2009. 
  6. ^ "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 11, 2015. 
  7. ^ "President Map". The New York Times. November 29, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2015. 
  8. ^ "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 24, 2015. 
  9. ^ Byrnes, Jesse (2016-06-15). "Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012". TheHill. Retrieved 2016-06-19. 
  10. ^ Cohn, Nate (2015-01-19). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-06-19. 
  11. ^ "Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 21, 2015. 
  12. ^ http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/

External links[edit]