2020 Republican Party presidential primaries: Difference between revisions

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* [[Jack Fellure]], retired engineer; [[Prohibition Party|Prohibition]] nominee for President in [[2012 United States presidential election|2012]]<ref name=":0">{{cite web|url=https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/838/201611070300117838/201611070300117838.pdf |title=Declaration letter |date=November 9, 2016 |website=docquery.fec.gov |format=PDF |access-date=August 17, 2019}}</ref>
* [[Jack Fellure]], retired engineer; [[Prohibition Party|Prohibition]] nominee for President in [[2012 United States presidential election|2012]]<ref name=":0">{{cite web|url=https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/838/201611070300117838/201611070300117838.pdf |title=Declaration letter |date=November 9, 2016 |website=docquery.fec.gov |format=PDF |access-date=August 17, 2019}}</ref>
* [[Tom Hoefling]], activist; [[American Independent Party|American Independent]] nominee for President in [[2012 United States presidential election|2012]]; [[American Party (1969)|American]] nominee for President in [[2016 United States presidential election|2016]]<ref>{{cite web|title=Tom Hoefling for President|url=https://www.tomhoefling2020.com|accessdate=July 23, 2019}}</ref>
* [[Tom Hoefling]], activist; [[American Independent Party|American Independent]] nominee for President in [[2012 United States presidential election|2012]]; [[American Party (1969)|American]] nominee for President in [[2016 United States presidential election|2016]]<ref>{{cite web|title=Tom Hoefling for President|url=https://www.tomhoefling2020.com|accessdate=July 23, 2019}}</ref>
* [[Augustus Sol Invictus]], attorne and [[right-wing]] activist<ref>
* [[Augustus Sol Invictus]], attorney and [[right-wing]] activist<ref>
{{cite web|title=INVICTUS MMXX|url=https://invictusforpresident.com/|accessdate=August 15, 2019}}</ref>
{{cite web|title=INVICTUS MMXX|url=https://invictusforpresident.com/|accessdate=August 15, 2019}}</ref>



Revision as of 05:26, 27 November 2019

Template:2020 Republican Party presidential primaries

The 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries and caucuses will be a series of elections taking place in many U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories. These events will elect most of the 2,550[a] delegates to send to the Republican National Convention. Delegates to the national convention may otherwise be elected by the respective state party organizations. The delegates to the national convention will vote, by ballot, to select the Republican Party's nominee for President of the United States in the 2020 election, where the majority will be bound by the results of their respective state contests on the first ballot. The delegates also approve the party platform and vice-presidential nominee.

Incumbent president Donald Trump informally launched his bid for re-election on February 18, 2017. He was followed by former governor of Massachusetts Bill Weld, who announced his campaign on April 15, 2019, former Illinois congressman Joe Walsh, who declared his candidacy on August 25, 2019. Former governor of South Carolina and U.S. representative Mark Sanford launched the third primary challenge on September 8, 2019.

In February 2019, the Republican National Committee voted to provide undivided support to Trump.[1][2] Various states have decided to cancel their primaries and caucuses.[3]

Candidates

Numerous pundits, journalists and politicians have speculated that President Donald Trump might face a significant Republican primary challenger in 2020 because of his historic unpopularity in polls, his association with allegations of Russian interference in the 2016 United States elections, impeachment proceedings, and his support of unpopular policies.[4][5][6]

After re-enrolling as a Republican in January 2019,[7] former Republican governor of Massachusetts and 2016 Libertarian vice presidential nominee Bill Weld announced the formation of a 2020 presidential exploratory committee on February 15, 2019.[8] Weld announced his 2020 presidential candidacy on April 15, 2019.[9] Weld is considered a long-shot challenger because of Trump's popularity with Republicans; furthermore, Weld's views on abortion rights, gay marriage, marijuana legalization, and other issues conflict with conservative positions.[10]

Former U.S. representative Joe Walsh was a strong Trump supporter in 2016, but gradually became critical of the president. On August 25, 2019, Walsh officially declared his candidacy against Trump, calling Trump an "unfit con man".[11]

In 2017, there were rumors of a potential bipartisan ticket consisting of Republican Ohio governor and 2016 presidential candidate John Kasich and Democratic Colorado governor John Hickenlooper.[12] Kasich and Hickenlooper denied those rumors.[13][14] In November 2018, however, Kasich asserted that he was "very seriously" considering a White House bid in 2020.[15] In August 2019, he indicated that he did not see a path to victory over Trump in a Republican primary at that time, but that his opinion might change in the future.[16]

Former South Carolina governor and former U.S. representative Mark Sanford said in August 2019 that he intended to make a decision by September 2, 2019 about a potential 2020 presidential bid,[17][18] but did not officially declare his candidacy until September 8 due to Hurricane Dorian.[19]

Some prominent Trump critics within the GOP, including 2016 presidential candidate Carly Fiorina,[20] former U.S. senator Jeff Flake,[21] Maryland governor Larry Hogan,[22] and former Massachusetts governor and current U.S. senator Mitt Romney,[23] have stated that they will not run for president in 2020.

Declared major candidates

The following three major candidates have either (a) held public office, (b) been included in a minimum of five independent national polls, or (c) received substantial media coverage.[24][25][26]


Name Born Experience Home state Campaign
Announcement date

Donald Trump
June 14, 1946
(age 77)
Queens, New York
President of the United States (2017–present)
Businessman, television personality, real estate developer

Florida[27]

Campaign
Campaign (informal): February 17, 2017
Campaign (official): June 18, 2019

FEC filing[28]

Joe Walsh
December 27, 1961
(age 62)
North Barrington, Illinois
U.S. representative from IL-08 (2011–2013)
Conservative talk radio host

Illinois

Campaign
Campaign: August 25, 2019
FEC filing[29]

Bill Weld
July 31, 1945
(age 78)
Smithtown, New York
Governor of Massachusetts (1991–1997)
Libertarian nominee for Vice President in 2016
Republican nominee for U.S. Senate from Massachusetts in 1996

Massachusetts

Campaign
Exploratory committee: February 15, 2019
Campaign: April 15, 2019

FEC filing[30]


Besides the three major candidates, more than 100 others who have not met the criteria above to be deemed major have also filed with the Federal Election Commission to run for president in the 2020 Republican Party primaries.[31] Other notable candidates who remain active in the campaign include:

On the ballot in one or more states

Not on the ballot anywhere

Withdrew before the primaries

The candidate in this section were major candidates who withdrew or suspended their campaigns before the 2020 Republican primary elections began.

Candidate Born Experience State Campaign
announced
Campaign
suspended
Article Ref.

Mark Sanford
May 28, 1960
(age 64)
Fort Lauderdale, Florida
U.S. representative from SC-01 (1995–2001, 2013–2019)
Governor of South Carolina (2003–2011)

South Carolina
September 8, 2019 November 12, 2019
Campaign
FEC filing[37]
[19][38]


Declined to be candidates

The individuals in this section have been the subject of 2020 presidential speculation, but have publicly stated that they will not seek the White House in 2020.

Debates

The Republican National Committee (RNC) has made no plans to host any official primary debates. On May 3, 2018, the party voted to eliminate their debate committee, which, according to CNN, served as "a warning to would-be Republican rivals of President Donald Trump about his strong support among party loyalists."[102] Trump has declined any interest in participating in any primary debates, saying that he was "not looking to give [opponents] any credibility."[103] Debates among the challengers have been scheduled without the RNC's involvement.

Business Insider hosted a debate on September 24 featuring two of Trump's primary challengers. It took place at the news outlet's headquarters in New York City, and was hosted by Business Insider's CEO Henry Blodgett, politics editor Anthony Fisher, and columnist Linette Lopez.[104] Walsh and Weld agreed to attend, but Sanford had a scheduling conflict and eventually declined.[105][106] An invitation was also sent to the president, but he also declined.[106]

Politicon held a debate between Sanford, Walsh, and Weld on October 26 at its 2019 convention in Nashville, Tennessee[107] and Forbes also held a debate between the three on October 28 at its Under 30 Summit in Detroit, Michigan.[108]

Cancellation of state caucuses or primaries

The Washington Examiner reported on December 19, 2018, that the South Carolina Republican Party had not ruled out forgoing a primary contest to protect Trump from any primary challengers. Party chairman Drew McKissick stated, “Considering the fact that the entire party supports the president, we’ll end up doing what’s in the president’s best interest.”[109] On January 24, another Washington Examiner report indicated that the Kansas Republican Party was "likely" to scrap its presidential caucus to "save resources".[110]

In August 2019, the Associated Press reported that the Nevada Republican Party was also contemplating canceling their caucuses, with the state party spokesman, Keith Schipper, stating that it "isn't about any kind of conspiracy theory about protecting the president ... He's going to be the nominee ... This is about protecting resources to make sure that the president wins in Nevada and that Republicans up and down the ballot win in 2020."[111]

On September 6, both of Trump's main challengers at the time, Bill Weld and Joe Walsh, criticized these cancellations as undemocratic.[112] The Trump campaign and GOP officials cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004, respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in 1996 and 2012, respectively.[113][114] Weld and Walsh were joined by Mark Sanford in a joint op-ed in the Washington Post on September 13, 2019 which criticized the party for cancelling those primaries.[115]

Kansas, Nevada and South Carolina's state committees officially voted on September 7, 2019, to cancel their caucus and primary.[3] The Arizona state Republican Party indicated two days later that it will not hold a primary.[116] These four were joined by the Alaska state Republican party on September 21, when its central committee announced they would not hold a presidential primary.[117]

Virginia Republicans decided to allocate delegates at the state convention.[118]

The Nevada State committee chairman stated that the committee would meet early in 2020 and bind their delegates to President Trump.[119]


Timeline

Active campaign
Exploratory committee
Withdrawn candidate
Midterm elections
Iowa caucuses
Super Tuesday
Republican convention

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Pre-2019

Incumbent President Donald Trump speaking at his first campaign rally in Melbourne, Florida, on February 18, 2017

2019

Bill Weld announcing the formation of his exploratory committee on February 15, 2019
  • January 17: Former Massachusetts governor Bill Weld changes his voter registration from Libertarian back to Republican, furthering speculation he will announce a primary challenge against Trump.[124]
  • January 23: The Republican National Committee votes unanimously to express "undivided support" of Trump's "effective presidency".[1]
  • February 11: President Trump holds his first mass rally since assuming the presidency in El Paso, Texas, with Brad Parscale, John Cornyn, Lance Berkman, Ted Cruz and Donald Trump Jr.[125]
  • February 15: Weld announces the formation of an exploratory committee, becoming the president's first official notable challenger.[126]
  • April 15: Weld officially announces his candidacy.[127]
  • June 1: Speculative challenger Maryland governor Larry Hogan announces that he will not run against Trump in the primary.[128]
  • June 18: Trump formally launches his 2020 re-election campaign at a rally in Orlando, Florida, with Donald Trump Jr., Mike Pence, Melania Trump, Karen Pence, Lara Trump, and Sarah Sanders.[129]
  • July 30: Intending to force President Trump to reveal his taxes, Democratic California governor Gavin Newsom signs a bill into state law requiring that presidential candidates release the last five years of their tax returns in order to qualify for the California primary ballot. Republican presidential candidate Rocky De La Fuente files suit directly challenging the constitutionality of the law.[130][131]
  • August 5–6: Additional lawsuits are filed by the Trump campaign, the Republican National Committee, the California Republican Party, and the conservative activist group Judicial Watch to challenge the California law requiring candidates to release their tax returns.[132][133]
  • August 25: Former Illinois congressman Joe Walsh officially announces his candidacy, becoming the president's second official notable challenger.[134]
  • September 7: Three state committees vote to cancel their respective primaries/caucuses: Kansas, Nevada, and South Carolina.[3]
  • September 8:
    • Former South Carolina governor and congressman Mark Sanford officially announces his candidacy, becoming the president's third notable challenger.[19]
    • As the California law requiring candidates to disclose their tax returns works its way through the courts, the California Republican Party modifies its delegate selection rules as a stop-gap measure, changing its primary from a binding to a non-binding one with a party state convention selecting its national convention delegates directly.[135]
  • September 9: The Arizona Republican Party officially notifies Arizona secretary of state Katie Hobbs that they will scrap the Arizona Republican primary.[116]
  • September 21: The Alaska Republican Party cancels its parties' primary.[136]
  • September 23: Donald Trump qualifies for the Vermont primary.[137]
  • October 1: Deadline for state parties to file delegate selection plans with the Republican National Committee.[138]
  • October 26: Politicon debate between the main challengers.[107]
  • October 28: Forbes debate between the main challengers.[108]
  • October 31: Minnesota committee submits only Trump's name for the primary ballot.[139][140]
  • November 8: Filing deadline to appear on the Alabama Republican primary ballot. Mark Sanford and Joe Walsh failed to appear, while Donald Trump and Bill Weld both qualified.[141]
  • November 12:
    • Mark Sanford suspends his campaign.[38]
    • Filing deadline to appear on the Arkansas Republican primary ballot. Mark Sanford (who dropped out the day of the deadline) and Joe Walsh failed to appear, while Rocky De La Fuente, Donald Trump, and Bill Weld qualified.[142]
  • November 15: Filing deadline to appear on the New Hampshire Republican primary ballot. Donald Trump, Bill Weld, and Joe Walsh all qualified.[143]

Primary and caucus calendar

The following anticipated primary and caucus dates may change depending on legislation passed before the scheduled primary dates.[144]

January
  • January 29: First of a series of "district conventions" in North Dakota, which elect delegates to the state convention; the state convention will select delegates for the national convention.[145]
February
March
  • March 3: Super Tuesday (Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, and Vermont primaries)[144]
  • March 7: Louisiana primary[144]
  • March 8: Puerto Rico primary[144]
  • March 10: Hawaii caucuses; Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, and Washington primaries[144]
  • March 17: Florida, Illinois, and Ohio primaries[144]
  • March 27-29: North Dakota state convention.[147]
April
  • April 7: Wisconsin primary[144]
  • April 28: Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, New York, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island primaries[144]
May
  • May 5: Indiana primary[144]
  • May 12: Nebraska and West Virginia primaries[144]
  • May 19: Kentucky and Oregon primaries[144]
June
  • June 2: Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota primaries[144]
Other primaries and caucuses
  • Not yet determined (dates of 2016 primaries/caucuses listed in parentheses): North Dakota (by March 1), Wyoming (March 1), Virgin Islands (March 10), and Northern Mariana Islands (March 15) caucuses (February 20), and Georgia (March 1) primaries; District of Columbia, Guam (March 12), American Samoa (March 22) conventions.[144]

Ballot access

The candidates listed in this table are on the ballot in at least five states. "Yes" means the candidate is on the ballot for the upcoming primary contest, and "No" means a candidate is not on the ballot. States that have not yet fully announced who is on the ballot are left with a "—".

State Date Trump Weld Walsh Other Ref.
Iowa February 3
New Hampshire February 11 Yes Yes Yes Yes[b] [143]
Alabama March 3 Yes Yes No Yes[c] [152]
Arkansas March 3 Yes Yes No Yes[c] [153]
California March 3
Colorado March 3 Yes Yes[d] [154]
Maine March 3
Massachusetts March 3
Minnesota March 3 Yes No No No [155]
North Carolina March 3
Oklahoma March 3
Tennessee March 3
Texas March 3 Yes[c] [156]
Utah March 3 Yes Yes[c] [157]
Vermont March 3 Yes Yes[c] [137]
Louisiana March 7
Puerto Rico March 8
Hawaii March 10
Idaho March 10
Michigan March 10 Yes Yes Yes Yes[e] [158]
Mississippi March 10
Missouri March 10
Washington March 10
Florida March 17
Illinois March 17
Ohio March 17
Wisconsin April 7
Connecticut April 28
Delaware April 28 Yes[c] [159]
Maryland April 28
New York April 28
Pennsylvania April 28
Rhode Island April 28
Indiana May 5
Nebraska May 12
West Virginia May 12
Kentucky May 19
Oregon May 19
Montana June 2
New Jersey June 2
New Mexico June 2
South Dakota June 2

National convention

Bids for the Republican National Convention were solicited in the fall of 2017, with finalists being announced early the following spring. On July 18, 2018, Charlotte, North Carolina's Spectrum Center was chosen unanimously as the site of the convention.[122]

Endorsements

Primary election polling

Rallies

Campaign finance

This is an overview of the money used by each campaign as it is reported to the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and released on October 15, 2019. Totals raised include loans from the candidate and transfers from other campaign committees. The last column, Cash On Hand (COH), has been calculated by subtracting the "spent" amount from the "raised" amount, thereby showing the remaining cash each campaign had available for its future spending as of September 30, 2019. In total all the candidates have raised $177,597,963.

  Withdrawn candidate
Candidate Campaign committee (as of September 30, 2019)
Total raised Ind. contrib. <$200
donations
(as % of
ind.contrib)
Debt Spent COH
Trump, Donald[160] $165,327,324 $58,045,522 57.86% $216,915 $89,722,756 $83,216,720
Walsh, Joe[161] $234,992 $129,188 49.83% $100,000 $119,562 $115,430
Weld, Bill[162] $1,329,281 $1,140,579 35.33% $180,800 $1,121,237 $208,044
Sanford, Mark[163] $66,968 $58,204 33.60% $0 $2,354 $64,614

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Cite error: The named reference pledged delegate number was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  2. ^ Rocky de la Fuente, Robert Ardini, and eight others
  3. ^ a b c d e f Rocky de la Fuente
  4. ^ Rocky de la Fuente and Robert Ardini
  5. ^ Mark Sanford

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