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2020 United States presidential election

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United States presidential election, 2020

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The electoral map for the 2020 election, based on populations from the 2010 Census. The 2020 election will be the last election to use the data from the 2010 Census; the subsequent two elections will use information from the as yet-to-be-collected 2020 United States Census.

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican



The United States presidential election of 2020, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2020, will be the 59th quadrennial U.S. presidential election. Voters will select presidential electors who in turn will either elect a new president and vice president through the electoral college or re-elect the incumbents. The series of presidential primary elections and caucuses are likely to be held during the first six months of 2020. This nominating process is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots selecting a slate of delegates to a political party's nominating convention, who then in turn elect their party's presidential nominee.

President Donald Trump of the Republican Party, who was elected in 2016, will be eligible to seek re-election. The winner of the 2020 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2021.

Background

Procedure

Article Two of the United States Constitution states that for a person to be elected and serve as President of the United States the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, at least 35 years old and a United States resident for at least 14 years. Candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of the various political parties of the United States, in which case each party develops a method (such as a primary election) to choose the candidate the party deems best suited to run for the position. The primary elections are usually indirect elections where voters cast ballots for a slate of party delegates pledged to a particular candidate. The party's delegates then officially nominate a candidate to run on the party's behalf. The general election in November is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the President and Vice President.[1] The Twenty-second Amendment to the Constitution limits a President to two terms. This prohibits former Presidents Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama from running in this election.

The age group of what will then be persons in the 18 to 45-year-old bracket is expected to represent 40 percent of the United States' eligible voters in 2020.[2]

Simultaneous elections

The presidential election will occur at the same time as elections to the Senate and the House of Representatives. Several states will also hold state gubernatorial and state legislative elections. Following the election, the United States House will redistribute the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the 2020 United States Census, and the states will conduct a redistricting of Congressional and state legislative districts. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting (although some states have redistricting commissions), and often a party that wins a presidential election experiences a coattail effect that also helps other candidates of that party win election.[3] Therefore, the party that wins the 2020 presidential election could also win a significant advantage in the drawing of new Congressional and state legislative districts that would stay in effect until the 2032 elections.[4]

Advantage of incumbency

An incumbent president seeking re-election usually faces no significant opposition during their respective party's primaries, especially if they are still popular. For Presidents Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Obama, for example, their respective paths to nomination became uneventful and the races become merely pro forma; all four then went on to win a second presidential term. Serious challenges are rare, but then generally presage failure to win the general election in the fall. During the 1976 Republican Party primaries, then-former California Governor Reagan carried 23 states while running against incumbent President Gerald Ford; Ford then went on to lose the presidential election to Jimmy Carter, albeit carrying more states. Senator Ted Kennedy then carried 12 states while running against Carter during the 1980 Democratic Party primaries; Reagan then defeated Carter in the fall of 1980. Pat Buchanan captured a decent percentage of a protest vote against George H. W. Bush during the 1992 Republican primaries, but only received a handful of delegates; Bush too subsequently went on to lose in the general election to Clinton.

Republican Party

Donald Trump is eligible to run for re-election and has implied that he intends to do so.[5] His reelection campaign is ongoing. On January 20, 2017 at 5:11 PM, he submitted a letter as a substitute of FEC Form 2, for which he had reached the legal threshold for filing, in compliance with the Federal Election Campaign Act.[6]

Presumptive incumbents

Name Born Current or previous positions State

Donald Trump
June 14, 1946
(age 78)
New York City, New York
President of the United States since 2017
Candidate for President in 2000

New York

Mike Pence
June 7, 1959
(age 65)
Columbus, Indiana
Vice President of the United States since 2017
Governor of Indiana 2013–2017
U.S. Representative 2001–2013
Republican nominee for U.S. Representative in 1988 and 1990

Indiana

Below are other Republican candidates that may or will run in 2020:

Declared candidates

Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref

Jack Fellure
October 3, 1931
(age 93)
Midkiff, West Virginia
Prohibition nominee for President in 2012
Candidate for President 19882008 and 2016

West Virginia
November 9, 2016 [7]

Potential convention sites

Bids for the National Convention will be solicited in the fall of 2017, with finalists being announced early the following spring. The winning bid will be revealed in the summer of 2018.

Democratic Party

Declared major candidates

The candidates in this section have held public office and/or been included in a minimum of five independent national polls.

Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref

John Delaney
April 16, 1963
(age 61)
Wood-Ridge, New Jersey
U.S. Representative from Maryland since 2013
Maryland
July 28, 2017
(Campaign)
[10][11]

Declared minor candidates

Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref

Rocky De La Fuente
October 10, 1954
(age 70)
San Diego, California
American Delta and Reform
nominee for President in 2016

Candidate for Mayor of New York City in 2017
Candidate for the U.S. Senate from Florida in 2016

New York
January 9, 2017 [12]

Geoffrey Fieger
December 23, 1950
(age 73)
Detroit, Michigan
Democratic nominee for
Governor of Michigan in 1998

Michigan
January 13, 2017 [13]

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for President within the last six months.

Potential convention sites

Bids for the National Convention will be solicited in the fall of 2017, with finalists being announced early the following spring. The winning bid will be revealed in the summer of 2018.

Third-party, independent, and unaffiliated candidates

Libertarian Party

Declared candidates

Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref

Adam Kokesh
February 1, 1982
(age 42)
San Francisco, California
Political activist
Arizona
July 22, 2013 [38]

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for President within the last six months.

Green Party

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for President within the last six months.

Independent or unaffiliated

Declared candidates

Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref

Jeremy Gable
May 10, 1982
(age 42)
Lakenheath, England
Playwright
Pennsylvania
May 11, 2015 [42]

Dan Rattiner
1939
(age Error: Need valid year, month, day)
New York City, New York
Journalist
Newspaper publisher

New York
April 24, 2015 [43]

Kanye West
June 8, 1977
(age 47)
Atlanta, Georgia
Rapper
Songwriter
Record producer
Fashion designer
Entrepreneur

California
August 30, 2015 [44]

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for President within the last six months.

See also

Notes

References

  1. ^ "US Election guide: how does the election work?". The Daily Telegraph. November 6, 2012. Retrieved October 29, 2015.
  2. ^ Weeks, Linton (January 25, 2013). "Forget 2016. The Pivotal Year In Politics May Be 2020". NPR. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
  3. ^ Campbell, James E. (March 1986). "Presidential Coattails and Midterm Losses in State Legislative Elections". The American Political Science Review. 80 (1): 45. JSTOR 1957083.
  4. ^ Sarlin, Benjy (August 26, 2014). "Forget 2016: Democrats already have a plan for 2020". MSNBC.
  5. ^ Westwood, Sarah (January 22, 2017). "Trump hints at re-election bid, vowing 'eight years' of 'great things'". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved February 21, 2017.
  6. ^ Morehouse, Lee (January 30, 2017). "Trump breaks precedent, files as candidate for re-election on first day". KTVK. Retrieved February 21, 2017.
  7. ^ "Jack Fellure" (PDF). Retrieved June 22, 2017. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  8. ^ Morrison, Jane Ann (December 7, 2013). "City may not be ready for GOP convention in 2016, but in 2020 ..." Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
  9. ^ Tetreault, Steve; Myers, Laura (May 22, 2014). "Las Vegas withdraws GOP convention bid; arena, timing difficulties cited". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
  10. ^ Delaney, John (July 28, 2017). "John Delaney: Why I'm running for president". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 28, 2017.
  11. ^ http://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/092/201708109070314092/201708109070314092.pdf
  12. ^ Winger, Richard (January 10, 2017). "Rocky De La Fuente Tells Court that He Plans to Seek Democratic Party Nomination for President in 2020". Ballot Access News. Retrieved January 10, 2017.
  13. ^ Russell, Kim (January 13, 2017). "Ad for attorney Geoffrey Fieger sends message he wants to run for president in 2020". WXYZ-TV. Retrieved February 21, 2017.
  14. ^ Egan, Matt (May 18, 2017). "Biden isn't ruling out 2020 run for president". CNN. Retrieved May 19, 2017.
  15. ^ Martin, Jonathan (May 31, 2017). "Biden to Create a Political Action Committee, a Possible Signal for 2020". The New York Times. Retrieved May 31, 2017.
  16. ^ Dovere, Edward-Isaac (May 31, 2017). "Biden launches PAC, keeping options open". Politico. Retrieved May 31, 2017.
  17. ^ Gregg, Katherine (February 21, 2017). "Lincoln Chafee defends Trump, criticizes Raimondo and does not rule out return to politics". The Providence Journal. Retrieved February 26, 2017.
  18. ^ "Former Democratic presidential candidate blasts media for 'onslaught' on Trump". Business Insider. February 21, 2017. Retrieved February 26, 2017.
  19. ^ Granahan, Tara (February 21, 2017). "LISTEN: Former Governor Chafee: Running again?". WPRI-TV. Retrieved March 9, 2017.
  20. ^ Blake, Meredith (June 24, 2017). "Stephen Colbert announces on Russian TV he's considering running for president in 2020". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved June 25, 2017.
  21. ^ Wang, Amy B. (June 24, 2017). "Stephen Colbert went to Russia to 'announce' his 2020 run for president". The Washington Post. Retrieved June 25, 2017.
  22. ^ Kreps, Daniel (June 24, 2017). "Stephen Colbert Teases 2020 Presidential Run on Russian TV". Rolling Stone. Retrieved June 25, 2017.
  23. ^ "Not My Job: Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper Gets Quizzed On 2020". NPR. April 8, 2017. Retrieved May 6, 2017.
  24. ^ Romano, Andrew (June 20, 2017). "Eric Holder joins the anti-Trump resistance — and mulls a presidential campaign of his own". Yahoo! News. Retrieved June 20, 2017.
  25. ^ Greenwood, Max (June 20, 2017). "Holder mulling 2020 bid". The Hill. Retrieved June 20, 2017.
  26. ^ Crockett Jr., Stephen A. "Eric Holder May Run for the White House in 2020". The Root. Retrieved June 20, 2017.
  27. ^ Leahy, Norman (March 2, 2017). "President McAuliffe". The Washington Post. Retrieved March 4, 2017.
  28. ^ Martin, Jonathan (February 26, 2017). "Primary for Virginia Governor Tests Power of an Anti-Trump Campaign". The New York Times. Retrieved July 18, 2017.
  29. ^ Dovere, Edward-Isaac (June 13, 2017). "McAuliffe looks past the Clintons, toward 2020". Politico. Retrieved July 18, 2017.
  30. ^ Seitz-Wald, Alex (January 22, 2017). "An Irish Wake for Democrats on Trump's Inauguration Weekend". NBC News. Retrieved March 11, 2017.
  31. ^ DiStaso, John (April 17, 2017). "O'Malley says President Trump, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un are both 'erratic, malignantly narcissistic'". WMUR-TV. Retrieved April 18, 2017.
  32. ^ Sexton, Adam (May 1, 2017). "CloseUP: Martin O'Malley 'might' run in 2020". WMUR-TV. Retrieved May 10, 2017.
  33. ^ Alpert, Adrienne (July 10, 2017). "Congressman Adam Schiff talks Russian hacking, earthquake funding". KABC-TV. Retrieved July 29, 2017.
  34. ^ Poe, Kelly (August 1, 2016). "Mayor Bell: Birmingham will seek the DNC again in 2020". The Birmingham News. Retrieved March 5, 2017.
  35. ^ a b Knox, Tom (February 20, 2015). "Columbus may have to contend with Indianapolis for 2020 conventions". American City Business Journals. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
  36. ^ Barkan, Ross (February 12, 2015). "Bill de Blasio Is Now Thinking About Bringing 2020 Democratic Convention to NYC". New York Observer. Retrieved October 29, 2015.
  37. ^ Pistor, Nicholas J.C. (February 26, 2014). "St. Louis declines invitation to bid for 2016 Democratic National Convention". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved July 28, 2016.
  38. ^ "Adam Kokesh to Run for President in 2020". Independent Political Report. July 22, 2013. Retrieved October 29, 2015.
  39. ^ Rozsa, Matthew (July 18, 2017). "WATCH: Is she 2020's Gary Johnson?". Salon. Retrieved July 20, 2017.
  40. ^ Horseman, Jeff (March 15, 2017). "A Q&A with 2016 presidential candidate Jill Stein -- will she seek nomination in 2020?". The Press-Enterprise. Retrieved March 20, 2017.
  41. ^ Chaitin, Daniel (March 16, 2017). "Jill Stein open to a 2020 presidential bid". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved March 20, 2017.
  42. ^ "PAGE BY PAGE REPORT DISPLAY FOR 15951367215 (Page 1 of 1)". fec.gov. Retrieved February 21, 2017.
  43. ^ Rattiner, Dan (April 24, 2015). "Dan Rattiner Running for President in 2020". Dan's Papers. Retrieved January 10, 2016. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  44. ^ Cinnsealach, Somhairle (November 14, 2016). "Kanye West Doubles Down On His Plans To Run For President In 2020". www.hiphopdx.com. Retrieved February 21, 2017.
  45. ^ Cite error: The named reference Cuban1 was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  46. ^ Cite error: The named reference Cuban2 was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  47. ^ Cite error: The named reference Johnson1 was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  48. ^ Cite error: The named reference Johnson2 was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  49. ^ Cite error: The named reference Johnson3 was invoked but never defined (see the help page).