2014 Crimean crisis: Difference between revisions

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[[Nina L. Khrushcheva]], the great-granddaughter of former Soviet Premier [[Nikita Khrushchev]] and a Russian Affairs professor at the [[The New School]], says that the aim of Crimea is not necessarily independence from Ukraine, but rather continued dependence on Russia. However, this has instead led Putin to justify continued backing for Yanukovych as well as his own desires to re-take the peninsula. Nevertheless, she acknowledges that Putin's long term goal may not be annexation of Crimea, since this could cause ethnic Crimean Tatars, who had been [[Population transfer in the Soviet Union|forcibly displaced by Stalin to Central Asia]], to demand a return to Crimea and possibly cause the Islamic insurgency to spread out of the Northern Caucasus. Furthermore, she also states that if Russia sets a precedent of recovering "lost territory", this could inspire countries such as China or [[Georgia (country)|Georgia]] to demand back their own "stolen lands".<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/nina-l--khrushcheva-asks-whether-vladimir-putin-will-exploit-ukraine-s-disarray-to-reclaim-lost-territory|title=Russia's Crimean Shore? |publisher=Project Syndicate|date=28 February 2014}}</ref>
[[Nina L. Khrushcheva]], the great-granddaughter of former Soviet Premier [[Nikita Khrushchev]] and a Russian Affairs professor at the [[The New School]], says that the aim of Crimea is not necessarily independence from Ukraine, but rather continued dependence on Russia. However, this has instead led Putin to justify continued backing for Yanukovych as well as his own desires to re-take the peninsula. Nevertheless, she acknowledges that Putin's long term goal may not be annexation of Crimea, since this could cause ethnic Crimean Tatars, who had been [[Population transfer in the Soviet Union|forcibly displaced by Stalin to Central Asia]], to demand a return to Crimea and possibly cause the Islamic insurgency to spread out of the Northern Caucasus. Furthermore, she also states that if Russia sets a precedent of recovering "lost territory", this could inspire countries such as China or [[Georgia (country)|Georgia]] to demand back their own "stolen lands".<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/nina-l--khrushcheva-asks-whether-vladimir-putin-will-exploit-ukraine-s-disarray-to-reclaim-lost-territory|title=Russia's Crimean Shore? |publisher=Project Syndicate|date=28 February 2014}}</ref>

According to former [[Ohio]] congressman and [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] presidential candidate [[Dennis Kucinich]], the crisis is a result of America "[..] trying to force the people of Ukraine into a deal with NATO against their interest or into a deal with the European Union, which is against their economic interest." He said that the United States has been involved "covertly and behind the scenes with the CIA and two government foreign aid groups, the National Endowment for Democracy and the United States Agency for International Development, to stir up trouble in Ukraine", which resulted in [[neo-Nazi]]s taking control.<ref>[http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/russia-ukraine-covert-operations-Dennis-Kuchinich/2014/03/04/id/556082/ Dennis Kucinich Blames US Meddling for Russian Invasion

Read Latest Breaking News from Newsmax.com http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/russia-ukraine-covert-operations-Dennis-Kuchinich/2014/03/04/id/556082#ixzz2w7mEgCmB
Urgent: Should Obamacare Be Repealed? Vote Here Now!] ''[[newsmax]]'' Retrieved on March 16, 2014</ref>


Volodymyr Panchenko, of the Kiev-based think-tank [[International Centre for Policy Studies|International Center for Policy Studies]], says that the aim of Russia is for Crimea to be "more or less controlled by Russian troops," but that if or when a referendum is held "more than 80 percent" of votes would be for secession from Ukraine. The way events are unfolding in Crimea "is not a good precedent for the [[Oblasts of Ukraine|other provinces]]."<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.dw.de/historical-tensions-bubble-up-in-crimea/a-17465196 |title=Historical tensions bubble up in Crimea |publisher=Deutsche Welle|date=28 February 2014}}</ref>
Volodymyr Panchenko, of the Kiev-based think-tank [[International Centre for Policy Studies|International Center for Policy Studies]], says that the aim of Russia is for Crimea to be "more or less controlled by Russian troops," but that if or when a referendum is held "more than 80 percent" of votes would be for secession from Ukraine. The way events are unfolding in Crimea "is not a good precedent for the [[Oblasts of Ukraine|other provinces]]."<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.dw.de/historical-tensions-bubble-up-in-crimea/a-17465196 |title=Historical tensions bubble up in Crimea |publisher=Deutsche Welle|date=28 February 2014}}</ref>

Revision as of 11:33, 16 March 2014

The Crimean crisis (Russian: Крымский кризис, Ukrainian: Кримська криза) is an ongoing international crisis involving Russia and Ukraine. Most developments apply to the Crimean peninsula, a multiethnic region of Ukraine comprised of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and Sevastopol; both populated by ethnic Russian majorities but whose demographics have undergone dramatic changes in the past centuries.[a][b][c][4]

The crisis unfolded in late February 2014 in the aftermath of the Ukrainian revolution, when—after months of protests by Euromaidan and days of violent clashes between protesters and police in the Ukrainian capital of Kiev—the Ukrainian parliament held a vote to impeach the President of Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych.[5][6] However the vote failed to reach the three-fourths majority required to impeach a President according to the Constitution of Ukraine.[7][8] Russian President Vladimir Putin said President Yanukovych was illegally overthrown and that he regards him as Ukraine’s legitimate president, even though Yanukovych's removal was accepted by the broader international community.[9][d] This was followed by the interim appointment of a new Prime Minister and Cabinet of Ministers as well as the appointment of a new Acting President of Ukraine, Oleksandr Turchynov, which are acknowledged by the broad majority of the international community but seen by Russia as "self-proclaimed" in a "coup d'etat".[11][e][f][g]

Beginning on 26 February, pro-Russian gunmen gradually took control of the Crimean peninsula. Russia claimed that the uniformed men were local self-defense forces, but they are widely believed to be Russian military personnel without insignia.[15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22] While the gunmen occupied Crimea's parliament building, the parliament voted to dismiss the Crimean government, replace its Prime Minister and to call a referendum on Crimea's autonomy.[23][24] No battles have been fought yet although Ukraine alleges that it repelled an attempt to infiltrate by Russia on the Arabat Spit[25] portion that belongs to Kherson Oblast that is adjacent to Crimea.[26] Several days later, on 11 March, after disagreements between Crimea, Sevastopol, and the newly appointed interim government in Ukraine, the Crimean parliament and the city council of Sevastopol adopted a resolution to show their intention to unilaterally declare themselves independent as a single united nation with the possibility of joining the Russian Federation as a federal subject—should voters approve to do so in an upcoming referendum.

Diplomatically, neither the interim government of Ukraine nor the majority of the international community[citation needed] recognize the actions taken by Crimea and Sevastopol,[27][failed verification] nor do they recognize Crimea's and Sevastopol's recently formed governments.[citation needed] Russia, on the other hand, vowed that its troops would stay until the political situation has been normalized while recognizing both the recently appointed government of Crimea and mayor of Sevastopol, as well as the referendum and its possible outcome.[16]

Background

Map of the Crimean peninsula. The Autonomous Republic of Crimea is colored yellow while Sevastopol is colored red.
Distribution of ethnicities in the Crimean peninsula according to the local 2001 census. Ethnic Russians comprise a majority at 58%.[28]

The Crimean Khanate, a vassal of the Ottoman Empire, was conquered by the Russian Empire in 1783.[29] Following its incorporation into the Russian Empire, Crimea became the "heart of Russian Romanticism" and the region continued to attract vacationers well after the Russian Empire was replaced by the Soviet Union.[30] Crimea had autonomy within the Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic as the Crimean Autonomous Soviet Socialist Republic from 1921 until 1945, when Joseph Stalin deported the Crimean Tatars, and abolished Crimean autonomy.[31] In 1954, the Soviet Union under Nikita Khrushchev, who was himself half-Ukrainian[32] transferred the Crimean Oblast from the Russian SFSR to the Ukrainian SSR, in a "symbolic gesture" that seemed insignificant at the time, since both republics were a part of the Soviet Union.[33][34][35] Crimea's pre-1945 autonomy was re-established with the Crimean sovereignty referendum in 1991, the final year of the Soviet Union's existence.[36]

The Autonomous Republic of Crimea has been part of an independent Ukraine since 1991, when the former constituent Republics of the Soviet Union became independent states. In 1992, the Crimean Parliament voted to hold a referendum to declare independence, while the Russian Parliament voted to void the cession of Crimea to Ukraine.[37][38] In 1994, Russian nationalist Yuri Meshkov won the 1994 Crimean presidential election and organized a referendum on Crimea's status.[39][40] Later in that same year, Crimea's legal status as part of Ukraine was recognized by Russia, which pledged to uphold the territorial integrity of Ukraine in the Budapest memorandum signed in 1994. This treaty (or "executive agreement" for purposes of US law), was also signed by the United States, United Kingdom, and France.[41][42] However Ukraine revoked the Crimean constitution and abolished the office of Crimean President in 1995.[43] Crimea would gain a new constitution in 1998 that granted the Crimean parliament lesser powers than the previous constitution, including no legislative initiative.[36][44] Crimean officials would later seek to restore the powers of the previous constitution.[44]

The further developments in Crimea and the future of Russian naval bases there have been a point of contention in Russian-Ukrainian relations.[41] Under the Russian-Ukrainian Partition Treaty determining the fate of the military bases and vessels in Crimea – signed in 1997 and prolonged in 2010 - Russia is allowed to have up to 25,000 troops, 24 artillery systems (with a caliber smaller than 100 mm), 132 armored vehicles, and 22 military planes, on the Crimean peninsula. The Russian Black Sea fleet is allowed to stay in Crimea until 2042. Moscow annually writes off $97.75 million of Kiev’s debt for the right to use Ukrainian waters and radio frequencies, and to compensate for the Black Sea Fleet’s environmental impact.[45]

According to the 2001 census, ethnic Russians make up about 58% of the two million residents of Crimea. In Sevastopol, which houses a base for the Russian Navy's Black Sea Fleet, ethnic Russians make up 70% of the city's population of 340,000.[46] Ukrainians make up 24% of the Crimean population, while 12% are Crimean Tatars.[31][46] Ethnic Russians did not become the largest population group in Crimea until the 20th century,[citation needed] after Soviet leader Joseph Stalin ordered the deportation of the Crimean Tatars in 1944 for alleged collaboration with Nazi invaders in World War Two.[47][48] Crimean Tatars were not permitted to return to Crimea after their deportation in 1944, and became an international cause célèbre,[49] until the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. The continuing return of Crimean Tatars to their homeland in Crimea since the Soviet collapse has caused persistent tensions with the Russian population of the peninsula.[50] The leader of the Mejlis of the Crimean Tatar People Refat Chubarov protested against the intervention of Russia.[51]

In the 2010 local parliamentary elections, the Party of Regions received 357,030 votes, while the second-placed Ukrainian Communist Party received 54,172 votes.[52] Both parties were targeted by protesters during the 2014 Ukrainian revolution.[53][54][55]

According to the International Centre for Defense Studies, since the Orange Revolution in 2004, Russia has pressured Ukraine for its preferences to associate itself with the West.[56] It has been stated that the information campaign in Crimea has become especially proficient and systematic, becoming particularly intense during the 2006–08 Ukraine bid for NATO membership. Each of Ukraines' attempts to achieve European integration has led to increased Russian hostility to the idea via its use of information campaign.[56][57] Russia opposes Ukrainian integration with the West for various reasons, including a fear of NATO expanding to Russia's Western borders[58] and Russia's claimed desire to include Ukraine in an Eurasian Union.[59]

According to Taras Kuzio, during the Viktor Yushchenko presidency (2005–2010), Russia's relations with Ukraine deteriorated, prompting the Russian security service (FSB) and Russian military intelligence (GRU) to expand their covert support for pro-Russian forces in Southern Ukraine and Russian separatists in Crimea.[60] Following the Orange Revolution and the 2008 Russo-Georgian War, American diplomatic cables leaked to the public noted that Russian military action against Ukraine was "no longer unthinkable."[61]

Revolution in Kiev

Towards the end of 2013, Euromaidan protests began over the issue of the accession of Ukraine to the European Union, which the elected President Viktor Yanukovich rejected because he had struck a deal with Putin which meant, among other things, that Russia would buy $15 billion in Ukrainian bonds, and discount gas prices to Ukraine by one-third. Tyahnybok, leader of an opposition far-right group was suspicious of the true cost to Ukraine for Russian support.[62]

The protests escalated in early 2014 and eventually led to deaths of both protesters and police between 18 and 20 February.[63] At least 88 people were killed,[64] including at least seven police.[65] President Yanukovich and the opposition leaders signed a compromise deal on February 21 that was brokered by French, Polish and German foreign ministers. Under the agreement forces on both sides of the conflict should refrain from confrontation, all illegal weapons should be handed over within 24 hours. Despite the agreement thousands were still protesting in central Kiev and as President Yanukovich left for Kharkiv to attend a summit of south-eastern regions,[66] the opposition took control of Kiev’s government district, the parliament, the president’s administration quarters, the cabinet and the Interior Ministry.[65][67] On 21 February an impeachment bill was introduced in Ukrainian parliament,[68] but no details were provided and the Ukrainian parliament did not vote to impeach Yanukovich according to the legal procedure. Nevertheless members of the opposition formed a new government. Due to this reasons Russia refused to recognize the new authorities in Kiev, saying that they had come to power through armed insurrection by extreme-right political forces and unconstitutional methods. Several[clarification needed] Western countries immediately[when?] recognized the new regime in Kiev.

Some residents of the eastern and southern parts of the country, which are primarily Russian-speaking and constitute President Yanukovich's support base, felt disenfranchised by these developments and protested against the new regime in Kiev.[69] The Parliament of Crimea called for an extraordinary session on 21 February. The leader of the Mejlis of the Crimean Tatar People Refat Chubarov stated that he suspected that the session might ask for Russian military intervention.[70]

On 21 February 2014, the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) issued a statement which promised that "it will use severe measures to prevent any action taken against diminishing the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Ukraine."[h] The same day the pro-Russian Party of Regions who held 80 of the 100 seats in the Crimean Parliament,[72] did not discuss issues relating to the separation of Crimea from Ukraine and appeared to support the deal struck between President Yanukovich and the opposition to end the crises signed the same day.[73]

On 23 February 2014, the Ukrainian parliament adopted a bill to repeal the law on minority languages, which—if signed by the Ukrainian President—would have established Ukrainian as the sole official state language of all Ukraine, including Crimea which is populated by a Russian-speaking majority.[74] The Christian Science Monitor reported: "The [adoption of this bill] only served to infuriate Russian-speaking regions, [who] saw the move as more evidence that the antigovernment protests in Kiev that toppled Yanukovich's government were intent on pressing for a nationalistic agenda."[75] A few days later, on 1 March 2014, the acting President of Ukraine, Oleksandr Turchynov, vetoed the bill effectively stopping its enactment.[76] However on 11 March the newly installed Ukrainian regime demanded Russian language TV and Radio channels be shut down, a move that the OSCE slammed as repressive censorship.[77]

The Kharkiv Human Rights Protection Group and the Ukrainian Helsinki Human Rights Union have both denied any human rights violations against Russian speakers in Ukraine that would justify Russia's actions.[78][79]

Circumstances

Under the Russian-Ukrainian Partition Treaty on the Status and Conditions of the Black Sea Fleet.[i] determining the fate of the military bases and vessels in Crimea – signed in 1997 and prolonged in 2010 - Russia is allowed to maintain up to 25,000 troops, 24 artillery systems (with a caliber smaller than 100 mm), 132 armored vehicles, and 22 military planes, on the Crimean and Sevastopol. The Russian Black Sea fleet is allowed to stay in Crimea until 2042. However it is controversial if the recent troop movements are covered by the treaty.[81]

Timeline of the events

February

23 February

  • In Simferopol a pro-Euromaidan rally of between 5,000–15,000 was held in support of the new Ukrainian authorities.[82][83]
  • In Sevastopol, thousands of people waved placards calling for "Mother Russia" to save them.[84]

24 February

25 February

  • Several hundred pro-Russian protesters gathered at the Crimean parliament demanding a referendum on Crimea's independence.[91][92]

26 February

  • Thousands of protesters clashed in Simferopol.[93]
  • Media claimed that at least a dozen self-defence volunteers took control of the main route of access to Sevastopol,[46] setting up a checkpoint, with military vehicles under a Russian flag, on the main highway between the city and Simferopol.[46]
File:МИТИНГ ТАТАР В КРЫМУ! Евромайдан.WebM
A Crimean Tatars demonstration, 26 February 2014.

27 February

  • A group of unidentified gunmen entered Crimea's parliament building, hoisting a Russian flag on the roof and Council of Ministers building. They were cheered by pro-Russian demonstrators who gathered round the buildings.[94][95] The gunmen were said to be professionals and armed with rifles.[96] While the gunmen occupied the building, the parliament held an emergency session.[23][24] It voted to dismiss the government, terminate its powers, and replace Prime Minister Anatolii Mohyliov with Sergey Aksyonov. Aksyonov belonged to the Russian Unity party, which received 4% of the vote in the last election.[24] It also voted to hold a referendum on greater autonomy on 25 May. The gunmen had cut all of the building's communications and took MPs' phones as they entered the building.[23][24] No independent journalists were allowed inside the building while the votes were taking place.[24] Some MPs claimed that votes were cast for them and other MPs, even though they were not in the chamber.[24]
  • The Ukrainian organization Right Sector officially announced that it does not intend to participate in any conflict on the territory of Crimea.[97]
  • The new Prime Minister of Ukraine, Arseniy Yatsenyuk, warned "We must immediately declare that anyone who is on the streets with guns – these people are prosecuted by law".[98]
Unmarked soldiers on patrol at Simferopol International Airport, 28 February 2014

28 February

March

File:Selbstverteidigung.jpg
A Crimean self-defense militia stands guard with riot shields painted in the Crimean tricolor flag in Simferopol, 2 March 2014
Soldiers in Simferopol, 2 March 2014
Armed troops outside the Crimean Parliament in Simferopol. 1st March 2014

1 March

  • The Crimean Prime Minister Sergey Aksyonov appealed directly to Russian President Vladimir Putin for help to ensure peace.[107]
  • Protests against the new regime in Kiev and in support of Russians in Crimea occurred throughout Eastern and Southern Ukraine.[108]
  • The acting president of Ukraine, Turchynov, signed a decree declaring the appointment of Sergei Aksyonov as the head of the government of Crimea to be unconstitutional.[109]
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin formally asked the Federation Council for permission to use Russian military forces in Ukraine.[110] Hours later, the Federation Council voted unanimously to grant permission.[111][112] The Consulate of the Russian Federation in Simferopol started to issue Russian passports to former Berkut police who were fleeing Ukraine.[113]
  • The Ukrainian Navy did not leave its base in Sevastopol.[114][115] Ukrainian journalists were prohibited from entering the Crimean region.[116] Ukrainian media claimed that decisions to replace the government and hold a referendum in Crimea were falsified.[117][118][119][120]
  • According to Damon Wilson, vice president of the Atlantic Council, the United States Congress was "considering authorizing [a] defense arms package to Ukraine".[121][122]
Russian Tigrs near Ukrainian military base in Perevalne

2 March

  • RIA Novosti reported that units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces assigned to Crimea were resigning on a "massive scale".[123] Acting President Olexander Turchynov ordered all Ukrainian military reservists to be called up.[124] At a Ukrainian military base near the village of Perevalne, there was a standoff between a handful of Ukrainian marines loyal to Kiev and the surrounding Russian forces.[125][126]
  • The newly appointed chief of the Ukrainian Navy, Denis Berezovsky, announced in a televised statement that he refuses to follow orders from the regime in Kiev and allegiance to the Crimea.[127][128] He was replaced by Serhiy Hayduk. The government of Crimea announced the formation of its own Defence Ministry.[129] No other defections were reported by independent media.[130][failed verification]
  • The 204th Tactical Aviation Brigade of the Ukrainian Air Force, armed with 45 MiG-29 fighters and 4 L-39 trainers based at the airport of Belbek switched sides over to the Government of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea. Out of the 49 aircraft only four are intact along with one fighter training aircraft.[131]

4 March

  • According to Ukrainian officials, Ukrainian troops stationed in Crimea were urged to surrender by 4 March at 5 a.m. (0300 GMT) or face an armed confrontation via an ultimatum issued by Alexander Vitko, the commander of the Russian Black Sea Fleet.[132] This ultimatum was however denied by Russian officials[133] and turned out to be false as no confrontations were reported after the deadline expired.[134] Russian soldiers seized a ferry terminal in the city of Kerch, the easternmost point of Crimea.[135]

5 March

6 March

  • The Supreme Council of Crimea voted for full accession as part of the Russian Federation after more than six decades as part of Ukraine.[144] The Supreme Council's decision will be put to the Crimean people via referendum if the request is granted by Russia. The previously announced referendum scheduled for 30 March, will be moved up to 16 March 2014, and its question will be altered to reflect the Supreme Council's 6 March vote of whether to accept reunification with Russia or not.[144] A Ukrainian government minister argued that any referendum would be unconstitutional.[144] Council member Pilunsky declared that the decision did not meet the quorum.[120]
  • Observers of the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) made attempts to get inside the Crimean peninsula, however they were stopped at border checkpoints by self-defence forces. The contingent consists of 42 people from 22 countries and led by Hungarian Lt. Col. Gábor Ács. The mission arrived in Ukraine on 6 March and has a mandate to work in Crimea till March 12.[145] They were deterred by warning shots while attempting to enter Crimea on 8 March.[146]

7 March

  • Three Ukrainian television channels have been shut down in the Crimea,[147] including the largest local broadcaster not run by the Crimean state,[148] and two that have been replaced by Russian state television.[147]
  • Amnesty International and the Committee to Protect Journalists have both claimed that human rights of journalists, human rights activists, and pro-Ukrainian protestors have been violated by the occupying forces.[citation needed] John Dalhuisen, Europe and Central Asia Director at Amnesty International stated "Attempting to monitor the human rights situation in Crimea has become a near impossible task. Self-styled Crimean self-defence groups are harassing pro-Ukrainian protesters, journalists and human rights monitors with complete impunity."[149][150]
Unmarked soldier guarding Ukrainian military base in Perevalne, March 9

9 March

  • Russian President Vladimir Putin in a phone call with German Chancellor Angela Merkel and British Prime Minister David Cameron, has defended breakaway moves by the pro-Russian leaders of Crimea by saying their actions are aimed at protecting the legitimate interests of the population of the region, according to the Kremlin. Ms Merkel, however, told Mr Putin the referendum violated Ukraine's constitution and was against international law.[151]
  • In Sevastopol, clashes took place during a rally celebrating the 200th anniversary of the birth of the Ukrainian poet Taras Shevchenko. pro-Kiev radicals from Western Ukraine started shouting Nazi slogans and called on Sevastopol residents to ignore the March 16 referendum.[152][153][154][155] Police confirmed that 20 people were detained including members of the Right Sector nationalist group.[156]

10 March

  • Allegations emerged that mercenaries from the U.S. defense-contracting firm Academi (Blackwater) were used by the pro-Kiev authorities in Donetsk to suppress the local pro-Russian protesters there.[157] The Russian Foreign Ministry released a statement saying that Russia is "outraged by the chaos which is currently ruling in eastern regions of Ukraine," which The Washington Post interpreted as potentially being a "pretext for Russian military intervention into areas of Ukraine beyond Crimea."[158]
  • Crimean Prime Minister Sergey Aksenov proposed an agreement with Crimean Tatars who constitute more than 12 percent of the Crimean population. Under the deal, Tatar representatives will be offered a vice premiership and at least two more posts in the local government.[156] The Crimean Tatars declined this offer.[159][failed verification][160][161]
  • The parliament of Crimea sent an official invitation to the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) to send a mission to observe the referendum on March 16.[162][163] The next day the Deputy Prime Minister of Crimea, Rustam Temirgaliyev, said they did not invite the OSCE to observe the referendum in an official manner.[164] He explained that only a verbal invitation was indeed made by Prime Minister of Crimea, Sergei Aksionov, but not an official invitation.[164] Later the OSCE chair, Switzerlands Foreign Minister Didier Burkhalter declared the referendum as illegal in its current form as its in contradiction with the Ukrainian constitution and that the OSCE will not send a mission to observe it.[165]
  • Over 1 billion hryvna ($110 million) belonging to the regional budget of Crimea was frozen by the post-Maidan government in Kiev. The Crimean parliament said it will “leave 200,000 employees without pay, and 180,000 children without subsidies,”. Local lawmakers also said that the asset freeze was carried out to sabotage the independence referendum on March 16.[166]

11 March

  • The Crimean parliament voted and approved a declaration on the independence of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the city of Sevastopol from Ukraine, as the Republic of Crimea, with 78 votes out of 100 in favor.[167][168] The Bakhchasaray air defence base was taken over by 30 Crimean self-defence forces personnel. An Irish journalist reported that of the 100 Ukraine troops inside 50% of them siding with Russia[167]

12 March

President Barack Obama talks with acting Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk at the conclusion of their bilateral meeting in the Oval Office, March 12, 2014.
  • A set of press regulations was issued by the Crimean parliament concerning the referendum on 16 March, stating, among other things, that authorized journalists covering the elections are obliged "not to spread material with negative content"[169]
  • The multinational OSCE observation mission published a report about their observations which "produced significant evidence of equipment consistent with the presence of Russian Federation military personnel in the vicinity of the various roadblocks encountered". Their entrance was refused at gunpoint.[170]
  • The UN Human Rights Envoy Ivan Simonovic had to cancel his trip to Crimea as the current situation does not permit his travel. He intended to observe the human rights situation, which was Russia's explanation for its engagement in Crimea.[171]

13 March

  • Russia has voiced support for the deployment of an OSCE monitoring mission in Ukraine, including Crimea, the chairman of the European security group said on Thursday, calling this a possible "big step forward."[172]

14 March

  • The United States and Russia found no middle ground on the Ukrainian crisis, after six hours of talks in London.[173]
  • According to the Russian-funded news agency RT News, over 2,000 people gathered in central Sevastopol to receive a Russian flag, as part of the 'Flag in every home' action being held in support of the upcoming Crimean referendum. Russian flags have been put up across the Autonomous Republic of Crimea to encourage people to vote to join Russia on March 16.[174]
  • According to the Russian government-owned news agency The Voice of Russia, Rostec, a Russian-state arms agency, announced that it had intercepted a surveillance drone flying over the skies of Crimea on 14 March, which belonged to the Bavaria-based 66th Military Intelligence Brigade of the United States Army.[175] According to The Voice of Russia, the agency disabled the drone "with the help of the EW (electronic warfare) complex Avtobaza," and as a result, "the device made an emergency landing and passed into the possession of the [Crimean] self-defense forces almost unbroken."[175] The company further claimed that this is the second U.S. drone to be intercepted over Crimea since the crisis began.[175] The Pentagon subsequently denied Rostec's claims, saying that "there is zero truth" to the reports.[176]

15 March

  • According to the Russian-funded news agency RT News, a group of 30 international observers arrived in Crimea ahead of the 16 March referendum. The observers’ mission, according to RT News, includes members from nationalities such as Austrian, Bulgarian, German, Greek, Hungarian, Italian, Latvian, French, and Polish.[177]
  • RT News reported that Crimea has launched a criminal case against the leader of the ultra-nationalist group Right Sector, Dmitry Yarosh and the head of Brotherhood party Dmitry Korchinsky. According to RT News, the men are accused of calling “for military aggression and terrorist attacks on the territory of the peninsula”.[178]
  • Gennady Basov, the leader of the Russian Bloc party and a deputy of Sevastopol City Council, were kidnapped by unknown people.[179]
  • Russia vetoed a US-sponsored UN resolution declaring the upcoming referendum on the future status of autonomous republic of Crimea invalid. China abstained, while 13 other members - US, UK, France, Luxembourg, Chile, Argentina, Lithuania, Jordan, Nigeria, Chad, Rwanda, Australia and South Korea - voted in favor.[180]

Other (non-Russian) involvement

On 2 March 2014, Pavel Chernev, former member of the nationalist Attack party and current political secretary of "Orthodox Dawn" (Bulgarian: Православна Зора, Pravoslavna Zora) who is known for his pro-Putin views, revealed that the Bulgarian branch of the organization will be sending a group of Bulgarian volunteers to "protect ethnic Russians and ethnic Bulgarians from forceful Ukrainization". Chernev also claimed that they had already sponsored "tens of Orthodox fighters" (non-Bulgarian) to fly to Moscow and Crimea.[181][182] Simeon Kostadinov, another former Attack member, currently representing the Nationalist Party in Bulgaria, and Chernev clarified that their mission has peaceful intentions, but will be prepared to give a good account of themselves in the unfortunate event of an escalation. Their contention is that the old regime was preferable from the standpoint of the Bulgarian minority in Ukraine and the new authorities lack legitimacy. Another small "international group based on the Pyrenean Peninsula" which includes some Bulgarians and is supported by a Russian paramilitary organization was reported to have left for Ukraine on 3 March. "Orthodox Dawn" have displayed an interest in securing the backing of international actors for the 2014 referendum in Crimea and will try to recruit foreign election observers.[183] According to Bulgarian sources, drawing on reports made by Al Jazeera, 20 Bulgarian nationals are presently in Crimea. They are part of the paramilitary formation Dobrovolets/Доброволец, which is under the control of Russian troops. Dobrovolets' area of operations also intends to include Odessa and Donetsk. Chernev will be visiting Crimea on 15 March and guarantees that all the participants in the mission have undergone thorough screening to ensure that people with criminal convictions are weeded out.[184] Anton Kisse, the only deputy in the Verkhovna Rada with Bulgarian roots, while acknowledging the pro-Russian sentiments among the majority of Bulgarians, Moldovans, Gagauz and Albanians inhabiting Bessarabia, has spoken out against any foreign interventions stating that "even the friendliest foreign state has no right to impose its vision of what constitutes proper order on Ukraine" and that "people will turn to Bulgaria if the need arises".[185]

A very small group of Chetniks, a Serbian nationalist paramilitary force, have travelled to Crimea to support Russia. Serbian and Russian nationalists share Slavic and Orthodox culture and anti-Western sentiment, and Chetniks claim to be in Russia's favour for support during the Yugoslav Wars.[186]

Economic consequences

As a result of the crisis, the two leading indexes of the Moscow Exchange fell in trading on 3 March 2014: the MICEX 10 declined 10.79 percent, equating to a loss in market capitalization of nearly $60 billion, and the RTS Index declined 12.01 percent to its lowest level since September 2009.[187] The next day, though, the MICEX rose 5.25%, recovering part of the losses. In response to this and the decline of the ruble, the Central Bank of Russia raised its interest rate from 5.5 to 7.0% and spent up to US$12 billion in reserves to bolster the currency.[188] The possibility for international sanctions against Russia has also been raised.[189]

There are worries that Russian gas exports into Europe and Ukraine may become disrupted by the current conflict. Thirty percent of Europe's gas is imported from Russia, half of which flows through Ukrainian pipelines. On 1 March Russian Energy Ministry decided to halt the subsidies of Russian gas for Ukraine.[190] The crisis could also affect worldwide grain supplies. Prices will likely rise because Ukraine is one of the world's largest exporters of wheat and grain.[189]

Domestic responses

Ukraine

Share of Ukrainian citizens who think that Ukraine should unite with Russia in one country, by region, February 2014

Three ex‐presidents of Ukraine accused Russia of interfering in Crimean affairs.[191] Interim president Oleksandr Turchynov at the start of the protests warned that there is a "serious risk" of separatism in parts of the country.[192][193] On 27 February 2014, the Central Election Commission of Ukraine claimed that regional referendum is impossible due to lack of necessary legislative basis for such.[194] On 27 February 2014, the Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada Oleksandr Turchynov was instructed to develop a new law "about language".[195] On 28 February a freelance journalist wrote on Twitter that President Yanukovych said that any military actions are unacceptable and he will not ask Russia for it.[196] According to President Yanukovych he believed that Crimea must remain part of Ukraine.[197][198]

The new Prime Minister of Ukraine Arseniy Yatsenyuk stated in his maiden speech on 27 February that "Ukraine will use all legal constitutional methods to preserve the territorial integrity of the state. Crimea was, is and will be a part of Ukraine!".[199]

On 27 February 2014, the MFA of Ukraine, in response to the MID statement, stated that the responsibility for non-compliance with the agreement on settlement of the crisis lies on President Viktor Yanukovych.[200] "In Ukraine, the importance of the crisis settlement Agreement, signed on 21 February 2014 by the lawful President of Ukraine and opposition leaders, and witnessed by officials of Germany, France and Poland, is honoured.[200] In this regard, we express disappointment that the representative of the Russian Federation, who also participated in the negotiation and drafting of the document, refused to testify this Agreement.[200] It is possible that it was that factor that become at the end one of the reasons for the rejection by the lawfully elected President of Ukraine to fulfill arrangements of the Agreement aimed at stabilizing the domestic life in the country," – said in the document.[200]

On 28 February 2014, the Verkhovna Rada adopted a resolution on events in Crimea:[201] "Verkhovna Rada demands from the Russian Federation to stop steps that have signs of encroachment on state sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine, including to refuse supporting separatism in Ukraine in any form".[201][202]

The Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada Oleksandr Turchynov dismissed Yuriy Ilyin as the Chief of the General Staff. During the 2014 Ukrainian Revolution Ilyin was reportedly preparing a military operation against the protest movement in Kiev. Ilyin reportedly had a heart attack after meeting with the newly appointed mayor of Sevastopol.[203]

Due to the events in Crimea, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine initiated bilateral consultations with Russia and indicated its readiness to initiate consultations within the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances framework if it receives no response.[204]

The General Prosecutor office intended to raise the issue of the extradition of Viktor Yanukovych, who was confirmed to be in Russia.[205] On 28 February, foreign observers speculated that Russia could extradite Yanukovych to the proper authorities only in exchange for Ukrainian non-intervention in Crimea.[citation needed] On 28 February the General Prosecutor of Ukraine Oleh Makhnitsky formally asked Russia to extradite Yanukovych.[206]

On 28 February Dmytro Yarosh, the leader of the Right Sector, denounced reports of Right Sector putting together armed units to be sent to Crimea; "Right Sector hopes that a way out of this difficult situation will be found exclusively in the political field, without using forcible methods. Right Sector believes that all parties and non-governmental organizations of Ukraine should forget strife and unite when it comes to the preservation of Ukraine's integrity. We should help politicians in settling this conflict peacefully".[207] On 1 March initial reports said that Dmytro Yarosh asked Dokka Umarov, a Chechen militant associated with al-Qaeda, for support of Ukraine;[208] but later it was announced that this was a fake statement from his hacked account.[209]

On 1 March 2014, the acting president of Ukraine signed an edict in which he pointed out that appointment of Sergey Aksyonov as the Chairman of the Councils of Ministers of Crimea was in violation of the Constitution of Ukraine and the Autonomous Republic of Crimea.[210]

The incumbent and two former presidents of Ukraine – Leonid Kravchuk, Leonid Kuchma and Viktor Yushchenko—called on Ukraine to renounce the Kharkiv Agreements.[211] Leonid Kuchma's press-center later denounced such a statement on behalf of Leonid Kuchma.[212]

On 1 March 2014, the acting President of Ukraine purportedly ordered the Armed Forces of Ukraine to full combat readiness.[213]

On 1 March the Oblast council of Luhansk Oblast voted to demand giving Russian language the status of second official language, stopping ″persecution of Berkut fighters″, disarming Maidan self-defense units and banning a number of far-right political organizations like Svoboda and UNA-UNSO. In the case of the authorities failing to comply with the demands, the Oblast council reserved itself the ″right to ask for help from the brotherly people of the Russian Federation.″[214]

The General Prosecutor of Ukraine filed new charges against the President of Ukraine Viktor Yanukovych, accusing him, among other charges, of calls to overthrow the constitutional order in Ukraine.[215]

On 4 March 2014 the district administration court of Kiev cancelled the decision of the council concerning a no confidence vote to the Council of Ministers of Crimea and the appointment of Aksyonov as a chairman of the Council of Ministers of Crimea as well as declared illegal organization and conduct of a local referendum on improving the status and powers of autonomy.[216]

Crimea

Map denoting the subdivisions of Ukraine and the percentage of people that indicated Russian as their native language in the latest local census. Sevastopol identifies itself as the highest at 90.6% followed immediately by Crimea at 77.0%.

Operations of the Kerch ferry were suspended on 27 February 2014.[217] The Ukrainians in Crimea called on Ukrainian officials to secure peace and security for Crimeans and for European officials to influence the Russian position in regards to separatist attitudes.[218] The new chairman of the Council of Ministers hopes to receive financial help from the Russian Federation with support from Viktor Yanukovych.[219] In the telephone conversation Volodymyr Konstantinov explained to Nestor Shufrych (MP) that Crimea does not want a secession, but only to expand its right.[220] The former chief of the general staff Yuriy Ilyin was reported to be hospitalized with a heart attack in the Ukrainian Navy hospital in Sevastopol.[221]

Members of the Crimean government have declared their acceptance of Yanukovych as the legitimate President of Ukraine, deputy chairman of the Crimean parliament Konstantin Bakharev has said: "Today, Yanukovych is the legitimate president," though he also addressed issues concerning him saying, "But we have questions for him, questions as the leader of the government about his moral responsibility before the society, before the party he once led, and before Crimeans."[222]

About one thousand residents of Crimea, mainly Crimean Tatars, have left Crimea for according to the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine.[223][224][225]

Party of Regions MP Yuriy Miroshnychenko urged the Crimean government to stop the referendum.[226] Another Party of Regions MP, Hanna Herman, commented the same day about Yanukovych's press conference, "He needs to ... prevent the illegal referendum."[227]

Viktor Yanukovych

Late at night on 27 February 2014, the President of Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych, who is wanted along with Zakharchenko under suspicion of mass killing of people,[228] arrived in Rostov-on-Don escorted by jet fighters.[229] On 28 February he conducted a press-conference.[229] In this press conference Yanukovych stated "Crimea must remain part of the Ukrainian state retaining broad autonomy rights".[230] According to him the unrest in Crimea was "an absolutely natural reaction to the bandit coup that has occurred in Kiev"; and he stated he was confident that the people of Crimea "do not want to obey and will not obey nationalists and bandits".[230] He insisted that military action was "unacceptable" and that he would not request Russian military intervention.[231][232] Still on 4 March 2014 Russia's Permanent Representative to the United Nations, Vitaly Churkin showed a photocopy of the letter allegedly signed by Victor Yanukovich on 1 March 2014 where he demanded Russian military intervention in Ukraine.[233]

On 11 March 2014 Yanukovych vowed to return to Ukraine, calling upon the Ukrainian Armed Forces to not follow the "criminal orders" of the acting government in Kiev.[234] Yanukovych attacked the acting government in Ukraine as being a "band of ultranationalists and neo-fascists" that have replaced his government, and criticized their Western backers.[234] Yanukovuch addressed Western leaders, "I want to ask the patrons of these dark forces in the West: Have you gone blind? Have you forgotten what fascism is?".[234]

The Russian Federation

Request ("ultimatum") by Council of Ministers of Crimea to Ukrainian 55th Anti-Aircraft Artillery regiment in Yevpatoria to lay down arms under control of Russian Black Sea Fleet for the period of Crimean referendum

The State Duma Committee on Commonwealth of Independent States Affairs, headed by Leonid Slutsky, visited Simferopol on 25 February 2014 and said: "If the parliament of the Crimean autonomy or its residents express the wish to join the Russian Federation, Russia will be prepared to consider this sort of application. We will be examining the situation and doing so fast."[235] They also stated that in the event of a referendum for Crimea region joining Russian Federation they would consider its results "very fast".[236][237] Later Slutsky announced that he was misunderstood by Crimean press and no decision regarding simplifying the process of acquiring Russian citizenship for people in Crimea has been made yet.[238] And added that if "fellow Russian citizens are in jeopardy you understand that we do not stay away".[239] On 25 February in a meeting with Crimean politicians he stated that Viktor Yanukovich was still the legitimate president of Ukraine.[240] That same day in the Russian Duma, they announced they were determining measures so that Russians in Ukraine who 'did not want to break from the Russian World' could acquire Russian citizenship.[241]

On 26 February 2014 Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the Russian Armed Forces to be "put on alert in the Western Military District as well as units stationed with the 2nd Army Central Military District Command involved in aerospace defense, airborne troops and long-range military transport." Despite media speculation it was for in reaction to the events in Ukraine Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said it was in separate consideration from the unrest in Ukraine.[242] On 27 February 2014, the Russian government dismissed accusations about violation by the Russian side of the basic agreements in regards of the Black Sea Fleet: "All movements of armored vehicles are undertaken in full compliance with the basic agreements and did not require any approvals".[243][244][245]

On 27 February 2014, the Russian governing agencies presented the new law project on granting citizenship.[246]

The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs called on the West and particularly NATO to "abandon the provocative statements and respect the neutral status of Ukraine".[247] In its statement the ministry claims that agreement on settlement of the crisis which was signed on 21 February and was witnessed by foreign ministries from Germany, Poland and France has to this date, not been implemented[247] (Vladimir Lukin from Russia had not signed it[248]).

According to RIA News, the political faction A Just Russia initiated in the State Duma amendments to the law on accession to the Russian Federation.[249]

According to ITAR-TASS on 28 February the Russian Ministry of Transport discontinued its further talks with Ukraine in regards to the Kerch Strait Bridge project.[250] However, on 3 March Dmitry Medvedev, the Prime Minister of Russia, signed a decree creating a subsidiary of Russian Highways (Avtodor) to build a bridge at an unspecified location along the Kerch strait.[251][252]

On Russian social networks there is a movement to gather volunteers who served in the Russian army to go to Ukraine.[253]

On 28 February President Putin stated it was of "extreme importance of not allowing a further escalation of violence and the necessity of a rapid normalisation of the situation in Ukraine" in telephone calls with key EU leaders.[232] Already on 19 February the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs referred to the Euromaidan revolution as the "Brown revolution".[254][255]

The Federation Council approved that Russia may introduce a limited contingent of Russian troops in Crimea[clarification needed] for the security of the Black Sea Fleet and the Russians.[256]

In Moscow, on 2 March an estimated 27,000 rallied in support of the Russian government's decision to intervene in Ukraine.[257] Up to 15,000 participated in a similar rally in St. Petersburg, while around 12,000 rallied in Krasnodar.[257][258] The rallies received considerable attention on Russian state TV and were officially sanctioned by the government.[257]

Russian President Vladimir Putin (seated, middle) speaks to the press on 4 March, denouncing the events in Kiev as an "unconstitutional coup", and insisting that Moscow has a right to protect Russians in Ukraine.[259]

Meanwhile, on 1 March five people who were picketing next to the Federation Council building against the invasion of Ukraine were arrested.[260] The next day about 200 people protested at the building of the Russian Ministry of Defense in Moscow against Russian military involvement.[261] About 500 people also gathered to protest on the Manezhnaya Square in Moscow and the same number of people on the Saint Isaac's Square in Saint Petersburg.[262] On 2 March about eleven protesters demonstrated in Yekaterinburg against Russian involvement, with some wrapped in the Ukrainian flag.[263] Protests were also held in Chelyabinsk on the same day.[264] The opposition to the military intervention was also expressed by rock musician Andrey Makarevich, who wrote in particular: "You want war with Ukraine? It will not be the way it was with Abkhazia: the folks on the Maidan have been hardened and know what they are fighting for – for their country, their independence. [...] We have to live with them. Still neighborly. And preferably in friendship. But it's up to them how they want to live".[265] The Professor of the Department of Philosophy at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations Andrey Zubov was fired for his article in Vedomosti, criticizing Russian military intervention.[266]

State-run pollster VTSIOM released an opinion poll conducted on 1–2 March showing that President Vladimir Putin's approval rating increased among the Russian public since the Crimean crisis began, up to 67.8%, which is Putin's highest approval rating since May 2012.[267] Additionally, 71% of respondents agreed with the statement that Russia should "more actively defend the interests of Russians in Crimea", while only 17% thought it would be "better not to come into conflict with the Ukrainian authorities".[267]

On 4 March 2014 at press conference in Novo-Ogaryovo President Putin expressed his view on the situation that if a revolution took place in Ukraine, it is a new country with which Russia did not conclude any treaties.[268] He brought up an analogy with events of 1917 in Russia, when as a result of the revolution the Russian Empire fell apart and a new state was created.[268] However, he stated Ukraine would still have to honor its debts.

Russian politicians have speculated that there are already 143,000 Ukrainian refugees in Russia.[269] The Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs refuted those claims of refugees increase in Russia.[270] At a briefing on 4 March 2014, the director of department of information policy of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine Yevhen Perebiynis claimed that Russia was misinforming its own citizens as well as the entire international community to justify its own actions in the Crimea.[271]

On 5 March 2014 an anchor of the Russian-owned international news channel RT America, Abby Martin, in an interview with Piers Morgan, said she "did not agree" with how her employer RT was covering the Ukrainian crisis, but claims RT still supports her despite her differences of opinion.[272] Also on 5 March 2014, another RT America anchor, Liz Wahl, of the network's Washington, DC bureau, resigned on air, explaining that she could not be "part of a network that whitewashes the actions of Putin" and citing her Hungarian ancestry and the memory of the Soviet repression of the Hungarian Uprising as a factor in her decision.[273]

Prominent dissident Mikhail Khodorkovsky said that Crimea should stay within Ukraine with broader autonomy.[274]

International reactions

International reaction to the 2014 Crimean crisis according to official governmental statements.[k]
  Statements only voicing concern or hope for peaceful resolution to the conflict[quantify]
  Support for Ukrainian territorial integrity[quantify]
  Condemnation of Russian actions[quantify]
  Condemnation of Russian actions as a military intervention or invasion[quantify]
  Support for Russian actions and/or condemnation of the Ukrainian interim government[quantify]
  "Recognition of Russian interests"[quantify]

  Ukraine
  Russia

  No official statements / No data available

International reaction have called for restraint and urged a quick and peaceful resolution to the crisis.[275] The United States government has imposed sanctions against persons they deem to have violated or assisted in the violation of Ukraine's sovereignty.[276] The European Union has suspended talks with Russia on economic and visa related matters; and is considering more stringent sanctions against Russia in the near future, including asset freezes.[277][278] The EU Commission decided on 11 March to enter into a full free-trade agreement with Ukraine this year.[279] * On March 12 the European Parliament rejected the upcoming referendum on independence in Crimea, which they saw as manipulated and contrary to international and Ukrainian law.[280] The United Nations Security Council has held three emergency sessions since 28 February.[281] The G7 bloc of developed nations (the G8 minus Russia) made a joint statement condemning Russia and announced that they will suspend preparations for the upcoming G8 summit in Sochi in June.[282][283] The Visegrád Group has issued a joint statement urging Russia to respect Ukraine's territorial integrity and for Ukraine to take into account its minority groups to not further break fragile relations. It has urged for Russia to respect Ukrainian and international law and in line with the provisions of the 1994 Budapest Memorandum.[284]

China said "We respect the independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine". A spokesman restated China's belief of non-interference in the internal affairs of other nations and urged dialogue.[285][286] However, India said that Russia has "legitimate interests" in Crimea and called for "sustained diplomatic efforts" and "constructive dialogue" to resolve the crisis.[287] Both Syria and Venezuela openly support Russian military action. Syrian President Bashar al Assad said that he supports Putin's efforts to "restore security and stability in the friendly country of Ukraine", while Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro condemned Ukraine's "ultra-nationalist" coup.[288][289]

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk called for change in EU energy policy as Germany's dependence on Russian gas poses risks for Europe.[290] Russia is dependent on energy export but no country had by 11 March cancelled trade or energy trade with Russia.[citation needed]

On 13 March, German Chancellor Angela Merkel warned Moscow it risks massive damage to Russia, economically and politically, if it refuses to change course on Ukraine.[291]

Legal aspects

See 2014 Russian military intervention in Ukraine: Legal aspects for more detail

Both Russia and Ukraine are signatories to the Charter of the United Nations. The ratification of said charter has several ramifications in terms of international law, particularly those that cover the subjects of sovereignty, self-determination, acts of aggression, and humanitarian emergencies. Vladimir Putin on one hand, claims that the Russian intervention on Ukraine is for humanitarian purposes.[292] Ukraine and other nations, on the other hand, argue that such intervention is a violation of Ukraine's sovereignty.[293]

Commentary

Several scholars, including Alexander J. Motyl, Paul A. Goble, Timothy D. Snyder, and Andreas Umland, have discussed the possibility of Russian military intervention in Crimea specifically, due to its unique geopolitical nature and demographics.[294][295]

Nina L. Khrushcheva, the great-granddaughter of former Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev and a Russian Affairs professor at the The New School, says that the aim of Crimea is not necessarily independence from Ukraine, but rather continued dependence on Russia. However, this has instead led Putin to justify continued backing for Yanukovych as well as his own desires to re-take the peninsula. Nevertheless, she acknowledges that Putin's long term goal may not be annexation of Crimea, since this could cause ethnic Crimean Tatars, who had been forcibly displaced by Stalin to Central Asia, to demand a return to Crimea and possibly cause the Islamic insurgency to spread out of the Northern Caucasus. Furthermore, she also states that if Russia sets a precedent of recovering "lost territory", this could inspire countries such as China or Georgia to demand back their own "stolen lands".[296]

According to former Ohio congressman and Democratic presidential candidate Dennis Kucinich, the crisis is a result of America "[..] trying to force the people of Ukraine into a deal with NATO against their interest or into a deal with the European Union, which is against their economic interest." He said that the United States has been involved "covertly and behind the scenes with the CIA and two government foreign aid groups, the National Endowment for Democracy and the United States Agency for International Development, to stir up trouble in Ukraine", which resulted in neo-Nazis taking control.[297]

Volodymyr Panchenko, of the Kiev-based think-tank International Center for Policy Studies, says that the aim of Russia is for Crimea to be "more or less controlled by Russian troops," but that if or when a referendum is held "more than 80 percent" of votes would be for secession from Ukraine. The way events are unfolding in Crimea "is not a good precedent for the other provinces."[298]

Russian opposition leader, chess Grandmaster Garry Kasparov, former US National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski, former US secretary of state Hillary Clinton, Ukrainian MP Lesya Orobets (Batkivshchyna), former foreign minister of the Czech Republic, Karel Schwarzenberg, as well as the Foreign Affairs Minister of Canada John Baird compared Russia's actions to Nazi Germany's policy before the start of World War II, after the 1936 Olympic Games in Berlin.[299][300][301][302][303]

Ukraine's Chief Rabbi, Yaakov Bleich, described Putin's accusations of anti-semitism from Ukrainians towards Jews as a pretense for invasion as "what the Nazis did during the time of the Anschluss in Austria."[304]

Commentaries and editorials published by China's state-run Xinhua News Agency[305] and Global Times[306] supported Russia's position on the situation.

George Galloway, MP of the UK's far-left marginal Respect Party, supported the Russian decision to enter Crimea, and criticized the new government in Kiev as fascist on the TV channel Russia Today.[307]

Related places

See also

2

Notes

  1. ^ Emil (2010) "[...] between 1443 and 1783, a strong and prosperous state, the crimean [sic] Khanate, ruled most of the people making up the Crimean Tatars. After Russia conquered the Khanate, Catherine the Great gave away the larger and better parts of the region to her close advisors and friends, who soon seized all Tatar lands. This led to the first mass emigration of Crimean Tatars, beginning an exodus, mostly to Turkey, that continues today.[1]
  2. ^ Flintoff (2013) "In 1944, on the orders of Soviet dictator Joseph Stalin, the entire population of Tatars on the Crimean Peninsula was rounded up and sent to the deserts of Soviet Central Asia. Nearly 70 years after that wartime atrocity, the Tatar population is still working to reassert itself in its homeland."[2]
  3. ^ Ghosh (2014) "The Tatars [...] once dominated the Crimean peninsula, but they are now a minority there, accounting for only about 12 percent of the population."[3]
  4. ^ Lally; Englund (2014) "The current government is illegitimate, Russia contends, because Yanukovych was not properly removed from power in a formal impeachment."[10]
  5. ^ Gumuchian; Morgan; Chance (2014) "Moscow has denounced the events that led to Yanukovych's ouster as an illegitimate coup and has refused to recognize the new Ukrainian authorities, putting the two countries on a collision course over control of Crimea, which has longstanding ties to Russia and has thousands of Russian troops stationed there."[12]
  6. ^ Dawber (2014) "Vladimir Putin has given a confident performance in front of the media, insisting that the events of the last 10 days in Ukraine amounted to nothing less than a coup d’état."[13]
  7. ^ The Washington Post (2014) "[Putin says:] Are the current authorities legitimate? The Parliament is partially, but all the others are not. The current Acting President is definitely not legitimate. There is only one legitimate President, from a legal standpoint. Clearly, he has no power. However, as I have already said, and will repeat: Yanukovych is the only undoubtedly legitimate President."[14]
  8. ^ It also noted that "certain politicians, local government officials, leaders of civil society organizations, and radically inclined individuals have attempted to create grounds for escalating the civil conflict, and have spread autonomous and separatist attitudes among the people, which could lead to the demise of our as a united nation and loss of its national sovereignty." In addition, the statement said that certain lawmakers of every level have begun separatist negotiations with representatives of foreign nations. "Open consultations are being held on the possible division of the country into separate parts in violation of the Ukrainian constitution," read the statement. "This could lead to an escalation of conflict between different sectors of society, inciting ethnic or religious hatred and military conflict."[71]
  9. ^ Dilanian (2014) "CIA director John Brennan told a senior lawmaker Monday that a 1997 treaty between Russia and Ukraine allows up to 25,000 Russia troops in the vital Crimea region, so Russia may not consider its recent troop movements to be an invasion, U.S. officials said."[80]
  10. ^ Sevastopol is the only city in Ukraine whose residents do not get to elect their mayor directly, due to the city's special status.[88]
  11. ^ If an official position can be sorted in more than one category, the "strongest" position was marked (from the "call for a peaceful resolution" to "interpretation as a military intervention" consecutively). For the sources see the image description.

References

Footnotes

  1. ^ "POPULATION TRANSFER: The Crimean Tatars Return Home". Cultural Society. 5 March 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2014.
  2. ^ Flintoff, Corey (23 November 2013). "Once Victims Of Stalin, Ukraine's Tatars Reassert Themselves". NPR. Retrieved 13 March 2014.
  3. ^ Ghosh, Palash (26 February 2014). "Ukraine Maidan: Tatars In Crimea Caught In a Complex Conflict With Ethnic Russians And Ukrainians". International Business Times. Retrieved 13 March 2014.
  4. ^ http://news.yahoo.com/west-readies-sanctions-russia-crimea-vote-124719200--politics.html West readies sanctions on Russia after Crimea vote
  5. ^ "Update: The Ukrainian Parliament has voted unanimously (328-0) to impeach President Yanukovych" Forbes What Does The Future Hold For Ukraine
  6. ^ Parliament votes 328-0 to impeach Yanukovych on Feb. 22; sets May 25 for new election; Tymoshenko free (VIDEO) Feb. 23, 2014, 2:39 a.m. https://www.kyivpost.com/content/kyiv/euromaidan-rallies-in-ukraine-feb-21-live-updates-337287.html
  7. ^ http://www.huffingtonpost.com/john-feffer/who-are-these-people-anyw_b_4964526.html Who Are These 'People,' Anyway?
  8. ^ Sindelar, Daisy (23 February 2014). "Was Yanukovych's Ouster Constitutional?". Radio Free Europe, Radio Liberty (Rferl.org). Retrieved 25 February 2014.
  9. ^ http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=47362&Cr=Ukraine&Cr1=#.UyU87PmSySo
  10. ^ Lally, Kathy; Englund, Will (4 March 2014). "Putin defends Ukraine stance, cites lawlessness". The Washington Post. Retrieved 13 March 2014.
  11. ^ http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=47362&Cr=Ukraine&Cr1=#.UyU87PmSySo
  12. ^ Gumuchian, Marie-Louise; Morgan, Kellie; Chance, Matthew (10 March 2014). "Demonstrators rally as Crimea crisis mounts". CNN. Retrieved 10 March 2014.
  13. ^ Dawber, Alistair (5 March 2014). "Ukraine crisis: How do you solve a problem like Crimea?". The Independent. Retrieved 10 March 2014.
  14. ^ "Transcript: Putin defends Russian intervention in Ukraine". The Washington Post. 8 March 2014. Retrieved 10 March 2014.
  15. ^ "Warning shots end OSCE Crimea entry bid - Europe". Al Jazeera English. Retrieved 11 March 2014.
  16. ^ a b "Ukraine crisis: Russia vows troops will stay". BBC. 3 March 2014. Retrieved 3 March 2014.
  17. ^ Jones, Sam (21 February 2014). "US scorns Russia's version of Crimean intervention". Financial Times.
  18. ^ "OSCE team say Crimea roadblock gunmen threatened to shoot at them". Reuters. Retrieved 14 March 2014.
  19. ^ "Gunmen Seize Government Buildings in Crimea". The New York Times. 27 February 2014. Retrieved 1 March 2014. Masked men with guns seized government buildings in the capital of Ukraine's Crimea region on Thursday, barricading themselves inside and raising the Russian flag after mysterious overnight raids that appeared to be the work of militant Russian nationalists who want this volatile Black Sea region ruled from Moscow.
  20. ^ "Armed men seize two airports in Ukraine's Crimea, Yanukovich reappears". Reuters. 1 March 2014.
  21. ^ "Putin ready to invade Ukraine; Kiev warns of war". Reuters. 1 March 2014{{inconsistent citations}}{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: postscript (link)
  22. ^ "Telecom services sabotaged in Ukraine's Crimea region". United Press International. Retrieved 28 February 2014.
  23. ^ a b c http://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/193292.html Number of Crimean deputies present at referendum resolution vote unclear]. Interfax-Ukraine, 27 February 2014.
  24. ^ a b c d e f RPT-INSIGHT: How the separatists delivered Crimea to Moscow. Reuters, 13 March 2014.
  25. ^ http://www.mil.gov.ua/index.php?lang=ua&part=news&sub=read&id=33046
  26. ^ Urquhart, Conal; Williamson, Lewis (15 March 2014). "Russia vetoes Crimea motion as Kiev claims it repelled Russian troops in south Ukraine". The Guardian. Retrieved 15 March 2014.
  27. ^ "Ukraine crisis: Russia isolated in UN Crimea vote". BBC. 15 March 2014. Retrieved 15 March 2014.
  28. ^ http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304185104579439232215134884 Fear and Loathing Builds in Crimea Ahead of Vote
  29. ^ Keating, Joshua (6 March 2014). "Turkey's Black Sea Blues". Slate. Retrieved 6 March 2014.
  30. ^ Judah, Ben (2 March 2014). "Why Russia No Longer Fears the West". Politico. Retrieved 5 March 2014.
  31. ^ a b "What is so dangerous about Crimea?". BBC. 27 February 2014{{inconsistent citations}} {{cite journal}}: Cite journal requires |journal= (help)CS1 maint: postscript (link)
  32. ^ Ukraine crisis: Does Russia have a case?
  33. ^ Calamur, Krishnadev (27 February 2014). "Crimea: A Gift To Ukraine Becomes A Political Flash Point". NPR. Retrieved 2 March 2014.
  34. ^ Keating, Joshua (25 February 2014). "Kruschev's Gift". Slate. Retrieved 2 March 2014.
  35. ^ http://www.welt.de/geschichte/article125714881/War-der-Dnjepr-Kanal-der-Grund.html
  36. ^ a b Sasse, Gwendolyn (3 March 2014). "Crimean autonomy: A viable alternative to war?". The Washington Post. Retrieved 6 March 2014.
  37. ^ Schmemann, Serge (6 May 1992). "Crimea Parliament Votes to Back Independence From Ukraine". The New York Times. Retrieved 3 March 2014.
  38. ^ Schmemann, Serge (22 May 1992). "Russia Votes to Void Cession of Crimea to Ukraine". The New York Times. Retrieved 3 March 2014.
  39. ^ "Separatist Winning Crimea Presidency". The New York Times. 31 January 1994. Retrieved 2 March 2014.
  40. ^ Bohlen, Celestine (23 March 1994). "Russia vs. Ukraine: A Case of the Crimean Jitters". The New York Times. Retrieved 2 March 2014.
  41. ^ a b Zaborsky, Victor (September 1995). "Crimea and the Black Sea Fleet in Russian-Ukrainian Relations".
  42. ^ "What is so dangerous about Crimea?". BBC. 27 February 2014.
  43. ^ "Ukraine Moves To Oust Leader of Separatists". The New York Times. 19 March 1995. Retrieved 2 March 2014.
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  264. ^ ""Сколько детей ты готов похоронить, чтобы Крым стал частью России?" Первые антивоенные пикеты прошли на Урале ("Skol'ko detey ty gotov pokhoronit', chtoby Krym stal chast'yu Rossii?" Pervyye antivoyennyye pikety proshli na Urale)" (in Russian). RU: Ura. Retrieved 2 March 2014. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |trans_title= ignored (|trans-title= suggested) (help)
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  301. ^ Reitschuster, Boris (7 February 2014). "Sochi is to Putin what Berlin in 1936 was to Hitler, says Garry Kasparov". The Guardian.
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  308. ^ Дороги в Крым перекрыли блокпостами, которые охраняет Беркут и вооруженные люди в камуфляже
  309. ^ Российские войска из Крыма зашли в Херсонскую область
  310. ^ В Херсонской области высадился российский десант
  311. ^ Украинские военные отбили наступление русских вояк

Other references

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Further reading

External links