2016 United States presidential election in Kansas

United States presidential election in Kansas, 2016
Turnout	67.40%
Trump 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% >90%	Clinton 60–70%
President before election; Barack Obama; Democratic	Elected President ; Donald Trump; Republican

The 2016 United States presidential election in Kansas was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Kansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On March 5, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president.

Donald Trump won the election in Kansas with 56.6% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 36.0% of the vote.^[1] Kansas was among the eleven states in which Hillary Clinton outperformed Barack Obama's margin in 2012 (though her percentage was lower than Obama's 38% of the vote), largely due to a significant shift towards Democrats in Johnson County.^[2]

Background

The incumbent President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected president in the 2008 election, running with then-Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote,^[3]^[4] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes.^[5] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40 and 50 percent for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year.^[6]^[7] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for President Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa.^[8]

Following his second term, President Obama is not eligible for another reelection. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and two-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic presidential nomination either.^[9] With their term expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate is asked to elect a new president, the 45th president and 48th vice president of the United States, respectively.

Political landscape in Kansas

The state of Kansas has given its electoral votes to the Republican ticket since 1968, and only once to the Democrats (1964) since 1940. All current statewide officials are Republicans, as are all four members of the state's U.S. House delegation. Mitt Romney defeated Barack Obama by a margin of 60% to 38% in 2012. A poll conducted by John Zogby found Clinton leading Trump by 7 points in June.↵In addition, an internal poll for Representative Kevin Yoder, a Republican from Kansas' 3rd congressional district, released an internal poll showing Clinton leading Trump by 6 points in his district. This district voted for Mitt Romney by a 10-point margin in 2012 and has a PVI of R+6. This result, coupled with Clinton's gains in nationtional polls, caused Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball to move the Kansas race from "Safe Republican" to "Likely Republican" on August 18.^[10]

Primary elections

Democratic caucuses

Kansas Democratic caucuses, March 5, 2016
Candidate	District delegates		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Bernie Sanders	26,637	67.90%	23	0	23
Hillary Clinton	12,593	32.10%	10	4	14
Uncommitted	—		0	0	0
Total	39,230	100%	33	4	37
Source: The Green Papers

Republican caucuses

Kansas Republican precinct caucuses, March 5, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Bound	Unbound	Total
Ted Cruz	37,512	47.50%	24	0	24
Donald Trump	18,443	23.35%	9	0	9
Marco Rubio	13,295	16.83%	6	0	6
John Kasich	8,741	11.07%	1	0	1
Ben Carson (withdrawn)	582	0.74%	0	0	0
Uncommitted	279	0.35%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	84	0.11%	0	0	0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)	42	0.05%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	78,978	100.00%	40	0	40
Source: The Green Papers

General election

Polling

Minor candidates

The following received write-in status:^[11]

President: Andrew D. Basiago; Vice President: Karen D. Kinnison
President: Darrell L Castle; Vice President: Scott N. Bradley
President: "Rocky" Roque De La Fuente, Vice President: Michael Steinberg
President: Rocky Giordani; Vice President: Farley M Anderson
President: James A Hedges; Vice President: Bill V Bayes
President: Tom Hoefling; Vice President: Steve Schulin
President: Lynn Kahn; Vice President: Kathy Monahan
President: Gloria La Riva; Vice President: Eugene Puryer
President: Michael S. Levinson; Vice President: Perry E. Wharton, II
President: Michael A Maturen; Vice President: Juan A Munoz
President: Evan McMullin; Vice President: Nathan D Johnson
President: Monica G. Moorehead; Vice President: Lamont G. Lilly
President: Darryl Perry; Vice President: Conan Salada
President: Marshall R. Schoenke; Vice President: James C. Mitchell, Jr.
President: Joe C Schriner; Vice President: Joe Moreaux
President: Mike Smith; Vice President: Daniel White

Results

Candidate	Popular vote	Percentage
Donald Trump	671,018	56.65%
Hillary Clinton	427,005	36.05%
Gary Johnson	55,406	4.64%
Jill Stein	23,506	1.97%
Evan McMullin (write-in)	6,520	0.55%
Darrell Castle (write-in)	646	0.05%
Mike Maturen (write-in)	214	0.02%
Tom Hoefling (write-in)	45	<0.01%
Gloria La Riva (write-in)	7	<0.01%
Mike Smith (write-in)	6	<0.01%
Rocky De La Fuente (write-in)	3	<0.01%
James Hedges (write-in)	3	<0.01%
Lynn Kahn (write-in)	2	<0.01%
Other write-ins	10,374	0.87%
Total	1,194,755	100.00%
Source: 2016 Presidential General Election Results - Kansas

By congressional district

Trump won 3 of the 4 congressional districts.^[12]

District	Trump	Clinton	Representative
1st	69%	24%	Tim Huelskamp
1st	69%	24%	Roger Marshall
2nd	56%	37%	Lynn Jenkins
3rd	46%	47%	Kevin Yoder
4th	60%	33%	Mike Pompeo

By county

County	Clinton%	Clinton#	Trump%	Trump#	Others%	Others#	Total
Allen County	26.27%	1,433	66.94%	3,651	6.78%	370	5,454
Anderson County	20.06%	672	72.69%	2,435	7.25%	243	3,350
Atchison County	30.25%	1,989	61.58%	4,049	8.17%	537	6,575
Barber County	12.70%	286	82.15%	1,850	5.15%	116	2,252
Barton County	17.91%	1,839	76.82%	7,888	5.27%	541	10,268
Bourbon County	21.93%	1,336	72.61%	4,424	5.47%	333	6,093
Brown County	21.38%	863	72.00%	2,906	6.62%	267	4,036
Butler County	23.77%	6,573	68.96%	19,073	7.27%	2,011	27,657
Chase County	23.08%	316	70.78%	969	6.14%	84	1,369
Chautauqua County	13.30%	197	83.46%	1,236	3.24%	48	1,481
Cherokee County	23.26%	2,005	71.72%	6,182	5.02%	433	8,620
Cheyenne County	12.86%	181	83.37%	1,173	3.77%	53	1,407
Clark County	11.94%	120	82.09%	825	5.97%	60	1,005
Clay County	17.72%	677	75.68%	2,891	6.60%	252	3,820
Cloud County	19.36%	761	74.27%	2,919	6.36%	250	3,930
Coffey County	17.87%	727	74.98%	3,050	7.15%	291	4,068
Comanche County	11.76%	102	82.47%	715	5.77%	50	867
Cowley County	28.14%	3,551	65.53%	8,270	6.34%	800	12,621
Crawford County	34.91%	5,199	57.91%	8,624	7.17%	1,068	14,891
Decatur County	12.26%	178	83.33%	1,210	4.41%	64	1,452
Dickinson County	19.60%	1,609	73.43%	6,029	6.97%	572	8,210
Doniphan County	17.38%	587	77.15%	2,606	5.48%	185	3,378
Douglas County	62.28%	31,195	29.32%	14,688	8.39%	4,204	50,087
Edwards County	16.07%	212	78.62%	1,037	5.31%	70	1,319
Elk County	12.71%	160	83.24%	1,048	4.05%	51	1,259
Ellis County	22.95%	2,742	70.86%	8,466	6.19%	739	11,947
Ellsworth County	19.45%	521	73.50%	1,969	7.05%	189	2,679
Finney County	31.45%	3,195	62.51%	6,350	6.04%	614	10,159
Ford County	27.84%	2,149	66.26%	5,114	5.90%	455	7,718
Franklin County	26.37%	2,892	65.53%	7,185	8.10%	888	10,965
Geary County	36.27%	2,722	56.96%	4,274	6.77%	508	7,504
Gove County	11.09%	149	84.88%	1,140	4.02%	54	1,343
Graham County	14.64%	188	79.83%	1,025	5.53%	71	1,284
Grant County	18.46%	441	75.51%	1,804	6.03%	144	2,389
Gray County	12.73%	263	82.19%	1,698	5.08%	105	2,066
Greeley County	12.77%	83	82.15%	534	5.08%	33	650
Greenwood County	17.08%	485	76.06%	2,160	6.87%	195	2,840
Hamilton County	13.81%	121	80.48%	705	5.71%	50	876
Harper County	15.24%	393	77.42%	1,996	7.33%	189	2,578
Harvey County	33.98%	5,068	58.11%	8,668	7.91%	1,180	14,916
Haskell County	18.09%	245	76.81%	1,040	5.10%	69	1,354
Hodgeman County	12.19%	124	84.07%	855	3.74%	38	1,017
Jackson County	25.99%	1,512	67.70%	3,939	6.31%	367	5,818
Jefferson County	30.20%	2,518	62.53%	5,213	7.27%	606	8,337
Jewell County	12.05%	180	81.86%	1,223	6.09%	91	1,494
Johnson County	44.76%	129,852	47.40%	137,490	7.84%	22,748	290,090
Kearny County	13.22%	174	81.69%	1,075	5.09%	67	1,316
Kingman County	17.97%	599	75.88%	2,530	6.15%	205	3,334
Kiowa County	10.57%	114	83.41%	900	6.02%	65	1,079
Labette County	28.26%	2,291	65.81%	5,335	5.93%	481	8,107
Lane County	12.17%	106	82.43%	718	5.40%	47	871
Leavenworth County	33.69%	10,209	58.21%	17,638	8.10%	2,454	30,301
Lincoln County	14.69%	215	80.53%	1,179	4.78%	70	1,464
Linn County	16.63%	736	78.70%	3,484	4.68%	207	4,427
Logan County	10.98%	149	83.42%	1,132	5.60%	76	1,357
Lyon County	37.83%	4,649	53.32%	6,552	8.85%	1,087	12,288
Marion County	21.41%	1,204	71.18%	4,003	7.41%	417	5,624
Marshall County	22.94%	1,072	70.77%	3,307	6.29%	294	4,673
McPherson County	25.32%	3,226	67.09%	8,549	7.59%	967	12,742
Meade County	12.21%	210	82.27%	1,415	5.52%	95	1,720
Miami County	26.57%	3,991	66.59%	10,003	6.84%	1,028	15,022
Mitchell County	16.21%	477	78.45%	2,308	5.34%	157	2,942
Montgomery County	21.97%	2,637	72.30%	8,679	5.73%	688	12,004
Morris County	22.90%	601	69.36%	1,820	7.74%	203	2,624
Morton County	12.33%	147	83.47%	995	4.19%	50	1,192
Nemaha County	14.15%	725	80.52%	4,124	5.33%	273	5,122
Neosho County	23.77%	1,501	70.18%	4,431	6.05%	382	6,314
Ness County	11.14%	162	84.46%	1,228	4.40%	64	1,454
Norton County	12.58%	281	82.36%	1,840	5.06%	113	2,234
Osage County	24.88%	1,753	68.49%	4,826	6.63%	467	7,046
Osborne County	13.03%	233	81.66%	1,460	5.31%	95	1,788
Ottawa County	14.61%	424	78.64%	2,283	6.75%	196	2,903
Pawnee County	21.76%	579	71.55%	1,904	6.69%	178	2,661
Phillips County	11.26%	300	83.82%	2,233	4.92%	131	2,664
Pottawatomie County	20.81%	2,225	71.19%	7,612	8.01%	856	10,693
Pratt County	20.07%	771	73.87%	2,838	6.06%	233	3,842
Rawlins County	11.07%	163	82.88%	1,220	6.05%	89	1,472
Reno County	28.24%	6,837	64.08%	15,513	7.68%	1,860	24,210
Republic County	14.83%	375	80.03%	2,024	5.14%	130	2,529
Rice County	18.27%	695	74.58%	2,837	7.15%	272	3,804
Riley County	43.38%	9,341	46.94%	10,107	9.68%	2,084	21,532
Rooks County	11.37%	275	83.96%	2,031	4.67%	113	2,419
Rush County	15.50%	233	79.64%	1,197	4.86%	73	1,503
Russell County	14.44%	461	80.61%	2,574	4.95%	158	3,193
Saline County	28.63%	6,317	62.67%	13,828	8.70%	1,919	22,064
Scott County	10.72%	236	84.70%	1,865	4.59%	101	2,202
Sedgwick County	36.88%	69,627	55.28%	104,353	7.84%	14,803	188,783
Seward County	32.31%	1,628	62.70%	3,159	4.98%	251	5,038
Shawnee County	44.99%	33,926	47.65%	35,934	7.35%	5,546	75,406
Sheridan County	09.24%	127	87.12%	1,197	3.64%	50	1,374
Sherman County	13.28%	347	79.98%	2,089	6.74%	176	2,612
Smith County	14.54%	297	81.34%	1,661	4.11%	84	2,042
Stafford County	16.03%	304	78.59%	1,490	5.38%	102	1,896
Stanton County	18.05%	115	77.24%	492	4.71%	30	637
Stevens County	11.63%	220	84.56%	1,599	3.81%	72	1,891
Sumner County	21.35%	2,076	71.84%	6,984	6.81%	662	9,722
Thomas County	13.23%	473	81.32%	2,908	5.45%	195	3,576
Trego County	13.36%	198	82.79%	1,227	3.85%	57	1,482
Wabaunsee County	22.96%	776	70.18%	2,372	6.86%	232	3,380
Wallace County	05.76%	46	90.35%	721	3.88%	31	798
Washington County	14.00%	387	79.35%	2,194	6.65%	184	2,765
Wichita County	14.64%	140	80.44%	769	4.92%	47	956
Wilson County	16.54%	594	77.64%	2,788	5.82%	209	3,591
Woodson County	18.92%	273	74.98%	1,082	6.10%	88	1,443
Wyandotte County	61.80%	30,146	32.40%	15,806	5.80%	2,829	48,781

References

^ "Kansas Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 11, 2016.
^ http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2016&def=swg&datatype=national&f=0&off=0&elect=0
^ "United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009". Clerk.house.gov. Retrieved January 30, 2009.
^ "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
^ "President Map". The New York Times. November 29, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
^ "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 24, 2015.
^ Byrnes, Jesse (2016-06-15). "Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012". TheHill. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
^ Cohn, Nate (2015-01-19). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
^ "Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 21, 2015.
^ Kondik, Kyle; Sabato, Larry; Skelley, Geoffrey. "Clinton Rises to 348 Electoral Votes, Trump Drops to 190". Sabato's Crystal Ball. University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved 22 August 2016.
^ http://www.sos.ks.gov/elections/16elec/2016_General_Election-Write-In_Presidential_Candidates.pdf
^ http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/

External links

[1] "Kansas Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 11, 2016.

[2] ttp://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2016&def=swg&datatype=national&f=0&off=0&elect=0

[house_floor_summary2-3] "United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009". Clerk.house.gov. Retrieved January 30, 2009.

[2012_election_results2-4] "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 11, 2015.

[President_Map2-5] "President Map". The New York Times. November 29, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2015.

[6] "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 24, 2015.

[7] Byrnes, Jesse (2016-06-15). "Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012". TheHill. Retrieved 2016-06-19.

[8] Cohn, Nate (2015-01-19). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-06-19.

[9] "Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 21, 2015.

[10] Kondik, Kyle; Sabato, Larry; Skelley, Geoffrey. "Clinton Rises to 348 Electoral Votes, Trump Drops to 190". Sabato's Crystal Ball. University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved 22 August 2016.

[11] ttp://www.sos.ks.gov/elections/16elec/2016_General_Election-Write-In_Presidential_Candidates.pdf

[12] ttp://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/

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