2020 United States Senate elections: Difference between revisions
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{{Main|2020 United States Senate special election in Georgia}} |
{{Main|2020 United States Senate special election in Georgia}} |
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Three-term senator [[Johnny Isakson]] announced that he would resign from the Senate at the end of 2019, citing health concerns.<ref name="isaksonretiring">{{Cite web |url=https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/breaking-georgia-isakson-resign-from-senate/enj87JHOCYzQmQu0Pj3cnK/# |title=BREAKING: Georgia's Isakson to resign from Senate at end of 2019 |last=Bluestein |first=Greg |website=Atlanta Journal-Constitution |access-date=August 28, 2019}}</ref> Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp appointed Republican [[Kelly Loeffler]] to fill the seat; Loeffler took office on January 6, 2020. A special election will be held in 2020 to determine who will hold the seat for the remainder of the term.<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/01/06/politics/kelly-loeffler-sworn-in-georgia-senator/index.html|title=Republican Kelly Loeffler sworn in as Georgia's newest senator|work=CNN|last=Foran|first=Clare|date=January 6, 2020|access-date=January 16, 2020}}</ref> [[Doug Collins (politician)|Doug Collins]], four-term U.S. representative for Georiga' is running for the Republican nomination as well.<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/29/doug-collins-georgia-senate-108730 title=Collins launches Georgia Senate bid |last= |
Three-term senator [[Johnny Isakson]] announced that he would resign from the Senate at the end of 2019, citing health concerns.<ref name="isaksonretiring">{{Cite web |url=https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/breaking-georgia-isakson-resign-from-senate/enj87JHOCYzQmQu0Pj3cnK/# |title=BREAKING: Georgia's Isakson to resign from Senate at end of 2019 |last=Bluestein |first=Greg |website=Atlanta Journal-Constitution |access-date=August 28, 2019}}</ref> Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp appointed Republican [[Kelly Loeffler]] to fill the seat; Loeffler took office on January 6, 2020. A special election will be held in 2020 to determine who will hold the seat for the remainder of the term.<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/01/06/politics/kelly-loeffler-sworn-in-georgia-senator/index.html|title=Republican Kelly Loeffler sworn in as Georgia's newest senator|work=CNN|last=Foran|first=Clare|date=January 6, 2020|access-date=January 16, 2020}}</ref> [[Doug Collins (politician)|Doug Collins]], four-term U.S. representative for Georiga' is running for the Republican nomination as well.<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/29/doug-collins-georgia-senate-108730 |title=Collins launches Georgia Senate bid, setting up GOP clash |last=James |first=Arkin |date=Jan 29, 2020 |website=Poltico}}</ref> A [[jungle primary]] will be held on November 3, 2020; if no one candidate wins a majority of the vote in the jungle primary, then a [[run-off election]] will be held.<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/georgia-will-now-have-two-senate-elections-in-2020 |title=Georgia Will Now Have Two Senate Elections In 2020 |last=Rakich |first=Nathaniel |date=August 30, 2019 |publisher=FiveThirtyEight}}</ref> The winner of the special election will serve until the expiration of Isakson's Senate term in 2022. |
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Potential Republican candidates include U.S. secretary of agriculture [[Sonny Perdue]], state attorney general [[Christopher M. Carr|Chris Carr]], Lieutenant Governor [[Geoff Duncan]], and congressmen [[Doug Collins (politician)|Doug Collins]] and [[Drew Ferguson (politician)|Drew Ferguson]]. |
Potential Republican candidates include U.S. secretary of agriculture [[Sonny Perdue]], state attorney general [[Christopher M. Carr|Chris Carr]], Lieutenant Governor [[Geoff Duncan]], and congressmen [[Doug Collins (politician)|Doug Collins]] and [[Drew Ferguson (politician)|Drew Ferguson]]. |
Revision as of 17:31, 29 January 2020
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33 of the 100 seats (Class 2) in the United States Senate (and 2 special elections) 51 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2020 United States Senate elections will be held on November 3, 2020, with the 33 Class 2 seats of the Senate being contested in regular elections. The winners will be elected to six-year terms extending from January 3, 2021, until January 3, 2027. Additionally, there will also be two special elections: one special election in Arizona to fill the vacancy created by the death of John McCain in 2018 and one in Georgia following the resignation of Johnny Isakson at the end of 2019.
In 2014, the last regularly scheduled elections for Class 2 Senate seats, the Republicans won a net gain of nine seats from the Democrats and gained a majority in the Senate. Republicans defended that majority in 2016 and 2018, and held 53 Senate seats following the 2018 elections. Democrats held 45 seats after the 2018 elections, while independents caucusing with the Democratic Party held two seats.
Including the special elections in Arizona and Georgia, Republicans will be defending 23 seats in 2020, while the Democratic Party will be defending 12 seats. Democrats will need to pick up three or four seats to gain a majority in the Senate, depending on which party wins control of the vice presidency.[a]
Several races are expected to be competitive, including the Democratic-held seats in Alabama and Michigan as well as Republican-held seats in Colorado, Arizona, North Carolina, and Maine.[1][2]
Partisan composition
As of August 2019 (and including the 2020 special elections in Arizona and Georgia), Republicans are expected to defend 23 seats in 2020, while the Democratic Party is expected to defend only 12 seats. These figures could change if vacancies or party switches occur. Additional special elections may also be held in 2020 if vacancies arise in Class 1 or Class 3 Senate seats.[3]
Results summary
Parties | style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/color" | | style="background-color:Template:Independent (US)/meta/color" | | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/color" | | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Independent | Republican | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Last election (2018) | 45 | 2 | 53 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Before this election | 45 | 2 | 53 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Not up | 33 | 2 | 30 | 65 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Class 1 (2018→2024) | 21 | 2 | 10 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Class 3 (2016→2022) | 12 | 0 | 20 | 32 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Up | 12 | 0 | 23 | 35 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Class 2 (2014→2020) | 12 | 0 | 21 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Special: Class 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
General elections | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Incumbent retiring | 1 | — | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Incumbent running | 11 | — | 19 | 30 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Intent unknown | — | — | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in composition
Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. "D#" is a Democratic senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican senator. They are arranged so that the parties are separated and a majority is clear by crossing the middle.
Before the elections
Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election.
D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 | D9 | D10 |
D20 | D19 | D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 |
D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 | D29 | D30 |
D40 N.H. Running |
D39 Minn. Running |
D38 Mich. Running |
D37 Mass. Running |
D36 Ill. Running |
D35 Del. Running |
D34 Ala. Running |
D33 | D32 | D31 |
D41 N.J. Running |
D42 Ore. Running |
D43 R.I. Running |
D44 Va. Running |
D45 N.M. Retiring |
I1 | I2 | R53 Wyo. Retiring |
R52 Tenn. Retiring |
R51 Kan. Retiring |
Majority → | |||||||||
R41 Me. Running |
R42 Miss. Running |
R43 Mont. Running |
R44 Neb. Running |
R45 N.C. Running |
R46 Okla. Unknown |
R47 S.C. Running |
R48 S.D. Running |
R49 Texas Running |
R50 W.Va. Running |
R40 La. Running |
R39 Ky. Running |
R38 Iowa Running |
R37 Idaho Running |
R36 Ga. (sp) Running |
R35 Ga. Running |
R34 Colo. Running |
R33 Ark. Running |
R32 Ariz. (sp) Running |
R31 Alaska Running |
R21 | R22 | R23 | R24 | R25 | R26 | R27 | R28 | R29 | R30 |
R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
After the elections
D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 | D9 | D10 |
D20 | D19 | D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 |
D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 | D29 | D30 |
TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | I2 | I1 | D33 | D32 | D31 |
TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD |
Majority → | |||||||||
TBD | |||||||||
TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | |
TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD |
R21 | R22 | R23 | R24 | R25 | R26 | R27 | R28 | R29 | R30 |
R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
Key: |
|
---|
Pre-election predictions
Most election predictors use:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used sometimes): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely" or "favored": significant, but surmountable, advantage (*highest rating given by Fox News)
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
Constituency | Incumbent | 2020 election ratings | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | PVI[4] | Senator | Last election[c] |
Cook Jan 10, 2020[5] |
IE Jan 10, 2020[6] |
Sabato Jan 16, 2020[7] |
Politico Nov 19, 2019[8] |
Alabama | R+14 | Doug Jones | 50.0% D (2017 special) |
Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) |
Alaska | R+9 | Dan Sullivan | 48.0% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R |
Arizona (special) |
R+5 | Martha McSally | Appointed (2019) |
Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
Arkansas | R+15 | Tom Cotton | 56.5% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
Colorado | D+1 | Cory Gardner | 48.2% R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
Delaware | D+6 | Chris Coons | 55.8% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D |
Georgia | R+5 | David Perdue | 52.9% R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R |
Georgia (special) |
R+5 | Kelly Loeffler | Appointed (2020) |
Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R |
Idaho | R+19 | Jim Risch | 65.3% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
Illinois | D+7 | Dick Durbin | 53.5% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
Iowa | R+3 | Joni Ernst | 52.1% R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R |
Kansas | R+13 | Pat Roberts (retiring) |
53.1% R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R |
Kentucky | R+15 | Mitch McConnell | 56.2% R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R |
Louisiana | R+11 | Bill Cassidy | 55.9% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
Maine | D+3 | Susan Collins | 68.5% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean R |
Massachusetts | D+12 | Ed Markey | 61.9% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
Michigan | D+1 | Gary Peters | 54.6% D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D |
Minnesota | D+1 | Tina Smith | 53.0% D (2018 special) |
Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
Mississippi | R+9 | Cindy Hyde-Smith | 53.6% R (2018 special) |
Likely R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R |
Montana | R+11 | Steve Daines | 57.9% R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R |
Nebraska | R+14 | Ben Sasse | 64.5% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
New Hampshire | EVEN | Jeanne Shaheen | 51.5% D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
New Jersey | D+7 | Cory Booker | 55.8% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
New Mexico | D+3 | Tom Udall (retiring) |
55.6% D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
North Carolina | R+3 | Thom Tillis | 48.8% R | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
Oklahoma | R+20 | Jim Inhofe | 68.0% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
Oregon | D+5 | Jeff Merkley | 55.7% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D |
Rhode Island | D+10 | Jack Reed | 70.6% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
South Carolina | R+8 | Lindsey Graham | 55.3% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R |
South Dakota | R+14 | Mike Rounds | 50.4% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
Tennessee | R+14 | Lamar Alexander (retiring) |
61.9% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R |
Texas | R+8 | John Cornyn | 61.6% R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R |
Virginia | D+1 | Mark Warner | 49.1% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D |
West Virginia | R+19 | Shelley Moore Capito | 62.1% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
Wyoming | R+25 | Mike Enzi (retiring) |
72.2% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
Election dates
These are the election dates for the regularly scheduled general elections.
State | Filing deadline[9] |
Primary election[9] |
Primary run-off (if necessary)[9] |
General election |
Poll closing (EST)[10] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alabama | November 8, 2019 | March 3, 2020 | March 31, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 8:00pm |
Alaska | June 2, 2020 | August 18, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 1:00am[d] |
Arizona (Special) | April 6, 2020 | August 4, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 9:00pm |
Arkansas | November 12, 2019 | March 3, 2020 | March 31, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 8:30pm |
Colorado | March 17, 2020 | June 30, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 9:00pm |
Delaware | July 14, 2020 | September 15, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 8:00pm |
Georgia | March 6, 2020 | May 19, 2020 | July 21, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 7:00pm |
Georgia (Special) | March 6, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | N/A | January 5, 2021[e] | 9:00pm |
Idaho | March 13, 2020 | May 19, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 10:00pm |
Illinois | December 2, 2019 | March 17, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 8:00pm |
Iowa | March 13, 2020 | June 2, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 10:00pm |
Kansas | June 1, 2020 | August 4, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 9:00pm |
Kentucky | January 10, 2020 | May 19, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 7:00pm |
Louisiana | July 17, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | N/A | December 5, 2020[e] | 9:00pm |
Maine | March 16, 2020 | June 9, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 8:00pm |
Massachusetts | May 5, 2020 | September 1, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 8:00pm |
Michigan | April 21, 2020 | August 4, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 8:00pm |
Minnesota | June 2, 2020 | August 11, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 9:00pm |
Mississippi | January 10, 2020 | March 10, 2020 | March 31, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 8:00pm |
Montana | March 9, 2020 | June 2, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 10:00pm |
Nebraska | March 2, 2020 | May 12, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 9:00pm |
New Hampshire | June 12, 2020 | September 8, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 8:00pm |
New Jersey | March 30, 2020 | June 2, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 8:00pm |
New Mexico | March 10, 2020 | June 2, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 9:00pm |
North Carolina | December 20, 2019 | March 3, 2020 | May 12, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 7:30pm |
Oklahoma | April 10, 2020 | June 30, 2020 | August 25, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 8:00pm |
Oregon | March 10, 2020 | May 19, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 10:00pm |
Rhode Island | June 24, 2020 | September 8, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 8:00pm |
South Carolina | March 30, 2020 | June 9, 2020 | June 23, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 7:00pm |
South Dakota | March 31, 2020 | June 2, 2020 | August 11, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 8:00pm |
Tennessee | April 2, 2020 | August 6, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 8:00pm |
Texas | December 9, 2019 | March 3, 2020 | May 26, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 8:00pm |
Virginia | March 26, 2020 | June 9, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 7:00pm |
West Virginia | January 25, 2020 | May 12, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 7:30pm |
Wyoming | May 29, 2020 | August 18, 2020 | N/A | November 3, 2020 | 9:00pm |
Race summary
Special elections during the preceding Congress
In these special elections, the winners will serve when they are elected and qualified.
Elections are sorted by date then state.
State (linked to summaries below) |
Incumbent | Results | Candidates | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Senator | Party | Electoral history | |||
Arizona (Class 3) |
Martha McSally | Republican | 2019 (Appointed) | Incumbent running. |
|
Georgia (Class 3) |
Kelly Loeffler | Republican | 2020 (Appointed) | Incumbent running. |
|
Elections leading to the next Congress
In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2021. All of the elections involve the Class 2 seats; ordered by state.
State (linked to summaries below) |
Incumbent | Results | Candidates | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Senator | Party | Electoral history | |||
Alabama | Doug Jones | Democratic | 2017 (Special) | Incumbent running. |
|
Alaska | Dan Sullivan | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
Arkansas | Tom Cotton | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
Colorado | Cory Gardner | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
Delaware | Chris Coons | Democratic | 2010 (Special) 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
Georgia | David Perdue | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
Idaho | Jim Risch | Republican | 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. | |
Illinois | Dick Durbin | Democratic | 1996 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
Iowa | Joni Ernst | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
Kansas | Pat Roberts | Republican | 1996 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent retiring. |
|
Kentucky | Mitch McConnell | Republican | 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
Louisiana | Bill Cassidy | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
Maine | Susan Collins | Republican | 1996 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. | |
Massachusetts | Ed Markey | Democratic | 2013 (Special) 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
Michigan | Gary Peters | Democratic | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
Minnesota | Tina Smith | Democratic | 2018 (Appointed) 2018 (Special) |
Incumbent running. |
|
Mississippi | Cindy Hyde-Smith | Republican | 2018 (Appointed) 2018 (Special) |
Incumbent running. | |
Montana | Steve Daines | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
Nebraska | Ben Sasse | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. | |
New Hampshire | Jeanne Shaheen | Democratic | 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
New Jersey | Cory Booker | Democratic | 2013 (Special) 2014 |
Incumbent running. | |
New Mexico | Tom Udall | Democratic | 2008 2014 |
Incumbent retiring. |
|
North Carolina | Thom Tillis | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
Oklahoma | Jim Inhofe | Republican | 1994 (Special) 1996 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent's intent unknown. | |
Oregon | Jeff Merkley | Democratic | 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
Rhode Island | Jack Reed | Democratic | 1996 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. | |
South Carolina | Lindsey Graham | Republican | 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
South Dakota | Mike Rounds | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
Tennessee | Lamar Alexander | Republican | 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent retiring. |
|
Texas | John Cornyn | Republican | 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
Virginia | Mark Warner | Democratic | 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
West Virginia | Shelley Moore Capito | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
Wyoming | Mike Enzi | Republican | 1996 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent retiring. |
Alabama
Incumbent Democrat Doug Jones was elected in a special election in 2017, narrowly defeating Republican nominee Roy Moore. Jones is running for his first full term as a senator.[165]
2017 Republican special election nominee Roy Moore will seek a rematch with Jones.[166] Former senator and attorney general Jeff Sessions is running to return to the seat he occupied until 2017 when he resigned to become attorney general.
Other Republican candidates include evangelist Stanley Adair,[167] Congressman Bradley Byrne,[168] state representative Arnold Mooney,[169] community activist Ruth Page Nelson,[23] and former Auburn University football head coach Tommy Tuberville.[170] Secretary of State John Merrill was also a candidate[171] but has suspended his campaign.[172]
Independent candidates include Mike Parrish,[23] Jarmal Sanders,[23] and Marcus Williams.[23]
Alaska
One-term incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan was elected to a first term in 2014, defeating incumbent Democratic senator Mark Begich. He is running for a second term.[26]
Potential Democratic candidates include Begich, who was the Democratic nominee for Governor of Alaska in 2018, and Anchorage mayor Ethan Berkowitz, who was the Democratic nominee for Governor of Alaska in 2010.
On July 2, 2019, Al Gross, an orthopedic surgeon and fisherman, declared his candidacy as an Independent.[173]
Arizona (Special)
Republican senator John McCain was elected to a sixth term in 2016, but died in office in August 2018.[174] Republican governor Doug Ducey appointed former senator Jon Kyl to fill McCain's seat for the remainder of the 115th United States Congress.[175] After the end of the 115th Congress, Governor Ducey appointed outgoing congresswoman and 2018 Republican Senate nominee Martha McSally as Kyl's successor for the 116th Congress.[176] McSally is running in the 2020 special election to fill the remainder of the term, which expires in 2022.[177]
Retired astronaut Mark Kelly is running for the Democratic nomination.[13] Other potential Democratic candidates include Congressman Greg Stanton, the former mayor of Phoenix.[178]
Arkansas
One-term incumbent Republican Tom Cotton was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving two years in the United States House of Representatives, defeating incumbent Democratic senator Mark Pryor by a comfortable margin. Cotton is seeking a second term in 2020.[179]
Joshua Mahony, a non-profit executive and 2018 Democratic nominee for Congress in Arkansas's 3rd congressional district filed to run for the Democratic nomination.[180] However, he subsequently dropped out just after the filing deadline closed.[181] No other Democrats filed within the filing deadline.
Christian missionary Ricky Dale Harrington, Jr., is running as a Libertarian,[182] and progressive activist Dan Whitfield is running as an independent.[183]
Colorado
One-term incumbent Republican Cory Gardner was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving four years in the United States House of Representatives, narrowly defeating one-term incumbent Mark Udall. Gardner is seeking re-election in 2020.[1]
Announced Democratic candidates include former Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper, former state House speaker Andrew Romanoff,[1] community organizer Lorena Garcia,[184] pharmacist Dustin Leitzel,[185] and Derrick Blanton.[186].
Announced Independent candidates include talent manager and political satirical artist Joseph A. Camp [187] (known as "Joey" [188]).
Delaware
One-term incumbent Democrat Chris Coons was re-elected in 2014; Coons first took office after winning a 2010 special election, which occurred after long-time senator Joe Biden resigned his seat to become vice president of the United States.
Georgia
One-term incumbent Republican David Perdue was elected to a first term in 2014. He is seeking a second term in 2020.[189]
Former Columbus mayor Teresa Tomlinson,[190] Clarkston mayor Ted Terry,[191] 2018 lieutenant governor nominee Sarah Riggs Amico,[192] and former congressional candidate Jon Ossoff[193] are running for the Democratic nomination. Potential Democratic candidates include pastor Raphael Warnock, former state senator Jason Carter, and state representative Scott Holcomb.[189]
Georgia (Special)
Three-term senator Johnny Isakson announced that he would resign from the Senate at the end of 2019, citing health concerns.[194] Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp appointed Republican Kelly Loeffler to fill the seat; Loeffler took office on January 6, 2020. A special election will be held in 2020 to determine who will hold the seat for the remainder of the term.[195] Doug Collins, four-term U.S. representative for Georiga' is running for the Republican nomination as well.[196] A jungle primary will be held on November 3, 2020; if no one candidate wins a majority of the vote in the jungle primary, then a run-off election will be held.[197] The winner of the special election will serve until the expiration of Isakson's Senate term in 2022.
Potential Republican candidates include U.S. secretary of agriculture Sonny Perdue, state attorney general Chris Carr, Lieutenant Governor Geoff Duncan, and congressmen Doug Collins and Drew Ferguson.
Potential Democratic candidates include state senator Jen Jordan, congressman John Barrow, former state senator Jason Carter, nonprofit executive Michelle Nunn, and former acting U.S. attorney general Sally Yates.[198] Congresswoman Lucy McBath has declined to run in the special election.[199] 2018 Democratic gubernatorial nominee Stacey Abrams declined to run in either Senate election held in Georgia in 2020.[198][200]
Idaho
Two-term incumbent Republican Jim Risch was easily re-elected in 2014. On August 13, 2019, Risch announced that he would seek a third term.[201] Businesswoman Nancy Harris has announced that she would run as a Democrat.[46]
Illinois
Four-term incumbent Democrat and Senate minority whip Dick Durbin was re-elected in 2014. Durbin is running for re-election.[202] Anti-war activist Marilyn Jordan Lawlor[203] and State representative Anne Stava-Murray[204] were going to challenge Durbin in the primary, but both have withdrawn.[205][206]
Republicans who have announced they are running include businessman Casey Chlebek,[207] former Lake County Sheriff Mark Curran,[208] U.S. Navy veteran and former police officer Peggy Hubbard,[209] Vietnam War veteran, physician, and 2018 Democratic primary candidate for Governor of Illinois Robert Marshall,[210][211] Omeed Memar,[212] a dermatologist convicted of health care fraud in 2018,[213] Preston Gabriel Nelson,[214] Dean Seppelfrick,[215] and Tom Tarter.[216] Memar, Nelson, and Seppelfrick failed to file their candidacies with the Illinois Board of Elections and will not appear on the ballot.
Businessman Willie Wilson, candidate for mayor of Chicago in 2015 and 2019 and candidate for President of the United States in 2016 is running as an independent.[52]
Iowa
One-term incumbent Republican Joni Ernst was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving four years in the state Senate. She is seeking a second term in 2020.[217]
Democrats currently running include former Vice-Admiral Michael T. Franken, child advocate and attorney Kimberly Graham, real estate broker Theresa Greenfield, and businessman Eddie Mauro. Other potential Democratic candidates include state auditor Rob Sand, former governor Chet Culver, and congresswoman Abby Finkenauer,[218] On September 24, 2019, Finkenauer endorsed Greenfield and announced that she would not run.[219]
Kansas
Four-term incumbent Republican Pat Roberts is retiring. Former secretary of state Kris Kobach,[220] state Turnpike Authority chairman (a former Kansas City Chief) Dave Lindstrom,[221] Congressman Roger Marshall,[61] conservative commentator Bryan Pruitt,[63] Kansas Board of Education member Steve Roberts,[222] and state senate president Susan Wagle have all announced their campaigns.[65] Other potential candidates include state attorney general Derek Schmidt, and wealthy businessman and former 2018 lieutenant governor nominee Wink Hartman. Kansas state treasurer Jake LaTurner[223] previously sought the nomination, but on September 3, 2019 announced that he was dropping out of the Senate race to run for the U.S. House of Representatives.[224] There was considerable speculation surrounding a potential Senate bid by Mike Pompeo (the United States Secretary of State, former Director of the Central Intelligence Agency, and former U.S. Representative for Kansas's 4th congressional district), but he opted not to run.[225][226]
Among Democrats, state senator Barbara Bollier is running, as is Usha Reddi, mayor of Manhattan,[64] and Robert Tillman, nominee for Kansas's 4th congressional district in 2012 and candidate in 2016 and 2017.[227] Former congressional candidate Brent Welder is also considered a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination.[228][229] Former U.S. attorney Barry Grissom[230] and former congresswoman Nancy Boyda[231] announced runs, but withdrew before the primary. Former governor Kathleen Sebelius has declined to run.
Kentucky
Six-term incumbent and Senate majority leader Republican Mitch McConnell was re-elected by a comfortable margin in 2014.
Charles Booker, a member of the Kentucky House of Representatives,[232] and Kentucky's youngest black state lawmaker,[233] has formally entered the Senate race on January 5th, 2020.[234]
Amy McGrath announced her candidacy on July 9, 2019.[235] She is a former Marine and Navy fighter pilot who ran unsuccessfully for Congress in 2018 against incumbent Representative Andy Barr.
Other candidates for the Democratic nomination include Jimmy Ausbrooks, a mental health counselor,[236] Mike Broihier, farmer and former U.S. Marine,[237] Andrew Maynard[238], John R. Sharpensteen[238] and Bennie J. Smith, local business owner.[239] Other potential Democratic candidates include state representative Rocky Adkins.[240] Candidate Steven Cox, a registered pharmacy technician,[241] has dropped out and endorsed Charles Booker.[242]
Louisiana
One-term incumbent Republican Bill Cassidy was first elected in 2014 after serving six years in the United States House of Representatives, defeating three-term incumbent Mary Landrieu. A jungle primary will be held on November 3, 2020; if no one candidate wins a majority of the vote in the jungle primary, then a run-off election will be held.
Maine
Four-term incumbent Republican Susan Collins was re-elected by a wide margin in 2014. She has filed paperwork for a run in 2020,[243] and announced on December 18, 2019 that she would seek re-election in 2020.[244]
Democrats running include state House speaker Sara Gideon,[245] travel agent Michael Bunker,[70] attorney Bre Kidman,[73] former Head of International Relations at Google, Inc. and political operative Ross LaJeunesse,[74] and activist and 2018 gubernatorial candidate Betsy Sweet.[76][246] Potential Democratic candidates include Congresswoman Chellie Pingree and former Lewiston mayor James Howaniec.[247] Retired US Air Force General Jon Treacy[248] and physician Cathleen London[249] had announced candidacies for the Democratic nomination, but subsequently withdrew.[250][251] Independent candidates are Danielle VanHelsing,[77] an LGBTQ rights activist, and Tiffany Bond,[69] an attorney and candidate for Maine's 2nd congressional district in 2018.
Massachusetts
One-term incumbent Democrat Ed Markey was re-elected in 2014; first elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1976, Markey later won a 2013 special election to replace longtime incumbent John Kerry, who resigned from the Senate to become U.S. secretary of state. He is running for re-election.[80] Joe Kennedy III, four-term U.S. representative for Massachusetts' Fourth District and grandson of former U.S. senator and U.S. attorney general Robert F. Kennedy, is running for the Democratic nomination as well.[252] Other Democrats who are running include labor attorney Shannon Liss-Riordan,[253] and Allen Waters.[254] Chief human resources officer for Workhuman Steve Pemberton had declared his candidacy,[255] but subsequently withdrew.[256]
Shiva Ayyadurai, MIT PhD, scientist, inventor and Independent candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 is seeking the Republican nomination.[78][257]
Michigan
One-term incumbent Democrat Gary Peters was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving six years in the U.S. House of Representatives. He is seeking a second term in 2020.[258]
2018 Senate nominee John James has declared his candidacy for the Republican nomination.[259] Other potential Republican candidates include former congresswoman Candice Miller,[260] former state House speaker Tom Leonard, and businessman Sandy Pensler.[261] On August 14, 2019, it was announced that Leonard had been nominated for United States Attorney for Western Michigan, making a Senate campaign highly unlikely.[262]
Minnesota
Incumbent Democrat Tina Smith was appointed to the U.S. Senate to replace Al Franken in 2018 after serving as lieutenant governor, and she won a special election later in 2018 to serve the remainder of Franken's term. She is seeking a full term in 2020.[263]
Former congressman Jason Lewis is running for the Republican nomination.[85] Potential Republican candidates include 2018 lieutenant governor candidate Donna Bergstrom,[264] and former state representative Doug Wardlow.[265] On July 2, 2019, 2018 Republican nominee Karin Housley announced that she would not be a candidate for the U.S. Senate again, instead seeking re-election to the Minnesota State Senate.[266]
Mississippi
After seven-term incumbent Republican senator Thad Cochran resigned in April 2018, Republican governor Phil Bryant appointed state agriculture commissioner Cindy Hyde-Smith to succeed Cochran until a special election could be held later in the year. Hyde-Smith won the November 2018 special election to fill the remainder of Cochran's term, which ends in January 2021. Hyde-Smith is running for a full term for the seat.[267] Other potential Republican candidates include state senator Chris McDaniel, who also sought the seat in 2014 and 2018.[268]
Democratic candidates include former U.S. secretary of agriculture and 2018 Senate candidate Mike Espy.[269]
Montana
One-term incumbent Republican Steve Daines was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving two years in the United States House of Representatives. He is running for re-election.[90]
Among Democrats, Helena mayor Wilmot Collins[270] and nuclear engineer and U.S. Navy veteran John Mues[271] have announced their candidacies. Governor Steve Bullock has indicated that he will not enter the race.[272]
Nebraska
One-term incumbent Republican Ben Sasse was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving as the president of Midland University. He is running for a second term in 2020.[273] He is being challenged in the Republican primary by Matt Innis, businessman and former chair of Lancaster County Republican Party.[274][94]
Democrats who have declared include Chris Janicek, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[275] and Angie Philips, mental health advocate.[275]
New Hampshire
Two-term incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen was narrowly re-elected in 2014. Shaheen is seeking a third term in 2020.[276]
Former U.S. Army brigadier general Donald Bolduc has announced his candidacy.[277] Other potential Republican challengers include former U.S. senator Kelly Ayotte,[278] Ambassador to New Zealand Scott Brown, who challenged Shaheen in 2014 and previously served as Senator from Massachusetts after winning a special election to fill the vacancy caused by Ted Kennedy's death; state House minority leader William L. O'Brien, and businessman Jay Lucas. Governor Chris Sununu has indicated that he will not run for the Senate.[279] Former Trump campaign manager Corey Lewandowski also indicated that he would not seek the seat.[280]
New Jersey
One-term incumbent Democrat Cory Booker was re-elected in 2014; Booker first took office by winning a 2013 special election after serving seven years as mayor of Newark. Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker sought his party's nomination for President of the United States in 2020. Although the state allows him to simultaneously run for both president and for the U.S. Senate, Booker has suspended his presidential campaign on January 13, 2020, and confirmed his intention for reelection to his Senate seat.[281] Other potential Democratic candidates include Governor Phil Murphy, Congressman Donald Norcross, and Congressman Josh Gottheimer.[282] Among Republicans, attorney and political commentator Matt Rooney[283] and former federal prosecutor Stuart Meissner are potential candidates.[284][285]
New Mexico
Two-term incumbent Democrat Tom Udall is retiring in 2020.[286] U.S. representative Ben Ray Luján[287] is running for the Democratic nomination. On April 10, 2019, U.S. representative Deb Haaland said that she would not be a candidate, but instead seek re-election.[288]
Among Republicans, former U.S. Interior Department official Gavin Clarkson has announced his candidacy.[289] Potential Republican candidates include former governor Susana Martinez, former Albuquerque mayor Richard J. Berry,[290] former U.S. representative and former secretary of the air force Heather Wilson, former U.S. representative Steve Pearce and former state representative Yvette Herrell.[291]
North Carolina
One-term incumbent Republican Thom Tillis was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving eight years in the state House of Representatives, narrowly defeating one-term incumbent Kay Hagan. He faces a primary challenge from wealthy investment broker Garland Tucker.[292] Tillis could also potentially run for governor.[293][294]
State senator Erica D. Smith, Mecklenburg County commissioner Trevor Fuller, and former state senator Cal Cunningham are running for the Democratic nomination. Other potential Democratic candidates include state senator Jeff Jackson[178] and former state Treasurer Janet Cowell.[295]
Oklahoma
Four-term incumbent Republican Jim Inhofe was easily re-elected in 2014. Former EPA administrator Scott Pruitt is considered a possible candidate if Inhofe chooses to retire.[296] . J.J. Stitt, a farmer and gun shop owner, is already running for the nomination. [297] . Several Democrats have announced their run, including attorney Abby Broyles, professor Dylan Billings, software developer Tyler Dougherty, industrialist Bevon Rogers, and perennial candidate Mike Workman.
Oregon
Two-term incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley was re-elected by a comfortable margin in 2014. Merkley, who was considered to be a possible 2020 presidential candidate, opted to forgo the crowded contest and is running for re-election to his seat.[298]
Rhode Island
Four-term incumbent Democrat Jack Reed was easily re-elected in 2014. Reed is seeking a fifth term.[126]
South Carolina
Three-term incumbent Republican Lindsey Graham was re-elected in 2014. Former South Carolina Democratic Party chairman Jaime Harrison and economist Dr. Gloria Bromell-Tinubu are running for the Democratic nomination.
South Dakota
One-term incumbent Republican Mike Rounds was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving two terms as the governor of South Dakota. He faces a primary challenge from state representative Scyller Borglum.[299] Potential Democratic candidates may include state Senate minority leader Billie Sutton[300], the 2018 Democratic gubernatorial nominee and former South Dakota State Legislator Dan Ahlers.[301]
Tennessee
Three-term incumbent Republican Lamar Alexander was re-elected in 2014. He announced in December 2018 that he would not seek re-election.[302] Among Republicans, orthopedic surgeon Manny Sethi has announced his candidacy,[303] as well as William F. Hagerty.[304] James Mackler, an Iraq War veteran and Nashville attorney, has announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination. Among Democrats, State Senator Jeff Yarbro is a possible candidate.[305]
Texas
Three-term incumbent Republican John Cornyn was re-elected in 2014 by a wide margin. He is running for re-election.[306] Cornyn is facing former Cleveland school board member Dwayne Stovall and former Dallas Wings owner Mark Yancey in the Republican primary.[307][308][309] State Senator Pat Fallon considered challenging Cornyn, but announced in mid-October that he would not run.[309][310]
Democrats who are running include former Congressman Chris Bell,[311] pastor and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2018, Michael Cooper,[312] Houston City Council member Amanda Edwards,[313] MJ Hegar, an Air Force combat veteran who served as the 2018 Democratic nominee for Texas's 31st congressional district,[314][312] Sema Hernandez, a former candidate for U.S Senate in 2018,[315][316] Midland City Councilman John B. Love,[317] financial analyst Adrian Ocegueda,[312] labor organizer and author Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez,[318] and state senator Royce West.[319][320] Other potential Democratic candidates include Congressman Colin Allred, Congresswoman Lizzie Pannill Fletcher, Congresswoman Veronica Escobar, Congresswoman Sylvia Garcia, San Antonio mayor Ron Nirenberg, and state representative Rafael Anchia.[321] On July 22, 2019, former state senator Wendy Davis announced that she would not be a candidate for the U.S. Senate, running for the House of Representatives instead.[322]
Virginia
Two-term incumbent Democrat Mark Warner was re-elected by a very narrow margin in 2014 after winning easily in 2008. He is running for re-election.[157]
Republicans who are running include teacher Allisa Baldwin,[152] U.S. Navy reservist Omari Faulkner,[153] Roger Franklin,[154] professor and U.S. Army veteran Daniel Gade,[155] U.S. Army veteran and intelligence officer Thomas Speciale,[156] and University of Maryland law professor Victor William.[158]
West Virginia
One-term incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito was easily elected over a credible opponent after serving 14 years in the U.S. House of Representatives. She is being challenged in the Republican primary by Allen Whitt, President of the West Virginia Family Policy Council.[323]
Social justice activist Paula Jean Swearengin, a candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018,[324] and former state senator Richard Ojeda, a nominee for the U.S. House of Representatives in West Virginia's 3rd congressional district in 2018 and briefly a candidate for president in 2020, have announced they are seeking the Democratic nomination.
Wyoming
Four-term incumbent Republican Mike Enzi was re-elected in 2014. Enzi announced in May 2019 that he will retire. Announced Republican candidates include geologist Mark Armstrong,[160] former congresswoman Cynthia Lummis,[325] and Wyoming Army National Guard veteran Joshua Wheeler.[164] Congresswoman Liz Cheney has announced that she will not be a candidate.[326] Former two-term governor Matt Mead[327] is a potential Republican candidate.[328]
Chuck Jagoda, teacher,[329] and Yana Ludwig, activist and community organizer,[162] have announced they are seeking the Democratic nomination.
See also
- 2020 United States elections
- 2020 United States House of Representatives elections
- 2020 United States presidential election
- 2020 United States gubernatorial elections
Notes
- ^ a b Because the vice president of the United States has the power to break ties in the Senate, a Senate majority requires either 51 Senate seats without control of the vice presidency or 50 seats with control of the vice presidency. Thus, assuming that the two independents continue to caucus with the Senate Democratic Caucus, the Democrats will have to pick up at least three Senate seats to win a majority. If a Republican is elected as vice president in the 2020 election, then Democrats will have to pick up at least four Senate seats to win a majority.
- ^ The two independents, Bernie Sanders and Angus King, have both caucused with the Democratic Party since joining the Senate.
- ^ Incumbent in 2014, except where noted
- ^ the following morning
- ^ a b If no candidate wins a majority of the vote in the November 3, 2020 jungle primary, the top two candidates will go to run-off.
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{{cite news}}
: Missing or empty|title=
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