United States presidential election in Kansas, 2016

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United States presidential election in Kansas, 2016

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout 67.40% Increase

 
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 671,018 427,005
Percentage 56.6% 36.0%

Kansas Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County Results


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Kansas was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Kansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On March 5, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president.

Donald Trump won the election in Kansas with 56.6% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 36.0% of the vote.[1] Kansas was among the eleven states in which Hillary Clinton outperformed Barack Obama's margin in 2012 (though her percentage was lower than Obama's 38% of the vote), largely due to a significant shift towards Democrats in Johnson County.[2]

Background[edit]

The incumbent President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected president in the 2008 election, running with then-Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote,[3][4] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes.[5] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40 and 50 percent for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year.[6][7] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for President Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa.[8]

Following his second term, President Obama is not eligible for another reelection. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and two-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic presidential nomination either.[9] With their term expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate is asked to elect a new president, the 45th president and 48th vice president of the United States, respectively.

Political landscape in Kansas[edit]

The state of Kansas has given its electoral votes to the Republican ticket since 1968, and only once to the Democrats (1964) since 1940. All current statewide officials are Republicans, as are all four members of the state's U.S. House delegation. Mitt Romney defeated Barack Obama by a margin of 60% to 38% in 2012. However, Kansas has been considered a state that could be picked up by Hillary Clinton, due to Donald Trump's unpopularity amongst conservatives. A poll conducted by John Zogby found Clinton leading Trump by 7 points in June.[10] In addition, an internal poll for Representative Kevin Yoder, a Republican from Kansas' 3rd congressional district, released an internal poll showing Clinton leading Trump by 6 points in his district.[11] This district voted for Mitt Romney by a 10-point margin in 2012 and has a PVI of R+6. This result, coupled with Clinton's gains in national polls, caused Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball to move the Kansas race from "Safe Republican" to "Likely Republican" on August 18.[12]

Primary elections[edit]

Democratic caucuses[edit]

Results of the Democratic caucuses by Congressional District
  Bernie Sanders
Kansas Democratic caucuses, March 5, 2016
Candidate District delegates Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 26,637 67.90% 23 0 23
Hillary Clinton 12,593 32.10% 10 4 14
Uncommitted N/A 0 0 0
Total 39,230 100% 33 4 37
Source: The Green Papers

Republican caucuses[edit]

Results of the Republican caucuses by Congressional District
  Ted Cruz
Kansas Republican precinct caucuses, March 5, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
America Symbol.svg Ted Cruz 37,512 47.50% 24 0 24
Donald Trump 18,443 23.35% 9 0 9
Marco Rubio 13,295 16.83% 6 0 6
John Kasich 8,741 11.07% 1 0 1
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 582 0.74% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 279 0.35% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 84 0.11% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 42 0.05% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 78,978 100.00% 40 0 40
Source: The Green Papers

General election[edit]

Polling[edit]

Minor candidates[edit]

The following received write-in status:[13]

  • President: Andrew D. Basiago; Vice President: Karen D. Kinnison
  • President: Darrell L Castle; Vice President: Scott N. Bradley
  • President: “Rocky” Roque De La Fuente, Vice President: Michael Steinberg
  • President: Rocky Giordani; Vice President: Farley M Anderson
  • President: James A Hedges; Vice President: Bill V Bayes
  • President: Tom Hoefling; Vice President: Steve Schulin
  • President: Lynn Kahn; Vice President: Kathy Monahan
  • President: Gloria La Riva; Vice President: Eugene Puryer
  • President: Michael S. Levinson; Vice President: Perry E. Wharton, II
  • President: Michael A Maturen; Vice President: Juan A Munoz
  • President: Evan McMullin; Vice President: Nathan D Johnson
  • President: Monica G. Moorehead; Vice President: Lamont G. Lilly
  • President: Darryl Perry; Vice President: Conan Salada
  • President: Marshall R. Schoenke; Vice President: James C. Mitchell, Jr.
  • President: Joe C Schriner; Vice President: Joe Moreaux
  • President: Mike Smith; Vice President: Daniel White

Results[edit]

Candidate Popular vote Percentage
Donald Trump 671,018 56.2%
Hillary Clinton 427,005 35.7%
Gary Johnson 55,406 4.6%
Jill Stein 23,506 2.0%
Total 100%
Source: 2016 Unofficial Kansas General Election Results, Secretary of State

By congressional district[edit]

Trump won 3 of the 4 congressional districts.[14]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 69% 24% Tim Huelskamp
Roger Marshall
2nd 56% 37% Lynn Jenkins
3rd 46% 47% Kevin Yoder
4th 60% 33% Mike Pompeo

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Kansas Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 11, 2016. 
  2. ^ http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2016&def=swg&datatype=national&f=0&off=0&elect=0
  3. ^ "United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009". Clerk.house.gov. Retrieved January 30, 2009. 
  4. ^ "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 11, 2015. 
  5. ^ "President Map". The New York Times. November 29, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2015. 
  6. ^ "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 24, 2015. 
  7. ^ Byrnes, Jesse (2016-06-15). "Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012". TheHill. Retrieved 2016-06-19. 
  8. ^ Cohn, Nate (2015-01-19). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-06-19. 
  9. ^ "Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 21, 2015. 
  10. ^ "KANSAS STATEWIDE POLL FOR THE KANSAS HEALTH FOUNDATION" (PDF). Retrieved 22 August 2016. 
  11. ^ Wingerter, Justin. "Republican poll shows Clinton beating Trump in eastern Kansas". CJ Online. The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved 22 August 2016. 
  12. ^ Kondik, Kyle; Sabato, Larry; Skelley, Geoffrey. "Clinton Rises to 348 Electoral Votes, Trump Drops to 190". Sabato's Crystal Ball. University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved 22 August 2016. 
  13. ^ http://www.sos.ks.gov/elections/16elec/2016_General_Election-Write-In_Presidential_Candidates.pdf
  14. ^ http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/

External links[edit]