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2018 California gubernatorial election

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2018 California gubernatorial election

← 2014 November 6, 2018 2022 →
Turnout63.28% Increase32.34pp
 
Nominee Gavin Newsom John H. Cox
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 7,721,410 4,742,825
Percentage 61.9% 38.1%

County results
Newsom:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Cox:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Governor before election

Jerry Brown
Democratic

Elected Governor

Gavin Newsom
Democratic

The 2018 California gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of California. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jerry Brown was ineligible to run for reelection for a third consecutive (and fifth non-consecutive) term due to term limits from the Constitution of California.

The race was between the incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Gavin Newsom and businessman John H. Cox, a Republican, who qualified for the general election after placing first and second in the June 5, 2018 primary election. Newsom easily won with 62% of the vote, the biggest victory in a gubernatorial race in California since Earl Warren won reelection in 1950, and the biggest victory for a non-incumbent since 1930. The election also marked the first time Orange County has voted for the Democratic candidate since Jerry Brown won it in 1978, and the first time Democrats have won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state's history.[1] Newsom assumed office on January 7, 2019.

Candidates

A primary election was held on June 5, 2018. Under California's non-partisan blanket primary law, all candidates appeared on the same ballot, regardless of party. Voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers – regardless of party – advance to the general election in November, regardless of whether a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election.

Democratic Party

Declared

Declined

Republican Party

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Libertarian Party

Declared

Green Party

Declared

  • Christopher Carlson, puppeteer[4]
  • Veronika Fimbres (write-in)[34]
  • Josh Jones, author, geologist, solar electric designer[4]

Peace and Freedom Party

Declared

No party preference

Declared

Notes

  1. ^ American Solidarity Party does not have ballot access. Desmond Silveira (ASP) appears on ballot as "No party preference".[58]

Primary election

Endorsements

Travis Allen (R)
U.S. Representatives
State-level officials
Notable individuals
Newspapers and other media
Organizations
John Chiang (D)
Federal elected officials
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Organizations
Individuals
Delaine Eastin (D)
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Organizations
Josh Jones (G)
Organizations
Individuals
  • Victor Alcantara, candidate for Coachella City Council
  • Andy Caffrey, candidate for Congress, CD2
  • Brett Lee, Mayor pro-tempore, Davis, CA
  • Viggo Mortensen, actor
  • Al Rojas, union organizer, contemporary of Cesar Chavez
  • Desiree Rojas, union organizer and Democratic delegate, Assembly District 4
  • Erik Rydberg, candidate for California Secretary of State
  • Miguel Vargas, union organizer, contemporary of Cesar Chavez
Desmond Silveira (ASP)
Notable individuals
Organizations
Antonio Villaraigosa (D)
U.S. Representatives
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Organizations
  • African-American Farmers of California[174]
  • California Police Chiefs Association[175]
  • Fresno Deputy Sheriff's Association[176]
  • Fresno Police Officers Association[151]
  • International Union of Painters and Allied Trade District Council 36[177]
  • Peace Officers Research Association of California[178]
  • Southwest Regional Council of Carpenters[179]
  • Teamsters Joint Council 42[180]
  • United Farm Workers[181]
Individuals
Nickolas Wildstar (L)
Individuals
Organizations
Zoltan Istvan (L)
Notable individuals and organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Travis
Allen
(R)
John
Chiang
(D)
John
Cox
(R)
Delaine
Eastin
(D)
Gavin
Newsom
(D)
Antonio
Villaraigosa
(D)
Other Undecided
Competitive Edge Research & Communication May 29–30, 2018 504 ± 4.4% 10% 4% 23% 5% 31% 13% 5% 10%
UC Berkeley May 22−28, 2018 2,106 ± 3.5% 12% 7% 20% 4% 33% 13% 4% 7%
Emerson College May 21–24, 2018 600 ± 4.2% 11% 10% 16% 4% 24% 12% 4% 19%
YouGov May 12–24, 2018 1,113 ± 4.0% 10% 8% 17% 4% 33% 9% 3%[187] 13%
Competitive Edge Research & Communication May 20–22, 2018 501 ± 4.4% 9% 7% 22% 8% 26% 12% 4% 13%
SurveyUSA May 21, 2018 678 ± 6.1% 12% 10% 17% 2% 33% 8% 3%[188] 13%
Public Policy Institute of California May 11–20, 2018 901 ± 4.1% 11% 9% 19% 6% 25% 15% 1% 15%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times April 18 – May 18, 2018 517 ± 4.0% 5% 6% 10% 3% 21% 11% 4%[189] 39%
Gravis Marketing May 4–5, 2018 525 ± 4.3% 8% 9% 23% 4% 22% 19% 2%[190] 13%
SmithJohnson Research (R-Cox) April 26–27, 2018 533 ± 4.2% 13% 4% 20% 4% 36% 8% 0%[191] 16%
SurveyUSA April 19–23, 2018 520 ± 5.5% 10% 9% 15% 1% 21% 18% 8%[192] 17%
UC Berkeley April 16−22, 2018 1,738 ± 3.5% 16% 7% 18% 4% 30% 9% 3% 13%
J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research March 30 – April 4, 2018 800 ± 3.7% 9% 9% 16% 5% 26% 7% 28%
Public Policy Institute of California March 25 – April 3, 2018 867 ± 4.4% 10% 7% 15% 6% 26% 13% 1% 22%
SurveyUSA March 22–25, 2018 517 ± 5.0% 7% 9% 11% 3% 22% 14% 13%[193] 21%
David Binder Research (D-Newsom) March 16–21, 2018 1,750 13% 9% 16% 2% 29% 7% 8%[194] 16%
Public Policy Institute of California March 7–13, 2018 1,706 ± 3.4% 10% 6% 14% 5% 28% 12% 1% 24%
David Binder Research (D-Newsom) March 1–5, 2018 1,000 10% 13% 16% 7% 26% 12% 4%[195] 12%
David Binder Research (D-Newsom) January 31 – February 4, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 4% 11% 7% 4% 30% 11% 4%[196] 29%
Global Strategy Group (D-Chiang) January 27 – February 1, 2018 500 7% 10% 10% 5% 28% 14% 3%[197]
Public Policy Institute of California January 21–30, 2018 1,705 ± 3.2% 8% 9% 7% 4% 23% 21% 4%[198] 24%
Tulchin Research/Moore Information January 21–28, 2018 2,500 ± 2.0% 8% 9% 10% 6% 29% 11% 8%[199] 18%
SurveyUSA January 7–9, 2018 506 ± 4.4% 9% 5% 4% 1% 19% 10% 24%[200] 29%
UC Berkeley December 7–16, 2017 672 ± 3.8% 9% 5% 9% 5% 26% 17% 1% 28%
Public Policy Institute of California November 10–19, 2017 1,070 ± 4.3% 6% 9% 9% 3% 23% 18% 1% 30%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times October 27 – November 6, 2017 1,070[201] ± 4.0% 15% 12% 11% 4% 31% 21% 6%
UC Berkeley August 27 – September 5, 2017 1,000 ± 4.0% 9% 7% 11% 4% 26% 10% 33%
SmithJohnson Research (R-Cox) July 27–30, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 10% 7% 14% 3% 25% 12% 28%
GSSR (D-Chiang) May 30 – June 5, 2017 602 10% 11% 26% 12%
UC Berkeley May 4–29, 2017 1,628 ± 3.3% 5% 9% 3% 22% 17% 7%[202] 37%
The Feldman Group (D-Villaraigosa) March 2017 22% 26% 20%

Results

Non-partisan blanket primary results[207]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gavin Newsom 2,343,792 33.7
Republican John H. Cox 1,766,488 25.4
Democratic Antonio Villaraigosa 926,394 13.3
Republican Travis Allen 658,798 9.5
Democratic John Chiang 655,920 9.4
Democratic Delaine Eastin 234,869 3.4
Democratic Amanda Renteria 93,446 1.3
Republican Robert C. Newman II 44,674 0.6
Democratic Michael Shellenberger 31,692 0.5
Republican Peter Y. Liu 27,336 0.4
Republican Yvonne Girard 21,840 0.3
Peace and Freedom Gloria La Riva 19,075 0.3
Democratic J. Bribiesca 18,586 0.3
Green Josh Jones 16,131 0.2
Libertarian Zoltan Istvan 14,462 0.2
Democratic Albert Caesar Mezzetti 12,026 0.2
Libertarian Nickolas Wildstar 11,566 0.2
Democratic Robert Davidson Griffis 11,103 0.2
Democratic Akinyemi Agbede 9,380 0.1
Democratic Thomas Jefferson Cares 8,937 0.1
Green Christopher N. Carlson 7,302 0.1
Democratic Klement Tinaj 5,368 0.1
No party preference Hakan "Hawk" Mikado 5,346 0.1
No party preference Johnny Wattenburg 4,973 0.1
No party preference Desmond Silveira 4,633 0.1
No party preference Shubham Goel 4,020 0.1
No party preference Jeffrey Edward Taylor 3,973 0.1
Green Veronika Fimbres (write-in) 62 0.0
No party preference Arman Soltani (write-in) 32 0.0
No party preference Peter Crawford Valentino (write-in) 21 0.0
Republican K. Pearce (write-in) 8 0.0
No party preference Armando M. Arreola (write-in) 1 0.0
Total votes 6,862,254 100.0

Results by county

Red represents counties won by Cox. Blue represents counties won by Newsom. Green represents counties won by Villaraigosa.[208]

Results by county:
  Newsom—60–70%
  Newsom—50–60%
  Newsom—40–50%
  Newsom—30–40%
  Newsom—<30%
  Cox—<30%
  Cox—30–40%
  Cox—40–50%
  Villaraigosa—30–40%
Results by congressional district:
  Newsom—50–60%
  Newsom—40–50%
  Newsom—30–40%
  Newsom—<30%
  Cox—<30%
  Cox—30–40%
  Cox—40–50%
  Villaraigosa—<30%
  Villaraigosa—30–40%
  Villaraigosa—40–50%
County Newsom % Cox % Villaraigosa % Allen % Chiang % Others %
Alameda 53.5% 10.6% 10.0% 4.4% 9.6% 11.9%
Alpine 38.5% 24.1% 6.7% 8.7% 10.4% 11.6%
Amador 21.5% 41.8% 5.8% 15.1% 8.0% 7.8%
Butte 25.6% 34.4% 5.5% 14.5% 6.1% 13.9%
Calaveras 23.3% 38.2% 5.3% 18.1% 6.6% 8.5%
Colusa 13.0% 43.3% 16.0% 16.3% 3.6% 7.8%
Contra Costa 49.9% 19.7% 8.7% 7.4% 6.9% 7.4%
Del Norte 23.4% 27.0% 3.5% 24.8% 7.7% 13.6%
El Dorado 24.5% 40.7% 5.8% 13.9% 8.1% 7.0%
Fresno 16.8% 33.7% 20.2% 14.3% 7.6% 7.4%
Glenn 12.4% 48.1% 7.9% 18.2% 3.3% 10.1%
Humboldt 37.9% 22.3% 5.0% 9.6% 6.4% 18.8%
Imperial 11.8% 22.7% 31.2% 9.8% 7.9% 16.6%
Inyo 22.6% 30.7% 8.6% 15.9% 8.7% 13.5%
Kern 12.1% 40.6% 13.9% 19.9% 5.4% 8.1%
Kings 9.4% 36.7% 17.0% 23.8% 6.7% 6.4%
Lake 37.5% 28.4% 6.6% 12.0% 5.0% 10.5%
Lassen 13.1% 41.7% 2.1% 26.8% 6.6% 9.7%
Los Angeles 32.7% 19.6% 21.7% 5.8% 13.2% 7.0%
Madera 12.8% 40.2% 15.7% 18.9% 5.2% 7.2%
Marin 64.1% 12.5% 8.2% 3.8% 5.3% 6.1%
Mariposa 19.1% 34.9% 8.2% 23.4% 6.3% 8.1%
Mendocino 45.2% 17.9% 7.8% 9.1% 5.1% 14.9%
Merced 18.2% 29.7% 17.9% 16.0% 7.3% 10.8%
Modoc 11.4% 49.9% 3.0% 18.0% 3.1% 14.6%
Mono 31.6% 26.1% 12.2% 12.0% 5.0% 13.1%
Monterey 37.8% 19.8% 16.8% 9.4% 6.6% 9.6%
Napa 46.1% 19.4% 10.0% 9.7% 5.5% 9.3%
Nevada 34.1% 25.7% 5.9% 17.4% 7.0% 9.9%
Orange 24.3% 36.3% 11.4% 11.5% 9.0% 7.5%
Placer 25.7% 40.2% 5.8% 13.1% 9.0% 6.2%
Plumas 26.9% 38.5% 3.8% 15.5% 5.7% 9.6%
Riverside 22.3% 34.4% 13.7% 15.3% 7.5% 6.8%
Sacramento 29.7% 26.2% 10.7% 10.2% 14.5% 8.7%
San Benito 33.6% 23.4% 13.3% 16.0% 4.8% 8.9%
San Bernardino 19.7% 33.9% 15.2% 14.7% 9.2% 7.3%
San Diego 30.5% 32.6% 10.4% 7.5% 9.8% 9.2%
San Francisco 57.5% 6.6% 9.1% 2.2% 8.9% 15.7%
San Joaquin 26.3% 31.4% 11.1% 13.6% 9.3% 8.3%
San Luis Obispo 33.2% 29.4% 6.8% 14.6% 7.3% 8.7%
San Mateo 55.0% 13.9% 10.4% 5.1% 7.1% 8.5%
Santa Barbara 33.8% 26.2% 12.3% 11.5% 6.8% 9.4%
Santa Clara 48.5% 13.9% 10.9% 8.3% 7.7% 10.7%
Santa Cruz 52.4% 11.8% 11.5% 7.0% 4.5% 12.8%
Shasta 16.9% 44.3% 3.9% 19.9% 4.5% 10.5%
Sierra 22.9% 35.1% 3.7% 17.6% 7.1% 13.6%
Siskiyou 23.3% 34.5% 3.4% 18.5% 5.0% 15.3%
Solano 41.6% 23.3% 8.9% 11.3% 6.9% 8.0%
Sonoma 54.6% 16.4% 8.9% 5.5% 4.9% 9.7%
Stanislaus 23.2% 31.6% 12.3% 16.3% 7.3% 9.3%
Sutter 16.4% 40.0% 8.3% 17.4% 8.2% 9.7%
Tehama 13.2% 45.4% 4.5% 21.6% 4.7% 10.6%
Trinity 23.6% 31.4% 4.7% 17.9% 5.4% 17.0%
Tulare 13.9% 36.5% 16.4% 20.4% 5.2% 7.6%
Tuolumne 26.8% 37.6% 5.7% 15.8% 5.6% 8.5%
Ventura 26.7% 32.6% 13.4% 9.1% 11.0% 7.2%
Yolo 31.6% 19.9% 13.7% 7.0% 14.6% 13.2%
Yuba 16.3% 39.6% 7.6% 21.1% 6.6% 8.8%
Totals 33.6% 25.5% 13.3% 9.5% 9.5% 8.6%

General election

Endorsements

John H. Cox (R)
Federal officials
U.S. Representatives
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Notable individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Gavin Newsom (D)
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Organizations
Individuals
Newspapers

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[305] Solid D October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[306] Likely D November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[307] Solid D November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[308] Solid D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[309] Solid D November 5, 2018
Real Clear Politics[310] Likely D November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[311] Safe D November 5, 2018
Fox News[312][a] Likely D November 5, 2018
Politico[313] Solid D November 5, 2018
Governing[314] Safe D November 5, 2018
Notes

  1. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
John
Cox (R)
None Other Undecided
Change Research November 2–4, 2018 1,108 53% 41%
Research Co. November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 58% 38% 4%
SurveyUSA November 1–2, 2018 924 ± 4.6% 53% 38% 9%
Probolsky Research October 25–30, 2018 900 ± 3.3% 47% 37% 16%
Thomas Partners Strategies October 25–27, 2018 1,068 ± 3.5% 55% 42% 3%
Gravis Marketing October 25–26, 2018 743 ± 3.6% 55% 35% 9%
UC Berkeley October 19–25, 2018 1,339 ± 4.0% 58% 40% 2%
YouGov October 10–24, 2018 2,178 ± 3.1% 53% 34% 3% 10%
Public Policy Institute of California October 12–21, 2018 989 ± 4.2% 49% 38% 2% 10%
Thomas Partners Strategies October 18–20, 2018 1,068 ± 3.5% 54% 41% 5%
Emerson College October 17–19, 2018 671 ± 4.1% 52% 32% 16%
SurveyUSA October 12–14, 2018 762 ± 4.9% 52% 35% 14%
Thomas Partners Strategies October 12–14, 2018 1,068 ± 3.5% 51% 43% 6%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times September 17 – October 14, 2018 794 LV ± 4.0% 54% 31% 15%
980 RV ± 4.0% 51% 30% 19%
Thomas Partners Strategies October 5–7, 2018 1,068 ± 3.5% 54% 42% 4%
Thomas Partners Strategies September 28–30, 2018 1,068 ± 3.5% 50% 45% 5%
Thomas Partners Strategies September 21–23, 2018 1,068 ± 3.5% 53% 42% 5%
Vox Populi Polling September 16–18, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 60% 40%
Public Policy Institute of California September 9–18, 2018 964 ± 4.8% 51% 39% 3% 7%
Thomas Partners Strategies September 14–16, 2018 1,040 ± 3.5% 45% 41% 14%
Ipsos September 5–14, 2018 1,021 ± 4.0% 52% 40% 3% 6%
Thomas Partners Strategies September 7–9, 2018 1,227 ± 3.3% 48% 40% 12%
Probolsky Research August 29 – September 2, 2018 900 ± 5.8% 44% 39% 17%
Public Policy Institute of California July 8–17, 2018 1,020 ± 4.3% 55% 31% 5% 9%
SurveyUSA June 26–27, 2018 559 ± 5.9% 58% 29% 13%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times June 6–17, 2018 767 ± 4.0% 45% 28% 27%
J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research March 30 – April 4, 2018 800 ± 3.7% 42% 32% 26%

Results

Newsom won the general election by the largest margin of any California gubernatorial candidate since Earl Warren's re-election in 1950. In addition to winning the traditional Democratic strongholds of the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles County, Sacramento, and North Coast, Newsom performed well in the traditionally swing Central Coast, San Bernardino County, and San Diego County, as well as narrowly winning traditionally Republican Orange County - the latter voting for a Democrat for the first time in a gubernatorial election since Jerry Brown's first re-election in 1978. Cox did well in the more rural areas of the state, even flipping Stanislaus County; Stanislaus is the only county that voted for Brown in 2014 but flipped to Cox in 2018. Cox also narrowly won Fresno County and handily won traditionally Republican Kern County in the Central Valley, and narrowly won Riverside County in the Inland Empire.

Results by congressional district:
  Newsom—>90%
  Newsom—80–90%
  Newsom—70–80%
  Newsom—60–70%
  Newsom—50–60%
  Cox—50–60%
  Cox—60–70%
California gubernatorial election, 2018[315]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Gavin Newsom 7,721,410 61.95% +1.98%
Republican John H. Cox 4,742,825 38.05% −1.98%
Total votes '12,464,235' '100.0%' N/A
Democratic hold

Results by county

Here are the results of the election by county. Blue represents counties won by Newsom. Red represents counties won by Cox.[316]

County Gavin Newsom

Democratic

John Cox

Republican

Total Votes
# % # % #
Alameda 462,558 80.6% 111,677 19.4% 574,235
Alpine 386 62.8% 229 37.2% 615
Amador 6,237 35.5% 11,356 64.5% 17,593
Butte 41,500 46.8% 47,226 53.2% 88,726
Calaveras 7,765 35.9% 13,845 64.1% 21,610
Colusa 1,999 34.7% 3,764 65.3% 5,763
Contra Costa 283,805 68.2% 132,345 31.8% 416,150
Del Norte 3,441 41.3% 4,887 58.7% 8,328
El Dorado 36,297 40.6% 53,140 59.4% 89,437
Fresno 124,332 49.1% 128,974 50.9% 253,306
Glenn 2,424 29.1% 5,908 70.9% 8,332
Humboldt 33,455 64.5% 18,418 35.5% 51,873
Imperial 20,573 61.7% 12,785 38.3% 33,358
Inyo 3,244 44.7% 4,018 55.3% 7,262
Kern 83,507 41.1% 119,870 58.9% 203,377
Kings 12,275 40.6% 17,976 59.4% 30,251
Lake 10,869 51.4% 10,280 48.6% 21,149
Lassen 2,043 22.7% 6,973 77.3% 9,016
Los Angeles 2,114,699 71.9% 826,402 28.1% 2,941,101
Madera 15,037 39.0% 23,488 61.0% 38,525
Marin 103,671 79.5% 26,750 20.5% 130,421
Mariposa 3,183 38.7% 5,043 61.3% 8,226
Mendocino 22,152 66.3% 11,255 33.7% 33,407
Merced 30,783 52.0% 28,424 48.0% 59,207
Modoc 820 23.8% 2,628 76.2% 3,448
Mono 2,706 55.8% 2,147 44.2% 4,853
Monterey 76,648 66.0% 39,516 34.0% 116,164
Napa 36,513 64.8% 19,834 35.2% 56,347
Nevada 27,985 52.9% 24,882 47.1% 52,867
Orange 543,047 50.1% 539,951 49.9% 1,082,998
Placer 72,270 41.2% 103,157 58.8% 175,427
Plumas 3,433 37.2% 5,807 62.8% 9,240
Riverside 319,845 49.8% 322,243 50.2% 642,088
Sacramento 302,696 58.8% 212,010 41.2% 514,706
San Benito 11,274 56.1% 8,815 43.9% 20,089
San Bernardino 276,874 51.5% 260,379 48.5% 537,253
San Diego 658,346 56.9% 499,532 43.1% 1,157,878
San Francisco 312,181 86.4% 49,181 13.6% 361,362
San Joaquin 101,474 52.2% 92,966 47.8% 194,440
San Luis Obispo 65,117 51.6% 61,137 48.4% 126,254
San Mateo 213,282 75.2% 70,242 24.8% 283,524
Santa Barbara 93,841 60.5% 61,300 39.5% 155,141
Santa Clara 438,758 71.4% 175,791 28.6% 614,549
Santa Cruz 91,523 76.8% 27,665 23.2% 119,188
Shasta 20,256 28.9% 49,825 71.1% 70,081
Sierra 599 35.9% 1,068 64.1% 1,667
Siskiyou 7,218 39.7% 10,946 60.3% 18,164
Solano 89,694 61.3% 56,627 38.7% 146,321
Sonoma 152,040 72.3% 58,338 27.7% 210,378
Stanislaus 77,220 49.2% 79,751 50.8% 156,971
Sutter 11,122 37.0% 18,935 63.0% 30,057
Tehama 5,756 27.5% 15,137 72.5% 20,893
Trinity 2,250 42.3% 3,075 57.7% 5,325
Tulare 42,702 42.8% 57,012 57.2% 99,714
Tuolumne 9,294 38.9% 14,580 61.1% 23,874
Ventura 171,729 55.6% 137,393 44.4% 309,122
Yolo 49,759 67.8% 23,611 32.2% 73,370
Yuba 6,903 36.0% 12,293 64.0% 19,196
Totals 7,721,410 61.9% 4,742,825 38.1% 12,464,235

Voter demographics

CNN exit poll by demographic subgroups[317]
Demographic subgroup Newsom Cox No answer % of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals 90 10 n/a 34
Moderates 62 38 n/a 37
Conservatives 21 79 n/a 29
Party
Democrats 93 7 n/a 46
Republicans 7 93 n/a 23
Independents 53 47 n/a 31
Party by gender
Democratic men 92 8 n/a 18
Democratic women 93 7 n/a 28
Republican men 6 94 n/a 12
Republican women 9 91 n/a 10
Independent men 53 47 n/a 18
Independent women 54 46 n/a 13
Gender
Men 56 44 n/a 48
Women 65 35 n/a 52
Marital status
Married 57 43 n/a 57
Unmarried 65 35 n/a 43
Gender by marital status
Married men 53 47 n/a 35
Married women 64 36 n/a 22
Unmarried men n/a n/a n/a 19
Unmarried women 67 32 1 24
Race and ethnicity
White 57 43 n/a 63
Black 84 16 n/a 6
Latino 64 36 n/a 19
Asian n/a n/a n/a 8
Other n/a n/a n/a 3
Gender by race and ethnicity
White men 54 46 n/a 31
White women 59 41 n/a 32
Black men n/a n/a n/a 2
Black women n/a n/a n/a 4
Latino men 61 39 n/a 9
Latino women 67 33 n/a 10
Others 67 33 n/a 11
Religion
Protestant, Other Christian 46 54 n/a 34
Catholic 56 44 n/a 21
Jewish n/a n/a n/a 4
Other religion n/a n/a n/a 10
No religion 79 21 n/a 31
Religious service attendance
Weekly or more 46 54 n/a 21
A few times a month n/a n/a n/a 13
A few times a year 71 29 n/a 23
Never 69 31 n/a 43
White evangelical or born-again Christian
Yes n/a n/a n/a 11
No 65 35 n/a 89
Age
18–24 years old 72 28 n/a 8
25–29 years old 66 34 n/a 7
30–39 years old 65 35 n/a 15
40–49 years old 58 42 n/a 14
50–64 years old 56 44 n/a 29
65 and older 57 43 n/a 27
Sexual orientation
LGBT n/a n/a n/a 5
Heterosexual 57 42 1 95
First time voter
First time voter n/a n/a n/a 18
Everyone else 58 42 n/a 82
Education
High school or less 58 42 n/a 19
Some college education 56 44 n/a 29
Associate degree 60 40 n/a 13
Bachelor's degree 65 35 n/a 24
Advanced degree 63 37 n/a 16
Education by race and ethnicity
White college graduates 59 41 n/a 28
White no college degree 55 45 n/a 35
Non-white college graduates 78 22 n/a 11
Non-white no college degree 64 36 n/a 25
Education by race, ethnicity, and sex
White women with college degrees 62 38 n/a 13
White women without college degrees 56 44 n/a 19
White men with college degrees 56 44 n/a 15
White men without college degrees 52 48 n/a 17
Non-whites 68 32 n/a 36
Family income
Under $30,000 n/a n/a n/a 17
$30,000–49,999 n/a n/a n/a 21
$50,000–99,999 55 45 n/a 22
$100,000–199,999 45 55 n/a 27
Over $200,000 n/a n/a n/a 13
Military service
Veterans n/a n/a n/a 14
Non-veterans 64 36 n/a 86
Issue regarded as most important
Health care 85 15 n/a 43
Immigration 36 64 n/a 18
Economy 35 65 n/a 21
Gun policy 66 34 n/a 15

See also

References

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  187. ^ Amanda Renteria (D), Robert C. Newman (R), Shubham Goel (NPP) with 1%, all other candidates 0%
  188. ^ Thomas Jefferson Cares (D), Robert C. Newman (R), Klement Tinaj (D) with 1%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), Christopher Carlson (G), Yvonne Girard (R), Shubham Goel (NPP), Robert Davidson Griffis (D), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Gloria La Riva (PFP), Peter Yuan Liu (R), Albert Caesar Mezzetti (D), Hakan "Hawk" Mikado (NPP), Amanda Renteria (D), Michael Shellenberger (D), Desmond Silveira (ASP), Jeffrey Edward Taylor (NPP), Johnny Wattenburg (NPP), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 0%
  189. ^ Akinyemi Agbede (D), Robert Davidson Griffis (D), Amanda Renteria (D), and Gloria La Riva (PFP) with 1%; Juan Bribiesca (D), Thomas Jefferson Cares (D), Albert Caesar Mezzetti (D), Michael Shellenberger (D), Klement Tinaj (D), Christopher Carlson (G), Josh Jones (G), Zoltan Istvan (L), Nickolas Wildstar (L), Yvonne Girard (R), Robert C. Newman (R), Shubham Goel (NPP), Hakan "Hawk" Mikado (NPP), Desmond Silveira (ASP), Jeffrey Edward Taylor (NPP), Johnny Wattenburg (NPP) with 0%; Other 0%; Not voting 0%
  190. ^ Albert Mezzetti (D) 2%
  191. ^ Amanda Renteria (D) 0%
  192. ^ Robert Newman (R) 4%, Amanda Renteria (D) 3%, Other 1%
  193. ^ Robert Newman (R) 3%; Yvonne Girard (R) and Robert Kleinberger* (NPP) with 2%; Daniel Amare* (R), Brian Domingo* (R), Peter Yuan Liu (R), Michael Bracamontes* (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 1%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Harmesh Kumar* (D), and James Tran* (NPP) with 0%; Other 0%. *Withdrawn.
  194. ^ Amanda Renteria (D) 2%, Other 8%
  195. ^ Amanda Renteria (D) 4%
  196. ^ Doug Ose* (R) 4%. *Withdrawn.
  197. ^ Doug Ose* (R) 3%. *Withdrawn.
  198. ^ Doug Ose* (R) 3%, Someone else 1%. *Withdrawn.
  199. ^ Doug Ose* (R) 4%, Someone else 4%. *Withdrawn.
  200. ^ Robert Newman (R), Doug Ose* (R), Tom Steyer† (D), Peter Thiel† (R), and Steve Westly† (D) with 2%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Daniel Amare* (R), Stasyi Barth* (R), Michael Bracamontes* (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), Brian Domingo* (R), Yvonne Girard (R), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Robert Kleinberger* (NPP), Harmesh Kumar* (D), Peter Yuan Liu (R), James Tran* (NPP), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 1%; Michael Bilger* (NPP), Andy Blanch* (NPP), Scooter Braun† (D), John-Leslie Brown* (R), David Bush* (NPP), Christopher Carlson (G), Peter Crawford-Valentino* (NPP), Ted Crisell* (D), Grant Handzlik* (NPP), Analila Joya* (NPP), Joshua Laine* (AIP), Chad Mayes† (R), Jacob Morris* (R), Timothy Richardson* (NPP), Boris Romanowsky* (NPP), Michael Shellenberger (D), H. Fuji Shioura* (NPP), Laura Smith* (R), Scot Sturtevant* (NPP), Ashley Swearengin† (R), Klement Tinaj (D), and Frédéric Prinz von Anhalt* (NPP) with 0%. *Withdrawn. †Hypothetical candidate.
  201. ^ 1,070 likely primary voters out of 1,504. MoE out of 1,504: ± 3.0. 22% out of 1,504 not voting.
  202. ^ David Hadley* (R) 7%. *Withdrawn.
  203. ^ Delaine Eastin (D) and Steve Westly with 2%
  204. ^ Alex Padilla (D) 3%
  205. ^ Alex Padilla (D) 4%, Steve Westly (D) 1%
  206. ^ Alex Padilla (D) 4%
  207. ^ "Statement of Vote" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved June 11, 2018.
  208. ^ "Complete Statement of Vote" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved 19 July 2018.
  209. ^ "Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice endorses John Cox for California governor". Los Angeles Times.
  210. ^ Carla Marinucci. "Former Secretary of State George Shultz Endorses Republican @TheRealJohnHCox for CA Governor. Cox: "Sec Shultz has had a distinguished career in business and service to our nation. I am tremendously honored to have his support in this effort to bring positive change to CA."". Twitter.
  211. ^ Donald J. Trump. "California finally deserves a great Governor, one who understands borders, crime and lowering taxes. John Cox is the man - he'll be the best Governor you've ever had. I fully endorse John Cox for Governor and look forward to working with him to Make California Great Again!". Twitter.
  212. ^ Seema Mehta (May 25, 2018). "Trump's daughter-in-law touts his endorsement of John Cox for California governor in new video". Los Angeles Times.
  213. ^ a b c d JohnHCox. "Honored to announce today that I've received the endorsements of Majority Leader @kevinomccarthy & Reps Calvert, Nunes, Denham & Issa #CAGov". Twitter.
  214. ^ JohnHCox. "Congressman Paul Cook says "John Cox is a proven Republican leader" in his endorsement of my campaign today. @CAGOP #GOP #cagop2018". Twitter.
  215. ^ JohnHCox. "Grateful to receive a new endorsement from Central Valley Congressman Jeff Denham! #CAGov #GOP". Twitter.
  216. ^ Mehta, Seema (March 12, 2018). "Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich endorses John Cox in governor's race". Los Angeles Times.
  217. ^ JohnHCox. "Proud to announce that I've been endorsed by North State Congressman @DougLaMalfa! #CAGov #GOP .@CAGOP". Twitter.
  218. ^ Seastrand, Andrea (August 3, 2018). "California is at a critical juncture; John Cox is the right man to lead it". The Tribune.
  219. ^ JohnHCox. "I was thrilled to receive an endorsement today from Rep. Mimi Walters! A great Member of Congress. .@CAGOP #GOP #OrangeCounty #CAGov". Twitter.
  220. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah "Endorsements". John Cox for Governor. Archived from the original on November 19, 2018. Retrieved February 22, 2019.
  221. ^ JohnHCox. "Proud to announce a new endorsement from former Senate GOP Leader Dick Ackerman! #CAGov @CAGOP #InItToWinIt". Twitter.
  222. ^ Travis Allen. "It's time we put the Primary past us and UNITE to WIN IN NOVEMBER. Today, I'm officially endorsing Republican nominee JOHN COX and announcing the TAKE BACK CALIFORNIA Tour to Organize CA Conservatives. Join TODAY, and together let's TAKE BACK CALIFORNIA!!". Twitter.
  223. ^ "BREAKING! Big Endorsement for John Cox for Governor 2018 from Conservative Leader - State Senator Joel Anderson!". 5 April 2018. Retrieved 8 April 2018.
  224. ^ JohnHCox. "Momentum is building. I just received the endorsement of State Senator Jim Nielsen! #gop #CAGov @CAGOP @CASenatorJim". Twitter.
  225. ^ JohnHCox. "Honored to earn the endorsement of longtime Los Angeles County Supervisor @MikeAntonovich. #LosAngeles #CAGov #InItToWinIt #Breaking". Twitter.
  226. ^ "Twitter". twitter.com. Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  227. ^ JohnHCox. "Thank you to #StopTheCarTax leader @carldemaio for his endorsement today of my campaign for Governor! #ReclaimCA #GOP #SanDiego #CAGov". Twitter.
  228. ^ Charles T. Clark, David Garrick (September 14, 2018). "San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer endorses John Cox for governor". The San Diego Union-Tribune.
  229. ^ JohnHCox. "Proud to have the endorsement of former #Sacramento County Sheriff John McGinness. #InItToWinIt #RepublicansRising". Twitter.
  230. ^ "John Cox for Governor 2018". facebook.com. Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  231. ^ Kimberlin Brown Pelzer. "I am in full support of @TheRealJohnHCox for Governor. #TeamKimberlin". Twitter.
  232. ^ "JohnHCox on Twitter". Twitter.
  233. ^ Adam Carolla. "lets get this guy elected". Twitter.
  234. ^ JohnHCox. "Proud to receive the endorsement of 2x @CAGOP former Chairman Tirso Del Junco. @CAGOP #cagop2018 #GOP". Twitter.
  235. ^ Joe Garofoli (May 24, 2018). "Top California Republican urges Travis Allen to endorse rival John Cox". San Francisco Chronicle.
  236. ^ JohnHCox. "Michael Holtsclaw, Chair of the Tehama County GOP is endorsing me for #CAGov. Says, "John Cox is clearly the conservative choice" #GOP". Twitter.
  237. ^ "John and Ken's Voter Guide to the 2018 Primary".
  238. ^ JohnHCox. "Thrilled to announce the endorsements of Republican Party of San Diego Chair @TonyKrvaric & Congressman @DarrellIssa #CAGOP2018 @CAGOP". Twitter.
  239. ^ Nikki Laurenzo. ".@TheRealJohnHCox picks up an endorsement from one of the founders of #Apple Mike Markkula- "Being 47 out of 50 in education is unacceptable. Having companies move out of California rather than in because of high taxes and over-burdening regulations is unacceptable." #CAGov". Twitter.
  240. ^ JohnHCox. "Im proud to announce I've just been endorsed by Michael Reagan! #RepublicansRising @cagop #CAGOP2018". Twitter.
  241. ^ Mehta, Seema. "Trump's daughter-in-law touts his endorsement of John Cox for California governor in new video". latimes.com. Retrieved 4 September 2018.
  242. ^ Press Releases (2017-06-18). "Lew Uhler, president of the National Tax Limitation Committee PAC endorses John Cox for Governor - John Cox For Governor 2018". Johncoxforgovernor.com. Archived from the original on 2018-01-19. Retrieved 2018-04-04.
  243. ^ "Joy Villa on Twitter". Retrieved 4 September 2018.
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  245. ^ JohnHCox. "Just received the unanimous endorsement of the Butte County Republican Party! #RepublicansRising #GOP @CAGOP #MAGA". Twitter.
  246. ^ "Announcement: Statewide GOP grassroots organization endorses John Cox for Governor 2018". Right On Daily Blog.
  247. ^ JohnHCox. "Proud to have just received the endorsement of the California Peace Officers Association, 16,000 members strong. @CalPeaceOfficer #CAGov". Twitter.
  248. ^ "Twitter". twitter.com. Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  249. ^ JohnHCox. "I'm proud to have just been endorsed for Governor by the Fresno County Republican Party! #Fresno #Valley @CAGOP @FresnoCountyGOP #GOP". Twitter.
  250. ^ JohnHCox. "Proud to announce that I've just been endorsed for #CAGov by the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association! @HJTA #GOP #InItToWinIt". Twitter.
  251. ^ JohnHCox. "Just earned the unanimous endorsement of the Merced County Republican Party! @CAGOP #gop #InItToWinIt". Twitter.
  252. ^ JohnHCox. "#Agriculture. Proud to announce the endorsement of the Nisei Farmers League. President Manuel Cunha, Jr wrote: "We are impressed & supportive of your comments regarding job creation, affordable housing, improved educational opportunities, support for law enforcement & water..." Twitter.
  253. ^ Sacramento GOP. "The Sacramento County GOP was pleased to unanimously endorse @TheRealJohnHCox for Governor of California. Time to make Dems face up to the poverty, crime and low quality of life they have created in our State". Twitter.
  254. ^ JohnHCox. "Thank you to the San Diego Deputy Sheriffs' Assn & Stockton Police Officers' Assn for their endorsements. #Grateful #HelpIsOnTheWay #CAGov". Twitter.
  255. ^ JohnHCox. "Adding to my #SanDiego news today, I'm thrilled to announce an endorsement by the 1,900 women & men of the San Diego Police Officers Assn. I'm proud of the fact they wrote that my "qualifications, character and support for law enforcement make you the best candidate." #CAGov". Twitter.
  256. ^ JohnHCox. "I'm thrilled to earn the endorsement of the San Joaquin County Farm Bureau - they wrote "John Cox is the best choice for California's agriculture community." We need change & #HelpIsOnTheWay for our farmers & ranchers! #CentralValley #Agriculture #CAGov". Twitter.
  257. ^ JohnHCox. "Proud to have received the endorsement of the San Mateo County Republican Central Committee last week. #ReclaimCA #InItToWinIt #GOP". Twitter.
  258. ^ JohnHCox. "More grassroots momentum...proud to announce the endorsement of @SCRWM - So Cal Republican Women & Men earning 2/3rds of the vote! #GOP". Twitter.
  259. ^ Nikki Laurenzo. "Stockton Police Officers Association endorses @TheRealJohnHCox for governor. #CAGov". Twitter.
  260. ^ Phil Willon. "The Association of Los Angeles Deputy Sheriffs has endorsed Republican @TheRealJohnHCox for governor. Assn. President Ron Hernandez praised Cox for supporting crime victims and law enforcement". Twitter.
  261. ^ JohnHCox. "Proud to be endorsed for #CAGov by the National Latino Peace Officers Association today. #InItToWinIt #HelpIsOnTheWay". Twitter.
  262. ^ "John Cox for governor of California". Orange County Register. September 23, 2018.
  263. ^ "OUR ENDORSEMENTS". Santa Barbara News-Press. October 30, 2018. Retrieved November 2, 2018.
  264. ^ Barack Obama [@BarackObama] (August 1, 2018). "Today I'm proud to endorse such a wide and impressive array of Democratic candidates – leaders as diverse, patriotic, and big-hearted as the America they're running to represent:" (Tweet). Retrieved August 1, 2018 – via Twitter.
  265. ^ Seema Mehta. "Sen. Kamala Harris endorsing Gavin Newsom for governor". Latimes.com. Retrieved 2018-04-04.
  266. ^ a b c Casey Tolan (2018-02-01). "Ro Khanna and other South Bay elected officials back Gavin Newsom for governor". Mercurynews.com. Retrieved 2018-04-04.
  267. ^ "Gavin Newsom on Twitter: "Honored to have the support of @JimmyPanetta! Great to be with him in Santa Cruz today talking with grassroots leaders and activists about how CA must continue to lead the country in the right direction: forward!"". Twitter.com. Retrieved 2018-04-04.
  268. ^ "Bay Area Rep. Eric Swalwell backs Gavin Newsom for Governor". September 25, 2017. Retrieved October 27, 2017.
  269. ^ Phil Willon. "Incoming state Senate leader endorsing Newsom for governor". Latimes.com. Retrieved 2018-04-04.
  270. ^ Patrick McGreevy (2018-06-13). "Gov. Jerry Brown rallies Democrats to elect Gavin Newsom as his successor". Latimes.com. Retrieved 2018-07-17.
  271. ^ Gavin Newsom (2017-05-20). ""Thank you @AsmAutumnBurke for your support! Excited to have you on the team!‌ "". Twitter.com. Retrieved 2018-04-04.
  272. ^ a b c d e f "Gavin Newsom on Twitter: "Honored to have the support of my good friends @DavidChiu, @PhilTing, @JeffAdachi, @SupervisorTang, @CarmenChuASR and @HydraMendoza! Onward!"". Twitter.com. 2017-10-04. Retrieved 2018-04-04.
  273. ^ "Gavin Newsom on Twitter: "Honored to have the support of @laurafriedman43 in my race for Governor! She has been a leader in the CA Assembly on issues ranging from the environment, to universal healthcare, to women's rights. Thank you for your support!"". Twitter.com. Retrieved 2018-04-04.
  274. ^ Newsom, Gavin [@GavinNewsom] (February 8, 2018). "Beyond thrilled to have the support of @SenatorLeyva, a fearless defender of equality and champion for working people across our state!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  275. ^ "Gavin Newsom on Twitter: "Thank you for your support, @kevinmullin! Honored to have you by my side in the race for Governor!"". Twitter.com. Retrieved 2018-04-04.
  276. ^ Newsom, Gavin (2017). "And to continue the momentum... beyond humbled to have the support of the only Armenian elected official in the Legislature, @Asm_Nazarian!". @GavinNewsom.
  277. ^ Seema Mehta. "California Secretary of State Alex Padilla backs Gavin Newsom for governor over former colleague Antonio Villaraigosa". Latimes.com. Retrieved 2018-04-04.
  278. ^ Newsom, Gavin [@GavinNewsom] (November 10, 2017). "Honored and thrilled to have the support of veteran and CA State Senator @GeneralRoth! Excited to have you on the team!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  279. ^ "Gavin Newsom on Twitter: "Thank you @HenrySternCA for your support and endorsement! Honored to have you on the team!‌ "". Twitter.com. Retrieved 2018-04-04.
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  281. ^ Eric Garcetti. "United as Democrats. United for California. United for Los Angeles. United behind @GavinNewsom". Twitter.
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  283. ^ Newsom, Gavin (30 November 2017). "Thrilled to have the support of Councilwoman Lena Gonzalez & @RobertGarciaLB! Robert was the youngest and first LGBT person of color to be elected to Long Beach City Council. He's now the city's youngest mayor, and its first LGBT and Latino mayor! Thank you both for your support!pic.twitter.com/lhScOk9ars". @GavinNewsom.
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  293. ^ "Gavin Newsom on Twitter: "Honored to have the support of the largest classified school employees union in America!‌ "". Twitter.com. Retrieved 2018-04-04.
  294. ^ "- California Teachers Association". cta.org.
  295. ^ "2018 General Election Endorsements". California Labor Federation. Archived from the original on October 9, 2018. Retrieved 2019-02-22.
  296. ^ "Equality California Endorses Gavin Newsom for California Governor | Equality California". Eqca.org. 2018-01-30. Retrieved 2018-04-04.
  297. ^ "Pro-Choice Voter Guide 2018". NARAL Pro-Choice California. Archived from the original on August 1, 2018. Retrieved 2019-02-22.
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  299. ^ "Single-Payer Health Pledge Nets Major Union Endorsement for Gavin Newsom". Times of San Diego. 23 October 2017.
  300. ^ Roth, Mike. "SEIU California Endorses Gavin Newsom for Governor". SEIU California. Retrieved 14 February 2018.
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  302. ^ Teamsters. ""#Teamsters Joint Council 7 proudly endorses @GavinNewsom for Governor of #California"". Twitter.com. Retrieved 2018-04-04.
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  304. ^ "RuPaul Endorses Gavin Newsom for California Governor - Vote on June 5th". YouTube. Retrieved July 24, 2018.
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  316. ^ "Governor - Statewide Results PDF" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved 7 January 2019.
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Official campaign websites