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===Decision pending===
===Decision pending===
{{As of |2023|01}}, the following notable individuals have publicly expressed an interest in running and are expected to make an announcement regarding their official candidacy within a set timeline.
{{As of |2023|01}}, the following notable individuals have publicly expressed an interest in running and are expected to make an announcement regarding their official candidacy within a set timeline.
* [[Ron DeSantis]], 46th [[Governor of Florida]] (2019–present), [[United States Representative]] from [[Florida's 6th congressional district|FL-06]] (2013–2018)<ref>{{cite web|title=Trump 'is in trouble', says insider after DeSantis surges in 2024 polls|url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/dec/14/desantis-trump-2024-republican-presidential-poll|work=The Guardian|date=December 14, 2022|access-date=December 17, 2022|author=Pengelly, Martin}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=DeSantis beats Trump in poll; Georgia grand jury probe of Trump wraps up: recap|url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2023/01/23/politics-live-updates-biden-documents-debt-ceiling-standoff/11100063002/|date=January 24, 2023|access-date=January 25, 2023|work=USA Today|author1=Tran, Ken|author2=Kaufman, Anna|author3=Jackson, David|author4=Collins, Michael|author5=Elbeshbishi, Sarah|author6=Woodall, Candy}}</ref> ''(decision expected in May 2023)''<ref>{{cite web |author=Contorno |first=Steve |last2=Warren |first2=Michael |date=October 24, 2022 |title=As Trump blusters, DeSantis builds his case but tells people to ‘chill out’ with 2024 talk |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2022/11/16/politics/ron-desantis-donald-trump-2024-president/index.html |url-status=live |access-date=January 25, 2022 |work=CNN}}</ref>
* [[Nikki Haley]], 29th [[United States Ambassador to the United Nations]] (2017–2018), 116th [[Governor of South Carolina]] (2011–2017) ''(decision expected by early 2023)''<ref name=":2">{{cite web |author1=Schwartz, Brian |author2=Breuninger, Kevin |date=January 24, 2023 |title=Former Trump UN ambassador Nikki Haley gears up for likely 2024 run for president |url=https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/24/former-trump-un-ambassador-nikki-haley-gears-up-for-likely-2024-run-for-president.html |access-date=January 24, 2023 |work=CNBC}}</ref>
* [[Nikki Haley]], 29th [[United States Ambassador to the United Nations]] (2017–2018), 116th [[Governor of South Carolina]] (2011–2017) ''(decision expected by early 2023)''<ref name=":2">{{cite web |author1=Schwartz, Brian |author2=Breuninger, Kevin |date=January 24, 2023 |title=Former Trump UN ambassador Nikki Haley gears up for likely 2024 run for president |url=https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/24/former-trump-un-ambassador-nikki-haley-gears-up-for-likely-2024-run-for-president.html |access-date=January 24, 2023 |work=CNBC}}</ref>
* [[Asa Hutchinson]], 46th [[Governor of Arkansas|Governor]] of [[Arkansas]] (2015–2023), [[Administrator of Drug Enforcement]] (2001–2003), [[United States Representative]] from [[Arkansas's 3rd congressional district|AR-03]] (1997–2001) ''(decision expected by April 2023)''<ref>{{cite web|title=Hutchinson says he'll decide 2024 run early next year: Trump has 'accelerated everyone's time frame'|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/hutchinson-says-ll-decide-2024-run-early-year-trump-accelerated-everyo-rcna62289|publisher=[[NBC News]]|date=December 18, 2022|first=Summer|last=Concepcion|access-date=December 18, 2022}}</ref>
* [[Asa Hutchinson]], 46th [[Governor of Arkansas|Governor]] of [[Arkansas]] (2015–2023), [[Administrator of Drug Enforcement]] (2001–2003), [[United States Representative]] from [[Arkansas's 3rd congressional district|AR-03]] (1997–2001) ''(decision expected by April 2023)''<ref>{{cite web|title=Hutchinson says he'll decide 2024 run early next year: Trump has 'accelerated everyone's time frame'|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/hutchinson-says-ll-decide-2024-run-early-year-trump-accelerated-everyo-rcna62289|publisher=[[NBC News]]|date=December 18, 2022|first=Summer|last=Concepcion|access-date=December 18, 2022}}</ref>

Revision as of 13:21, 26 January 2023

2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
← 2020 February to June 2024[1] 2028 →
2,467 delegates (2,373 pledged and 94 unpledged) to the Republican National Convention[2][a]
1,234[2] votes needed to win
2024 U.S. presidential election
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← 2020 2024 2028 →

Presidential primaries and caucuses are being organized by the Republican Party to select the delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention scheduled to be held between February and June 2024 to determine the party's nominee for president of the United States in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The elections will take place in all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories (these territories do not participate in the presidential election, although do hold straw polls).

On November 15, 2022, at Mar-a-Lago, Donald Trump announced that he would run again in 2024. He is seeking to become the second president after Grover Cleveland to serve two non-consecutive terms since the 1892 U.S. presidential election.[3][4] While Trump is considered the early frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination,[5] he faces challenges: the public hearings of the U.S. House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack have damaged public opinion towards him; Florida Governor Ron DeSantis raised more campaign funds in the first half of 2022;[6] Democrats may attempt to invoke the Fourteenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution to prevent Trump from being eligible;[7] and he is currently the subject of four distinct criminal investigations into his activities while in office.[8][9][10]

Trump announced in March 2022 that if he runs for re-election and wins the Republican presidential nomination, his former vice president Mike Pence will not be his running mate.[11] If Trump runs against Biden again, it will be the first presidential rematch since 1956 after Dwight D. Eisenhower successfully ran for reelection against Adlai Stevenson II, and if Trump wins, he will be the first person to lose a presidential election and then win a rematch of that election since Grover Cleveland in 1892, as well as the only president besides Cleveland to serve two nonconsecutive terms. The last president to run after leaving office was Theodore Roosevelt, who chose not to run in 1908 before coming in second in 1912 as the presidential nominee of the Progressive Party, although Herbert Hoover briefly sought the Republican presidential nomination at several national conventions subsequent to leaving office in 1933. If Trump wins, he will be the first Republican president to serve two non-consecutive terms, and the second overall after Cleveland, a Democrat. Trump would also be the first person to win the Republican presidential nomination three consecutive times, and the first to win it three times in total since Richard Nixon.[b]

Candidates

Declared major candidates

The candidates in this section have received substantial media coverage, hold or have held significant elected office, and/or have been included in at least five national polls.

Name Born Experience Home state Campaign
Announcement date 		Ref[12]

Donald Trump 		June 14, 1946
(age 78)
Queens, New York 		President of the United States
(2017–2021)
Chairman of The Trump Organization (1971–2017)
Florida
Campaign
Announced November 15, 2022
FEC filing[13] 		[14]

Other declared candidates

The candidates in this section are otherwise noteworthy, but have not met the requirements outlined above.

Declared intent to run

As of January 2023, the following notable individuals have declared their intent to run for president but have not officially launched their campaigns.

Decision pending

As of January 2023, the following notable individuals have publicly expressed an interest in running and are expected to make an announcement regarding their official candidacy within a set timeline.

Publicly expressed interest

As of January 2023, the following notable individuals have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.

Potential candidates

As of January 2023, there has been speculation about the potential candidacy of the following notable individuals within the previous six months.

Declined to be candidates

The following notable individuals have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Vice presidential speculation

Main article: 2024 Republican Party vice presidential candidate selection

Multiple reporters, political analysts and commentators have noted that Trump selecting Pence to be his running mate once again would be highly unlikely following rifts between the two over the future of the Republican Party and Pence's attempts to distance himself from the former president.[77][78][79] In June 2022, the House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack found that Trump said Pence "deserved" calls to be hanged on the day of the attack.[80] Pence has similarly stated that he has no interest in seeking the vice-presidential nomination again.[81]

Several individuals have received speculation about possible selection as vice presidential nominee in 2024 including Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina, Governor Glenn Youngkin of Virginia, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida, Governor Kim Reynolds of Iowa, Senator Joni Ernst of Iowa, Senator Rick Scott of Florida, and Lieutenant Governor Jeanette Nuñez of Florida.[82][83] Even as of recently, some have been speculating that former Ambassador Nikki Haley of South Carolina could be Trump's running mate.[84] However, as of recently, Nikki Haley has been giving signals of a possible 2024 run,[85][86] and Donald Trump said he would not pick her as vice president due to her looks.[87][88]

Reportedly, rapper Kanye West has claimed on Twitter that he has talked with Trump about being West's running mate for 2024. West has not said if Trump has accepted or declined his offer, and Trump has not responded to these claims from West.[89] Trump has also "repeatedly" discussed the possibility of choosing United States Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene as his running mate.[90] Greene has claimed that she is in talks with Trump to become his running mate.[91] Kari Lake, the former Republican gubernatorial nominee for Arizona, was also considered by news outlets to be a potential VP pick for the former president,[92][93] however she has since said that she does not want the role.[94]

Timeline

Background

After losing his re-election bid in 2020, Trump managed to remain the main front runner of the GOP. He would flex his muscle within the GOP, by recruiting challengers to several House members who impeached him, as well as pushing several candidates through for open races. Despite several conditions leading to the impression of a red wave, Republicans barely managed to win the House, and lost ground in the Senate. The lackluster performance by Republicans, notably endorsed by Trump, and running in several tossups and areas Trump himself won, led to a hit in the polls.[95] It is around this time that Governor of Florida Ron DeSantis began to see a huge increase in his polling numbers, largely because of his landslide victory in the 2022 Florida gubernatorial election.[96] It was often speculated that the main two GOP contenders for 2024 would be DeSantis and Trump,[97][98] despite DeSantis not yet announcing a presidential run.

Debates

As of January 2023, it was reported by The New York Times that the Republican National Committee (RNC) started talks with major TV networks about debates.[99]

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis[c]
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State executive officials
State legislators
Individuals
Larry Hogan[c]
State executive officials
Mike Pence[c]
U.S. Representatives
State executive officials
Individuals
Mike Pompeo[c]
U.S. Representatives
Tim Scott[c]
U.S. Senators
Donald Trump
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
State executive officials
State legislators
Local and county officials
International politicians
Party officials
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Nationwide polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Ron
DeSantis 		Mike
Pence 		Donald
Trump 		Other/Undecided
[e] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics November 18 – January 17, 2022 January 19, 2022 30.5% 6.3% 44.3% 18.9% 13.8%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[f] 		Margin
of error 		Ted
Cruz 		Ron
DeSantis 		Nikki
Haley 		Mike
Pence 		Donald
Trump 		Other Undecided
Morning Consult December 21, 2022 – January 2, 2023 4,829 (RV) ± 1.0% 2% 34% 3% 8% 45% 8%[g] –
YouGov/The Economist December 17–20, 2022 1,500 (A) ± 3.3% – 41% – – 26% – 33%
YouGov/Yahoo News December 15–19, 2022 450 (RV) ± 2.7% – 48% – – 40% – 12%
449 (RV) – 37% 5% 4% 39% 7% 8%
Morning Consult December 16–18, 2022 4,105 (RV) ± 2.0% 3% 33% 2% 8% 48% 7% –
Big Village December 16–18, 2022 357 (A) ± 3.1% 4% 27% 4% 10% 51% 5% –
Harris Poll/Harvard University Center for American Political Studies December 14–15, 2022 – – – 52% – – 48% – –
2% 25% 4% 6% 48% 4% 11%
Echelon Insights December 12–14, 2022 454 (RV) – – 46% – – 47% – 7%
– 2% 32% 4% 4% 41% 9% 8%
418 (RV) – – 46% – – 48% – 6%
– 2% 35% 3% 4% 40% 6% 10%
McLaughlin & Associates December 9–14, 2022 480 (RV) – – 36% – – 58% – 7%
– 23% 3% 5% 49% 14% 8%
Monmouth University December 8–12, 2022 563 (RV) ± 3.1% 1% 39% 1% 2% 26% 6% 25%
Morning Consult/Politico December 9–12, 2022 4,215 (RV) ± 2.0% 2% 31% 2% 8% 49% 7%[h] –
USA Today/Suffolk University December 7–11, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% – 56% – – 33% 11% –
Wall Street Journal December 3–7, 2022 270(V) ±6.0% – – – 28% 63% – 9%
267(V) ±6.0% – 52% – – 38% – 9%
YouGov/Yahoo News December 1–5, 2022 1,635 (A) ± 2.6% – 39% – – 46% 5%[i] 11%
– 30% 5% 5% 35% 13%[j] 12%
The Economist/YouGov November 26–29, 2022 1,500 (A) – 3% 30% 3% 8% 36% 13%[k] 7%
Quinnipiac University November 16–20, 2022 1,402 (LV) ± 2.6% – 44% – – 44% 0% 11%
Morning Consult/Politico November 18–20, 2022 849 (RV) – 3% 30% 2% 7% 45% 13%[l] –
Emerson College November 18–19, 2022 614 (RV) ± 2.5% 3% 25% 3% 8% 55% 6%[m] –
Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll November 16–17, 2022 2,212 (RV) – – 28% – – 46% – 26%
November 15, 2022 Trump declares his candidacy
Leger November 11–13, 2022 1,007 (A) – – 45% – – 42% – 13%
YouGov November 9–11, 2022 1,500 (A) – – 42% – – 35% 10% 13%
Zogby Analytics November 9–11, 2022 864 (LV) ± 3.3% – 28% 3% 8% 47% 7%[n] 8%
November 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Politico/Morning Consult September 16–18, 2022 2005 (RV) ±2.0% 2% 19% 2% 9% 49% 3%[o] –
Politico/Morning Consult August 10, 2022 2004 (RV) ±2.0% 2% 18% 2% 8% 56% 1%[p] –
Harvard/Harris July 27–28, 2022 1885 (RV) – 3% 19% 5% 7% 52% 2%[q] 9%
Suffolk University July 22–25, 2022 414 (RV) – – 34% 3% 7% 43% 5%[r] 8%
Politico/Morning Consult July 15–17, 2022 2005 (RV) ±2.0% 3% 23% 2% 7% 53% 4%[s] –
Politico/Morning Consult July 8–10, 2022 2005 (RV) ±2.0% 2% 21% 3% 8% 52% – –
The New York Times/Siena College July 5–7, 2022 849 (RV) ±4.1% 7% 25% 6% 6% 49% 1% 5%
McLaughlin & Associates January 13–18, 2022 468 (LV) – – 13% 4% 9% 53% – 8%
John Bolton Super PAC January 6, 2022 501 (LV) – 5% 19% 4% 4% 36% – 22%
UMass Amherst December 14–20, 2021 306 (A) – 6% 20% 7% 6% 55% – –
McLaughlin & Associates November 11–16, 2021 450 (LV) – 2% 15% 3% 7% 55% 6% 8%
Zogby Analytics November 8–10, 2021 371 (LV) – 2% 7% 5% 12% 59% 6%[t] 4%
YouGov/Yahoo News November 4–8, 2021 559 (A) – – 21% 5% 4% 44% 1%[u] 19%
Harvard/Harris October 26–28, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% – 10% – 9% 47% 15% 19%
YouGov/Yahoo News October 19–21, 2021 629 (A) – – 18% 4% 5% 41% 2%[v] 24%
Echelon Insights (Archive) Archived October 20, 2021, at the Wayback Machine October 15–19, 2021 476 (RV) – – – – – 66%[w] 31% 4%
– 22% – – 62%[w] – 16%
McLaughlin & Associates October 14–18, 2021 463 (LV) – 3% 10% 4% 9% 53%[w] 9%[x] 6%
Morning Consult October 8–11, 2021 803 (RV) – 3% 12% 3% 12% 47% 6%[y] 4%
Echelon Insights September 17–23, 2021 479 (RV) – – – – – 59%[w] 32% 9%
John Bolton Super PAC September 16–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 5% 25% 6% 3% 26% 10%[z] 20%
Harvard/Harris September 15–16, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% – 9% 3% 13% 58% 0% 14%
McLaughlin & Associates September 9–14, 2021 456 (LV) – 3% 8% 2% 10% 59%[w] 7%[aa] 4%
Emerson College August 30 – September 1, 2021 395 (RV) ± 4.9% 2% 10% 7% 6% 67% 5%[ab] 1%
McLaughlin & Associates July 29 – August 3, 2021 467 (LV) – 3% 11% 4% 8% 54%[w] 7%[ac] 6%
YouGov/Yahoo News July 30 – August 2, 2021 518 (A) – – 13% 4% 3% 58% 1%[ad] 17%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates July 6–8, 2021 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 2% 19% 3% 8% 47%[w] 2%[ae] 13%
– 31% – – 58%[w] – 11%
John Bolton Super PAC July 8, 2021 1,000 (LV) – 5% 13% 5% 6% 46% 22% –
Echelon Insights June 18–22, 2021 386 (RV) – – – – – 59%[w] 35% 6%
McLaughlin & Associates June 16–20, 2021 444 (LV) – 4% 9% 3% 8% 55%[w] 8%[af] 7%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 24–26, 2021 378 (A) – – – – – 65% 19%[ag] 16%
Quinnipiac May 18–24, 2021 ~290 (A)[ah] – – – – – 66% 30%[ai] 4%
McLaughlin & Associates May 12–18, 2021 444 (LV) – 3% 8% 5% 10% 57%[w] 7%[aj] 7%
Echelon Insights May 14–17, 2021 479 (RV) – – – – – 63%[w] 31% 6%
Morning Consult/Politico May 14–17, 2021 782 (RV) ± 2% 4% 8% 4% 13% 48% 9%[ak] –
YouGov/Yahoo News May 11–13, 2021 348 (A) – – – – – 68% 22%[al] 10%
Trafalgar Group Apr 30 – May 6, 2021 – (LV)[am] –[w] – – – – 62% 27%[an] 11%[ao]
Echelon Insights Apr 16–23, 2021 440 (RV) – – – – – 59%[w] 35% 6%
McLaughlin & Associates Apr 8–13, 2021 441 (LV) 1% 3% 7% 2% 10% 55%[w] 8%[ap] 9%
PEM Management Corporation Apr 3–7, 2021 494 (LV) – 7% 9% 9% 6% 44% 1%[aq] –
Echelon Insights March 15–21, 2021 1,008 (RV) – – – – – 60%[w] 30% 10%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/The Hill Feb 20 – March 2, 2021 1,264 (LV) ± 2.7% 3% 7% 6% 9% 51%[w] 3%[ar] 12%
– – – – 57%[as] 16%[at] 27%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 24–28, 2021 448 (LV) – 5% 4% 3% 8% 54%[w] 9%[au] 10%
Harvard/Harris Feb 23–25, 2021 546 (RV) – 5% – 7% 18% 52%[w] 13%[av] –
Echelon Insights Feb 12–18, 2021 430 (RV) – – – – – 55%[w] 32% 14%
Morning Consult/Politico Feb 14–15, 2021 645 (RV) ± 4% 4% – 6% 12% 54% 10%[aw] –
Echelon Insights Jan 20–26, 2021 – (RV)[ax] – – – – – 48% 40% 11%
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
Léger Jan 15–17, 2021 1,007 (A)[ay] ± 3.09% 6% 2% 7% 13% 29%[w] 6%[az] –
Ipsos/Axios Jan 11–13, 2021 334 (A) ± 5.8% – – – – 57% 41% 1%[ba]
Morning Consult/Politico Jan 8–11, 2021 702 (RV) – 7% – 6% 18% 40% 15%[bb] –
January 6, 2021 January 6 United States Capitol attack
McLaughlin & Associates Dec 9–13, 2020 442 (LV) – 5% 1% 3% 11% 56% 5%[bc] 10%
Fox News Dec 6–9, 2020 ~ 413 (RV) ± 4.5% – – – – 71% 21%[bd] 8%
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax Nov 21–23, 2020 442 (LV) ± 3.1% 4% 2% 4% 9% 53%[w] 6%[be] 15%
Morning Consult/Politico Nov 21–23, 2020 765 (RV) ± 2% 4% – 4% 12% 53% 11%[bf] –
HarrisX/The Hill Nov 17–19, 2020 599 (RV) ± 2.26% – – – – 75% 25% –
Seven Letter Insight Nov 10–19, 2020 ~555 (V)[bg] ± 2.5% 6% – 7% 19% 35% 4%[bh] –
Léger Nov 13–15, 2020 304 (A)[bi] ± 3.09% 7% – 4% 22% 45%[w] 5%[bj] –
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
YouGov/Washington Examiner October 30, 2020 – (RV)[bk] – – – – – 38% 43%[bl] –
Polls without Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[f] 		Margin
of error 		Tucker
Carlson 		Ted
Cruz 		Ron
DeSantis 		Nikki
Haley 		Josh
Hawley 		Larry
Hogan 		Mike
Pence 		Mike
Pompeo 		Mitt
Romney 		Marco
Rubio 		Tim
Scott 		Donald
Trump Jr. 		Other Undecided
Harvard/Harris July 27–28, 2022 1885 (RV) – – 7% 34% 7% – – 19% 3% – 3% 1% – 3%[bm] 22%
NewsStation/Decision Desk HQ July 22–24, 2022 1,000 (RV) ±3.0% – 5% 23% 5% – – 20% – – – – – 44%[bn] –
Echelon Insights June 17–20, 2022 409 (LV) – – 6% 39% 3% 1% 0% 18% 0% 3% 2% 0% 7% 5%[bo] 15%
Echelon Insights[1] November 12–18, 2021 435 (RV) – – 10% 26% 6% 1% 0% 15% 1% 3% 1% 1% 13% 5%[bp] 20%
Harvard/Harris October 26–28, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% – 12% 21% – – – 23% – – – – – 0% 43%
Echelon Insights[2] October 15–19, 2021 476 (RV) – 2% 8% 22% 5% 0% 0% 8% 2% 3% 4% 2% 13% 8%[bq] 22%
McLaughlin & Associates October 14–18, 2021 463 (LV) – – 5% 24% 5% – – 14% 1% 5% 2% 2% 18% 11%[br] 13%
Echelon Insights[3] September 17–23, 2021 479 (RV) – 2% 9% 22% 6% 1% 1% 15% 2% 4% 2% 1% 9% 11%[bs] 21%
Harvard/Harris September 15–16, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% – 14% 20% – – – 32% – – – – – 0% 38%
McLaughlin & Associates September 9–14, 2021 456 (LV) – – 7% 22% 4% – – 15% 2% 4% 2% 2% 19% 12%[bt] 11%
Emerson College August 30 – September 1, 2021 395 (RV) ± 4.9% – 13% 32% 10% 6% – 24% – 6% – – – 9%[bu] 0%
McLaughlin & Associates July 29 – August 3, 2021 467 (LV) – – 9% 23% 4% – – 11% 2% 4% 4% 1% 12% 16%[bv] 14%
Echelon Insights[4] July 19–23, 2021 421 (RV) – 1% 9% 32% 4% 1% 0%[bw] 17% 1% 3% 2% 1% 10% 6%[bx] 13%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates July 6–8, 2021 800 (RV) ± 3.5% – 7% 39% 4% 0% 1% 15% 1% 3% – 2% – 4%[by] 24%
Echelon Insights[5] June 18–22, 2021 386 (RV) – 1% 6% 21% 6% 0%[bz] 0%[ca] 14% 0%[cb] 4% 3% 2% 7% 7%[cc] 26%
McLaughlin & Associates June 16–20, 2021 444 (LV) – – 6% 24% 4% – – 19% 1% 5% 2% 1% 15% 13%[cd] 11%
McLaughlin & Associates May 12–18, 2021 444 (LV) – 1% 12% 18% 5% – – 19% 2% 3% 1% 2% 13% 13%[ce] 12%
Echelon Insights[6] May 14–17, 2021 479 (RV) – 2% 9% 22% 5% 1% 0%[cf] 14% 1% 4% 1% 3% 6% 9%[cg] 19%
Trafalgar Group Apr 30 – May 6, 2021 – (LV)[ch] – – 15% 35% 6% 1% – 10% – 10% – – – 21%[ci] –
Echelon Insights[7] Apr 16–23, 2021 440 (RV) – 2% 8% 20% 6% 1% 0%[cj] 16% 1% 4% 2% 0%[ck] 9% 3%[cl] 28%
McLaughlin & Associates Apr 8–13, 2021 441 (LV) – 3% 10% 14% 3% – – 19% 2% 3% 3% 1% 15% 13%[cm] 14%
Echelon Insights March 15–21, 2021 1,008 (RV) – 4% 5% 17% 4% – – 16% 4% 3% 2% – 3% 7%[cn] 35%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/The Hill[8] Feb 20 – March 2, 2021 1,264 (LV) ± 2.7% – 13% 17% 8% 2% 1% 19% 4% 5% 4% 1% – 7%[co] 20%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 24–28, 2021 448 (LV) – 1% 9% 9% 5% – – 15% – 6% 2% – 21% 16%[cp] 17%
RMG Research/Just the News Feb 25–27, 2021 363 (RV) – 8% 18% 21% 10% 2% – – 9% – – – – 33%[cq] –
Harvard/Harris Feb 23–25, 2021 546 (RV) – – 16% – 10% 6% – 41% – – – 7% – 19%[cr] –
Echelon Insights Feb 12–18, 2021 430 (RV) – 1% 10% 8% 6% ≤1% 1% 21% 1% 4% ≤1% ≤1% 8% 12%[cs] 26%
Echelon Insights Jan 20–26, 2021 – (RV)[ct] – 2% 8% 2% 9% 0% 0% 21% 1% 3% 2% 1% 10% 10%[cu] 30%
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
Léger Jan 15–17, 2021 1,007 (A)[cv] ± 3.09% – 9% 3% 8% 2% 7% 22% 3% 20% 4% 3% 11% 8%[cw] –
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax Nov 21–23, 2020 442 (LV) ± 3.1% 1% 7% 2% 6% – – 20% 1% 5% 3% 2% 20% 13%[cx] 22%
Léger Nov 13–15, 2020 304 (A)[cy] ± 3.1% 6% 14% – 6% – – 44% 3% 11% 6% – – 7%[cz] –
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
McLaughlin & Associates Nov 2–3, 2020 449 (LV) – 2% 5% 2% 8% – – 30% – 5% 2% 1% 20% 5%[da] 21%
Echelon Insights Aug 14–18, 2020 423 (LV) – 2% 4% – 7% 0% 1% 26% – – 5% 1% 12% 11%[db] 29%
Léger Aug 4–7, 2020 309 (LV) ± 2.8% 7% 8% – 11% – – 31% 3% 9% 5% – 17% 9%[dc] –

Statewide polling

Arizona Primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[f] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis 		Nikki
Haley 		Mike
Pence 		Donald
Trump 		Other/
Undecided
Echelon Insights/NetChoice Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 337 (LV) ± 4.5% 36% – – 52% 11%
OH Predictive Insights November 1–8, 2021 252 (RV) ± 6.2% 16% 6% 9% 48% 20%
Florida primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[f] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis 		Donald
Trump 		Undecided
Club for Growth November 11–13, 2022 1,044 (LV) ± 3.0% 56% 30% 14%
August 7–10, 2022 49% 42% 9%
Georgia primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[f] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis 		Donald
Trump 		Undecided
Club for Growth November 11–13, 2022 843 (LV) ± 3.4% 55% 35% 10%
August 7–10, 2022 47% 41% 12%
Oklahoma Primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[f] 		Margin
of error 		Chris
Christie 		Ted
Cruz 		Ron
DeSantis 		Nikki
Haley 		Mike
Pence 		Mike
Pompeo 		Mitt
Romney 		Marco
Rubio 		Donald
Trump 		Donald
Trump Jr. 		Other Undecided
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 265 (LV) ± 6.3% – – 30% – – – – – 60% – – 10%
Amber Integrated Aug 11–15, 2022 684 (LV) ± 3.8% 2% 2% 22% 2% 6% 1% 4% 1% 50% – 4%[dd] 7%
2% 7% 49% 5% 10% 2% 4% 4% –[de] 6% 5%[df] 9%
Iowa caucus
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[f] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis 		Donald
Trump 		Undecided
Club for Growth November 11–13, 2022 508 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 37% 16%
August 7–10, 2022 37% 52% 12%
New Hampshire primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[f] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis 		Donald
Trump 		Undecided
Club for Growth November 11–13, 2022 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 37% 11%
August 7–10, 2022 45% 45% 10%
Maryland primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[f] 		Margin
of error 		Ted
Cruz 		Ron
DeSantis 		Nikki
Haley 		Larry
Hogan 		Mike
Pence 		Donald
Trump 		Undecided
OpinionWorks May 27 – June 2, 2022 428 (LV) ± 4.7% 1% 12% 5% 25% 6% 48% 3%
Virginia primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[f] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump 		Glenn
Youngkin 		Undecided
Roanoke College Nov 13–27, 2022 652 (A) ± 4.48% 52% 39% 9%
Roanoke College Aug 7–16, 2022 640 (A) ± 4.5% 62% 28% 10%
Texas primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[f] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis 		Tim
Scott 		Mike
Pompeo 		Nikki
Haley 		Mike
Pence 		Donald
Trump 		Undecided
CWS Research Nov 27–28, 2022 860 (LV) ± 3.34% 34% 1% 2% 4% 5% 37% 13%
CWS Research Nov 12–13, 2022 1,099 (LV) ± 2.96% 43% 1% 1% 4% 5% 32% 13%
Utah primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[f] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
Desantis 		Liz
Cheney 		Donald
Trump 		Ted
Cruz 		Mike
Pence 		Nikki
Haley 		Other/Undecided
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics November 18–23, 2022 802 (RV) ± 3.5% 24% 16% 15% 6% 6% 4% 29%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ This delegate count is accurate as of October 2024. Delegate counts are subject to change based on the number of Republicans elected to the State Legislatures, Governors chairs, U.S. House seats, and U.S. Senators seats through December 31, 2023.
  2. ^ Nixon won the nomination three non-consecutive times in the 1960, 1968, and 1972 Republican Party presidential primaries. The 1964 Republican nominee was Barry Goldwater.
  3. ^ a b c d e Has not declared their candidacy
  4. ^ a b Donald Trump's son
  5. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  7. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbot with 1%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  8. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbot with 1%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  9. ^ "Would not vote" with 5%
  10. ^ "Would not vote" with 4%; Glenn Youngkin with 2%; Chris Christie with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%
  11. ^ Donald Trump Jr with 9%; Marco Rubio with 3%; "Someone else" with 1%
  12. ^ "Would not vote" with 2%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mitt Romney with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%; Josh Hawley with 1%; Marco Rubio with 1%; Chris Christie with 0%; Larry Hogan with 0%; Kristi Noem with 0%; Rick Scott with 0%; Tim Scott with 0%.
  13. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Liz Cheney with 4%, Larry Hogan with 1%
  14. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Tucker Carlson with 1%; Tim Scott with 1%
  15. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%, Mike Pompeo, Marco Rubio, and Chris Christie with 1%
  16. ^ Chris Christie, Mike Pompeo, Marco Rubio, Tim Scott, and Josh Hawley with 1%
  17. ^ "Someone else" with 2%, Mike Pompeo, Marco Rubio, and Tim Scott with 1%
  18. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Chris Christie and Mike Pompeo with 1%
  19. ^ Mike Pompeo, Mitt Romney, Marco Rubio, and Tim Scott with 1%
  20. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Greg Abbott with 2%
  21. ^ Glenn Youngkin with 1%, Tucker Carlson with 3%
  22. ^ Tucker Carlson, Josh Hawley, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%
  23. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w Standard VI response
  24. ^ Candace Owens with 3%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  25. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  26. ^ Chris Christie with 7%; Kristi Noem with 3%, Josh Hawley with 1%
  27. ^ Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Candace Owens and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  28. ^ "Someone else" with 5%; Josh Hawley with 1%, Tom Cotton with 0%
  29. ^ John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Candace Owens with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 0%
  30. ^ Tucker Carlson with 2%, Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%
  31. ^ Tom Cotton, Larry Hogan, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
  32. ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  33. ^ "Trump should not run again in 2024" as opposed to "Trump should run again in 2024" with 19%
  34. ^ 22% of a full sample of 1,316 adults
  35. ^ "Do not want Trump to run" as opposed to "want Trump to run" with 30%
  36. ^ Candace Owens with 3%; John Kasich, Liz Cheney, Tucker Carlson, Rick Scott, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%
  37. ^ Would not vote with 4%; "Someone else" with 2%; Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  38. ^ "Trump should not run again in 2024" as opposed to "Trump should run again in 2024" with 22%
  39. ^ Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
  40. ^ "Unlikely or very unlikely to vote for Trump" as opposed to "Absolute will or likely to vote for Trump" with 24%; Would not vote with 3%
  41. ^ "Consider voting for Trump" with 8%; Undecided with 4%
  42. ^ John Kasich with 3%; Candace Owens with 2%; Tom Cotton, Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  43. ^ Kristi Noem with 1%
  44. ^ Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley, Larry Hogan, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
  45. ^ On whether voters thought they'd support a Trump primary campaign if he ran
  46. ^ "Would definitely not vote for Trump" with 16%
  47. ^ Candace Owens with 3%; Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 2%; Kristi Noem, Tucker Carlson, and Tim Scott with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  48. ^ "Someone else" with 12%; Josh Hawley with 2%, Tom Cotton with 1%
  49. ^ Would not vote with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley, Larry Hogan, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  50. ^ GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
  51. ^ Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[188]
  52. ^ Larry Hogan with 6%, Ben Sasse with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%; Josh Hawley, Ivanka Trump with 1%
  53. ^ Listed as "Skipped"
  54. ^ Would not vote with 6%; "Someone else" with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley, and Rick Scott with 1%
  55. ^ Tucker Carlson with 3%, John Kasich and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  56. ^ "Would not like to see Trump run for president in 2024" with 21%
  57. ^ John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem, Tucker Carlson, and Rick Scott with 1%
  58. ^ Would not vote with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Kristi Noem, Josh Hawley, and Rick Scott with 1%; Charlie Baker with 0%
  59. ^ 37% of the full sample of 1,500 2020 general election voters
  60. ^ Ivanka Trump and Tucker Carlson with 2%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Ben Sasse with 1%
  61. ^ Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
  62. ^ Tucker Carlson with 4%, John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%; Rick Santorum with 1%
  63. ^ Republican subsample of 1,200 registered voters
  64. ^ Respondents who think Trump should do something other than running for president in 2024 with 43%
  65. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  66. ^ "Someone else" with 38%; Greg Abbott with 4%; Tom Cotton with 2%.
  67. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
  68. ^ Liz Cheney, Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Glenn Youngkin, Rick Scott, and "Someone else" with 1%; Larry Hogan, Tom Cotton, Ben Sasse, and Kristi Noem with 0%.
  69. ^ Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 2%; "Someone else", Greg Abbott, Chris Christie and Tom Cotton with 1%; Josh Hawley, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
  70. ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%
  71. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott and Marjorie Taylor Greene with 0%
  72. ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  73. ^ "Someone else" with 8%; Tom Cotton with 1%
  74. ^ Candace Owens with 6%; Ivanka Trump with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  75. ^ No voters
  76. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
  77. ^ Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%; Chris Christie with 0%
  78. ^ No voters
  79. ^ No voters
  80. ^ No voters
  81. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Ben Sasse with 0%
  82. ^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; Candace Owens with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  83. ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; John Kasich with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  84. ^ No voters
  85. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%; Dave Portnoy with no voters
  86. ^ Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
  87. ^ "Someone else" with 19%; Kristi Noem and Ben Sasse with 1%
  88. ^ No voters
  89. ^ No voters
  90. ^ Kristi Noem and "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy and Rick Scott with 0%; Tom Cotton and Ben Sasse with no voters
  91. ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich with 2%; Rick Scott and Kristi Noem with 1%
  92. ^ Greg Abbott with 2%; "Someone else," Tom Cotton, Tim Scott, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott, Josh Hawley, and Dave Portnoy with 1% or less
  93. ^ Kristi Noem with 4%; Chris Christie, Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%
  94. ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Tim Scott with 2%; Rick Scott with 1%
  95. ^ "Other" with 21%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 4%; Greg Abbott and Devin Nunes with 2%
  96. ^ "Someone else" with 16%; Tom Cotton with 3%
  97. ^ Dan Crenshaw, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Rand Paul with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy, and Elise Stefanik with 1% or less
  98. ^ GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
  99. ^ Rand Paul with 3%; John Kasich and "Someone else" with 2%; Dan Crenshaw and Tom Cotton with 1%; Greg Abbott, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
  100. ^ Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[188]
  101. ^ Ben Sasse and Ivanka Trump with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%
  102. ^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem with 2%; Rick Scott with 0%
  103. ^ Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
  104. ^ Rick Santorum with 3%; John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%
  105. ^ John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  106. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton, Dan Crenshaw, Lindsey Graham and John Kasich with 2%; Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
  107. ^ Paul Ryan with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Kevin McCarthy with 2%
  108. ^ "Other" with 3%; Tim Scott with 1%
  109. ^ If Donald Trump declined to run
  110. ^ "Other" with 4%; Tim Scott with 1%

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