2020 United States presidential election
 | |||
| |||
538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win | |||
|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||
 The electoral map for the 2020 election, based on populations from the 2010 Census | |||
| |||
 2020 U.S. presidential election | |
|---|---|
| Attempts to overturn | |
| Democratic Party | |
| Republican Party | |
| Third parties | |
| Related races | |
| |
The 2020 United States presidential election, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2020, will be the 59th quadrennial U.S. presidential election. Voters will select presidential electors who in turn will either elect a new president and vice president through the electoral college or reelect the incumbents. The series of presidential primary elections and caucuses are likely to be held during the first six months of 2020. This nominating process is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots selecting a slate of delegates to a political party's nominating convention, who then in turn elect their party's presidential nominee.
President Donald Trump of the Republican Party, who was elected in 2016, is seeking reelection to a second term. The winner of the 2020 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2021.
Background
Procedure
Article Two of the United States Constitution states that for a person to serve as President of the United States the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, at least 35 years old and a United States resident for at least 14 years. Candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of the various political parties of the United States, in which case each party develops a method (such as a primary election) to choose the candidate the party deems best suited to run for the position. The primary elections are usually indirect elections where voters cast ballots for a slate of party delegates pledged to a particular candidate. The party's delegates then officially nominate a candidate to run on the party's behalf. The nominee then personally chooses a vice presidential running mate to form that party's presidential ticket (with the exception of the Libertarian Party, which nominates its vice presidential candidate by delegate vote regardless of the nominee's preference). The general election in November is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the President and Vice President.[1]
In August 2018, the Democratic National Committee voted to disallow superdelegates from voting on the first ballot of the nominating process, beginning with the 2020 election. This would require a candidate to win a majority of pledged delegates from the assorted primary elections in order to win the party's nomination. The last time this did not occur was the nomination of Adlai Stevenson II at the 1952 Democratic National Convention.[2]
The Twenty-second Amendment to the Constitution states that an individual can not be elected to the presidency more than twice. This prohibits former Presidents Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama from being elected president again. Former president Jimmy Carter (a nonagenarian), having served a single term as president, is not constitutionally prohibited from being elected to another term in the 2020 election.
Demographic trends
The age group of what will then be people in the 18 to 45-year-old bracket is expected to represent just under 40 percent of the United States' eligible voters in 2020. It is expected that more than 30 percent of eligible American voters will be nonwhite.[3]
A bipartisan report indicates that changes in voter demographics since the 2016 election could impact the results of the 2020 election. African Americans, Hispanics, Asians/others, and "whites with a college degree" are expected to all increase their percentage of national eligible voters by 2020, while "whites without a college degree" will decrease. This shift is potentially an advantage for the Democratic nominee, however due to geographical differences, this could still lead to President Trump (or a different Republican nominee) winning the Electoral College while still losing the popular vote, possibly by an even larger margin than in 2016.[4]
Additionally, Washington, D.C. may lower its voting age from 18 to 16. Legislation was introduced by City Councilman Charles Allen in April 2018, with a public hearing in June, and a vote by the end of the year. Unlike other cities with a voting age of 16 such as Berkeley, California, this would allow 16 and 17-year-olds to vote for President of the United States for the first time in 2020. Allen said that he was inspired by the high school students that participated in the March for Our Lives, which occurred at the capital in March.[5]
Simultaneous elections
The presidential election will occur at the same time as elections to the Senate and the House of Representatives. Several states will also hold state gubernatorial and state legislative elections. Following the election, the United States House will redistribute the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the 2020 United States Census, and the states will conduct a redistricting of Congressional and state legislative districts. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting (although some states have redistricting commissions), and often a party that wins a presidential election experiences a coattail effect that also helps other candidates of that party win elections.[6] Therefore, the party that wins the 2020 presidential election could also win a significant advantage in the drawing of new Congressional and state legislative districts that would stay in effect until the 2032 elections.[7]
General election polling
National polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Michael Avenatti (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | October 24–29, 2018 | 3,064 | – | 47% | 43% | 9% |
| Morning Consult | August 16–18, 2018 | 1,974 | ± 2.0% | 28% | 20% | 51% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Michael Avenatti (D) |
Michael Bloomberg (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | October 24–29, 2018 | 3,064 | – | 45% | 14% | 33% | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HarrisX | December 16–17, 2018 | 1,001 | ± 3.1% | 36% | 42% | – | 22% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | October 24–29, 2018 | 3,064 | – | 44% | 53% | – | 3% |
| Morning Consult | August 16–18, 2018 | 1,974 | ± 2.0% | 31% | 43% | – | 26% |
| Morning Consult | July 26–30, 2018 | 1,993 | ± 2.0% | 37% | 44% | – | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 8–10, 2018 | 679 | ± 3.8% | 39% | 53% | – | 8% |
| Zogby Analytics | May 10–12, 2018 | 881 | ± 3.2% | 38% | 48% | – | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 23–25, 2018 | 846 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 56% | – | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 9–11, 2018 | 687 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 51% | – | 7% |
| CNN/SSRS | January 14–18, 2018 | 913 | ± 3.8% | 40% | 57% | 1% | 1% |
| Zogby Analytics | January 12–15, 2018 | 847 | ± 3.4% | 38% | 53% | – | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 11–12, 2017 | 862 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 54% | – | 6% |
| Morning Consult | November 9–11, 2017 | 1,993 | ± 2.0% | 35% | 46% | – | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 27–29, 2017 | 572 | ± 4.1% | 38% | 56% | – | 6% |
| Zogby Analytics | October 19–25, 2017 | 1,514 | ± 2.5% | 41% | 50% | – | 9% |
| Emerson College | October 12–14, 2017 | 820 | ± 3.4% | 42% | 51% | – | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2017 | 865 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 53% | – | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 18–21, 2017 | 887 | ± 3.3% | 39% | 51% | – | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 14–17, 2017 | 836 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 54% | – | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 9–11, 2017 | 811 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 54% | – | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–14, 2017 | 692 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 54% | – | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 17–18, 2017 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 40% | 54% | – | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 27–28, 2017 | 677 | ± 3.8% | 40% | 54% | – | 6% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Michael Bloomberg (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | October 24–29, 2018 | 3,064 | – | 43% | 44% | 10% | 3% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Michael Bloomberg (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | October 15–17, 2018 | 848 | ± 3.4% | 40% | 43% | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 18–21, 2017 | 887 | ± 3.3% | 39% | 42% | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Cory Booker (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | August 16–18, 2018 | 1,974 | ± 2.0% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 8–10, 2018 | 679 | ± 3.8% | 39% | 47% | 15% |
| Zogby Analytics | May 10–12, 2018 | 881 | ± 3.2% | 38% | 38% | 24% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 23–25, 2018 | 846 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 9–11, 2018 | 687 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 46% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 11–12, 2017 | 862 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 27–29, 2017 | 572 | ± 4.1% | 38% | 49% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2017 | 865 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 18–21, 2017 | 887 | ± 3.3% | 39% | 42% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 14–17, 2017 | 836 | ± 3.4% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 9–11, 2017 | 811 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 43% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–14, 2017 | 692 | ± 3.7% | 39% | 46% | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 17–18, 2017 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 42% | 42% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 27–28, 2017 | 677 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Steve Bullock (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | August 16–18, 2018 | 1,974 | ± 2.0% | 28% | 18% | 54% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
"Stephanie Clifford" (D) |
"Stormy Daniels" (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 23–25, 2018 | 846 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 42% | – | 17% |
| 41% | – | 32% | 27% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Hillary Clinton (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | October 28–30, 2018 | 2,942 | – | 45% | 50% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2017 | 865 | ± 3.3% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Mark Cuban (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | October 12–14, 2017 | 820 | ± 3.4% | 43% | 36% | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 18–21, 2017 | 887 | ± 3.3% | 38% | 42% | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–22, 2017 | 941 | ± 3.2% | 41% | 40% | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Andrew Cuomo (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | August 16–18, 2018 | 1,974 | ± 2.0% | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
John Delaney (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | August 16–18, 2018 | 1,974 | ± 2.0% | 28% | 18% | 53% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 18–21, 2017 | 887 | ± 3.3% | 38% | 38% | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Al Franken (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–14, 2017 | 692 | ± 3.7% | 38% | 46% | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 17–18, 2017 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 27–28, 2017 | 677 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 46% | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | October 28–30, 2018 | 2,942 | – | 44% | 50% | 7% |
| Morning Consult | August 16–18, 2018 | 1,974 | ± 2.0% | 29% | 24% | 47% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 8–10, 2018 | 679 | ± 3.8% | 39% | 45% | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 23–25, 2018 | 846 | ± 3.4% | 40% | 42% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 9–11, 2018 | 687 | ± 3.7% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| YouGov | January 9, 2018 | 865 | – | 43% | 41% | – |
| Public Policy Polling | December 11–12, 2017 | 862 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 47% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 27–29, 2017 | 572 | ± 4.1% | 38% | 48% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2017 | 865 | ± 3.3% | 39% | 42% | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Kamala Harris (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | October 28–30, 2018 | 2,994 | – | 42% | 52% | 6% |
| Morning Consult | August 16–18, 2018 | 1,974 | ± 2.0% | 29% | 26% | 45% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 8–10, 2018 | 679 | ± 3.8% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
| Zogby Analytics | May 10–12, 2018 | 881 | ± 3.2% | 39% | 35% | 26% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 23–25, 2018 | 846 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 43% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 9–11, 2018 | 687 | ± 3.7% | 43% | 43% | 15% |
| Zogby Analytics | January 12–15, 2018 | 847 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 42% | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 11–12, 2017 | 862 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 46% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 27–29, 2017 | 572 | ± 4.1% | 39% | 45% | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2017 | 865 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 41% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 18–21, 2017 | 887 | ± 3.3% | 39% | 39% | 22% |
| Zogby Analytics | August 4–7, 2017 | 1,300 | – | 38% | 41% | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 14–17, 2017 | 836 | ± 3.4% | 40% | 41% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 9–11, 2017 | 811 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 42% | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Eric Holder (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | August 16–18, 2018 | 1,974 | ± 2.0% | 30% | 24% | 46% |
| Morning Consult | June 14–18, 2018 | 1,994 | ± 2.0% | 37% | 21% | 41% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Dwayne Johnson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–14, 2017 | 692 | ± 3.7% | 37% | 42% | 21% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Kennedy III (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 9–11, 2018 | 687 | ± 3.7% | 43% | 46% | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Amy Klobuchar (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | October 28–30, 2018 | 2,994 | – | 42% | 51% | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Michelle Obama (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | November 12–13, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 43% | 50% | 7% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | October 28–30, 2018 | 2,942 | – | 42% | 55% | 3% |
| Zogby Analytics | May 10–12, 2018 | 881 | ± 3.2% | 39% | 48% | 13% |
| Zogby Analytics | January 12–15, 2018 | 847 | ± 3.4% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| Zogby Analytics | October 19–25, 2017 | 1,514 | ± 2.5% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2017 | 865 | ± 3.3% | 41% | 51% | 9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Beto O'Rourke (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HarrisX | December 16–17, 2018 | 1,001 | ± 3.1% | 37% | 30% | 34% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Bernie Sanders (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HarrisX | December 16–17, 2018 | 1,001 | ± 3.1% | 37% | 38% | – | 24% |
| Morning Consult | August 16–18, 2018 | 1,974 | ± 2.0% | 32% | 44% | – | 24% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 8–10, 2018 | 679 | ± 3.8% | 40% | 49% | – | 11% |
| Zogby Analytics | May 10–12, 2018 | 881 | ± 3.2% | 37% | 48% | – | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 23–25, 2018 | 846 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 55% | – | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 9–11, 2018 | 687 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | – | 8% |
| CNN/SSRS | January 14–18, 2018 | 913 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 55% | 1% | 1% |
| Zogby Analytics | January 12–15, 2018 | 847 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 52% | – | 10% |
| YouGov | January 9, 2018 | 865 | – | 43% | 48% | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling | December 11–12, 2017 | 862 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 53% | – | 6% |
| Morning Consult | November 16–19, 2017 | 2,586 | ± 2.0% | 36% | 42% | – | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 27–29, 2017 | 572 | ± 4.1% | 38% | 53% | – | 9% |
| Zogby Analytics | October 19–25, 2017 | 1,514 | ± 2.5% | 40% | 51% | – | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2017 | 865 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 51% | – | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 18–21, 2017 | 887 | ± 3.3% | 38% | 51% | – | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 14–17, 2017 | 836 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 52% | – | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 9–11, 2017 | 811 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 51% | – | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–14, 2017 | 692 | ± 3.7% | 39% | 52% | – | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 17–18, 2017 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 41% | 50% | – | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 27–28, 2017 | 677 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 52% | – | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | October 24–29, 2018 | 3,064 | – | 47% | 49% | – | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 17–18, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | – | 9% |
| Morning Consult | August 16–18, 2018 | 1,974 | ± 2.0% | 30% | 34% | – | 36% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 8–10, 2018 | 679 | ± 3.8% | 40% | 48% | – | 12% |
| Zogby Analytics | May 10–12, 2018 | 881 | ± 3.2% | 37% | 43% | – | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 23–25, 2018 | 846 | ± 3.4% | 40% | 51% | – | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 9–11, 2018 | 687 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 44% | – | 12% |
| Zogby Analytics | January 12–15, 2018 | 847 | ± 3.4% | 40% | 50% | – | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-PCCC) | January 9–10, 2018 | 620 | ± 3.9% | 43% | 49% | – | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 11–12, 2017 | 862 | ± 3.3% | 42% | 51% | – | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 27–29, 2017 | 572 | ± 4.1% | 40% | 50% | – | 9% |
| Zogby Analytics | October 19–25, 2017 | 1,514 | ± 2.5% | 43% | 45% | – | 13% |
| Emerson College | October 12–14, 2017 | 820 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 44% | – | 12% |
| GQR Research/Democracy Corps | September 3 – October 6, 2017 | 1,000 | – | 42% | 54% | 1% | 2% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2017 | 865 | ± 3.3% | 41% | 47% | – | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 18–21, 2017 | 887 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 45% | – | 15% |
| Zogby Analytics | August 4–7, 2017 | 1,300 | – | 37% | 46% | – | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 14–17, 2017 | 836 | ± 3.4% | 42% | 49% | – | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 9–11, 2017 | 811 | ± 3.4% | 43% | 46% | – | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–14, 2017 | 692 | ± 3.7% | 39% | 49% | – | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 17–18, 2017 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 42% | 46% | – | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 27–28, 2017 | 677 | ± 3.8% | 43% | 48% | – | 9% |
| Morning Consult | February 9–10, 2017 | 1,791 | ± 2.0% | 42% | 36% | – | 22% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Michael Bloomberg (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | October 24–29, 2018 | 3,064 | – | 45% | 34% | 17% | 4% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Frederica Wilson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 27–29, 2017 | 572 | ± 4.1% | 39% | 42% | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Oprah Winfrey (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | October 28–30, 2018 | 2,994 | – | 41% | 53% | – | 5% |
| Zogby Analytics | May 10–12, 2018 | 881 | ± 3.2% | 47% | 53% | – | – |
| CNN/SSRS | January 14–18, 2018 | 913 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 51% | 2% | 1% |
| Quinnipiac University | January 12–16, 2018 | 1,212 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 52% | 2% | 4% |
| Morning Consult | January 11–16, 2018 | 1,993 | ± 2.0% | 38% | 40% | – | 22% |
| Zogby Analytics | January 12–15, 2018 | 847 | ± 3.4% | 46% | 54% | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D-PCCC) | January 9–10, 2018 | 620 | ± 3.9% | 43% | 44% | – | 13% |
| Marist College | January 8–10, 2018 | 1,092 | ± 3.0% | 39% | 50% | – | 11% |
| YouGov | January 9, 2018 | 865 | – | 43% | 47% | – | – |
| Rasmussen Reports | January 8–9, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 38% | 48% | – | 14% |
| Zogby Analytics | March 27–29, 2017 | 1,531 | ± 2.5% | 36% | 46% | – | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Mark Zuckerberg (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | January 12–15, 2018 | 847 | ± 3.4% | 40% | 41% | 19% |
| Zogby Analytics | August 4–7, 2017 | 1,300 | – | 40% | 43% | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 14–17, 2017 | 836 | ± 3.4% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Mark Zuckerberg (D) |
Joe Scarborough (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | August 4–7, 2017 | 1,300 | – | 36% | 34% | 18% | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvard-Harris | December 24–25, 2018 | 1,473 | – | 33% | 44% | 11% | 13% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal | December 9–12, 2018 | 725 | ± 3.6% | 38% | 52% | 2% | 3% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang/Global Strategy Group (D-Priorities USA) | November 9–11, 2018 | 1,016 | – | 40% | 49% | – | 11% |
| Global Strategy Group/GBA Strategies | August 2–5, 2018 | 1,128 | – | 30% | 44% | – | 24% |
| Morning Consult | July 26–30, 2018 | 1,993 | ± 2.0% | 35% | 48% | – | 17% |
| Morning Consult | June 14–18, 2018 | 1,994 | ± 2.0% | 36% | 44% | – | 20% |
| Morning Consult | May 17–19, 2018 | 1,990 | ± 2.0% | 36% | 44% | – | 20% |
| Morning Consult | March 1–5, 2018 | 1,993 | ± 2.0% | 36% | 44% | – | 19% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 27–28, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | – | 9% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal | December 13–15, 2017 | 736 | ± 3.6% | 36% | 52% | – | 5% |
| Morning Consult | November 16–19, 2017 | 2,586 | ± 2.0% | 35% | 44% | – | 21% |
| Morning Consult | November 9–11, 2017 | 1,993 | ± 2.0% | 34% | 48% | – | 18% |
| Opinion Savvy | August 16–17, 2017 | 763 | ± 3.5% | 41% | 52% | – | 8% |
| Gravis Marketing | July 21–31, 2017 | 1,917 | ± 2.2% | 39% | 48% | – | 13% |
| Morning Consult | February 9–10, 2017 | 1,791 | ± 2.0% | 35% | 43% | – | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion Savvy | August 16–17, 2017 | 763 | ± 3.5% | 40% | 52% | 8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | December 6–9, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.6% | 43% | 45% | 11% | – |
Statewide polling
- California
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | March 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 33% | 56% | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Jerry Brown (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | March 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 54% | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Sherrod Brown (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | March 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 36% | 29% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Cory Booker (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | March 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 39% | 26% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Eric Garcetti (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | March 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 34% | 49% | 17% |
| SurveyUSA | January 7–9, 2018 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 32% | 46% | 21% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | March 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 33% | 47% | 19% |
| SurveyUSA | January 7–9, 2018 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 32% | 46% | 22% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Tom Hanks (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | March 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 34% | 51% | 15% |
| SurveyUSA | January 7–9, 2018 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 31% | 56% | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Kamala Harris (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | March 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 54% | 12% |
| SurveyUSA | January 7–9, 2018 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 33% | 53% | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Eric Holder (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | March 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 38% | 26% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Mitch Landrieu (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | March 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 36% | 29% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Michelle Obama (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | March 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 36% | 57% | 8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Deval Patrick (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | March 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 34% | 34% | 32% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | January 7–9, 2018 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 32% | 53% | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Oprah Winfrey (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | March 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 52% | 13% |
| SurveyUSA | January 7–9, 2018 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 32% | 56% | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Mark Zuckerberg (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | March 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 36% | 42% | 22% |
| SurveyUSA | January 7–9, 2018 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 31% | 50% | 19% |
- Florida
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | August 17–23, 2017 | 828 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 48% | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Oprah Winfrey (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dixie Strategies | January 9–10, 2018 | 785 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 24% | 15% | 13% |
- Indiana
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | August 17–23, 2017 | 603 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 39% | 17% |
- Kentucky
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | August 17–23, 2017 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 41% | 13% |
- Michigan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPIC-MRA | April 28–30, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 39% | 52% | 9% |
| Zogby Analytics | September 2017 | 800 | – | 35% | 52% | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Bernie Sanders (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | September 2017 | 800 | – | 36% | 54% | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | September 2017 | 800 | – | 37% | 46% | 17% |
| Zogby Analytics | August 17–23, 2017 | 803 | ± 3.5% | 35% | 51% | 14% |
- Minnesota
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D-A Better Minnesota) | June 15–16, 2018 | 717 | – | 41% | 51% | 8% |
- Missouri
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | August 17–23, 2017 | 604 | ± 4.0% | 40% | 46% | 14% |
- Montana
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | August 17–23, 2017 | 403 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 39% | 17% |
- New Hampshire
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Research Group | March 21–27, 2018 | 1,365 | ± 3.0% | 39% | 53% | 8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Bernie Sanders (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Research Group | March 21–27, 2018 | 1,365 | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | 5% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Research Group | March 21–27, 2018 | 1,365 | ± 3.0% | 50% | 42% | 9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Kasich (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Research Group | March 21–27, 2018 | 1,365 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Kasich (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Research Group | March 21–27, 2018 | 1,365 | ± 3.0% | 52% | 37% | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Praecones Analytica | August 13–15, 2018 | 626 | ± 5.4% | 38% | 49% | 13% |
- North Carolina
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith College | January 21–25, 2018 | 621 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | 8% | 1% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Roy Cooper (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith College | January 21–25, 2018 | 621 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | 11% | 1% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith College | January 21–25, 2018 | 621 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 36% | 18% | 1% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith College | January 21–25, 2018 | 621 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 40% | 12% | 1% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Oprah Winfrey (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith College | January 21–25, 2018 | 621 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 38% | 12% | 2% |
- North Dakota
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | August 17–23, 2017 | 403 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
- Ohio
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 27–28, 2018 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Sherrod Brown (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 27–28, 2018 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Bernie Sanders (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 27–28, 2018 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 27–28, 2018 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 49% | 43% | 9% |
| Zogby Analytics | August 17–23, 2017 | 805 | ± 3.5% | 40% | 44% | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baldwin Wallace University | April 24 – May 2, 2018 | 811 | ± 3.5% | 41% | 44% | 6% | 9% |
| Baldwin Wallace University | February 28 – March 9, 2018 | 1,011 | ± 3.0% | 34% | 32% | – | – |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Kasich (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baldwin Wallace University | April 24 – May 2, 2018 | 811 | ± 3.5% | 37% | 31% | 13% | 19% |
| Baldwin Wallace University | February 28 – March 9, 2018 | 1,011 | ± 3.0% | 41% | 20% | 12% | – |
- Pennsylvania
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | August 17–23, 2017 | 813 | ± 3.4% | 38% | 46% | 16% |
- Texas
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Mark Cuban (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | December 2017 | – | – | 44% | 47% | – |
- Wisconsin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | August 17–23, 2017 | 603 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 48% | 15% |
- West Virginia
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | August 17–23, 2017 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
Nominations
Republican Party
Donald Trump is eligible to run for reelection and intends to do so.[8] His reelection campaign has been ongoing since his victory in 2016, leading pundits to describe his tactic of holding rallies continuously throughout his presidency as a "never-ending campaign".[9] On January 20, 2017, at 5:11 PM, he submitted a letter as a substitute of FEC Form 2, for which he had reached the legal threshold for filing, in compliance with the Federal Election Campaign Act.[10]
Beginning in August 2017, reports arose that members of the Republican Party were preparing a "shadow campaign" against Trump, particularly from the moderate or establishment wings of the party.[11] A poor showing for the GOP in the 2018 midterm elections may lead to an influx of ambitious politicians vying to reclaim the nomination from Trump, as Arizona Senator John McCain said that "[Republicans] see weakness in this president." Maine Senator Susan Collins, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie have all expressed doubts that Trump will be the 2020 nominee, with Collins stating "it's too difficult to say."[12][13] Meanwhile, Senator Jeff Flake has claimed that Trump is "inviting" a primary challenger by the way he is governing.[14] Longtime political strategist Roger Stone, however, predicts that Trump may not seek a second term if he succeeds in keeping all of his campaign promises and "[makes] America great again", à la James K. Polk.[15]
Declared major candidates
The candidates in this section have held public office or been included in a minimum of five independent national polls.
| Name | Born | Current or previous positions | State | Announced | Ref |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
.jpg) Donald Trump |
June 14, 1946 (age 78) New York City, New York |
President of the United States since 2017 Candidate for President in 2000 |
 New York |
August 19, 2016 (Campaign • Website) FEC Filing |
[16] |
Individuals who have publicly expressed interest
Convention site
On July 20, 2018, the Republican National Convention chose Charlotte, North Carolina as the site for their 2020 national convention.[17] The convention will be held from August 24 until August 27, 2020.[18]
Endorsements
Withdrawn candidates
- Individuals
- George Conway, attorney and spouse of Kellyanne Conway[19]
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Betty Tamposi, U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Consular Affairs (1989-1992)[20]
- Trevor Potter, Commissioner of the Federal Election Commission (1991-1995)[21]
- U.S. Representatives
- William F. Clinger Jr., U.S. Representative from PA-23 1979-1993, and PA-05 (1993-1997)[22]
- Steven T. Kuykendall, U.S. Representative from CA-36 (1999-2001)[22]
- Jim Leach, U.S. Representative from IA-01 (1977-2003), and IA-02 (2003-2007)[23]
- Tom Petri, U.S. Representative from WI-06 (1979-2015)[22]
- Dick Zimmer, U.S. Representative from NJ-12 (1991-1997)[22]
- Governors
- Gary Johnson, Governor of New Mexico (1995-2003) and Libertarian nominee for President in 2016 (co-endorsement with Tulsi Gabbard)[22]
- Phil Scott, Governor of Vermont (2017-present)[24]
- Christine Todd Whitman, Governor of New Jersey (1994-2001) and Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (2001-2003)[22]
- Statewide officials
- Robert Durand, Massachusetts Secretary of Environmental Affairs (1999–2003)[25]
- State legislators
- Doug Scamman, State Representative from New Hampshire (Rockingham District 13) (2004-2010)[22]
- Stella Scamman, State Representative from New Hampshire (Rockingham District 13) (2002-2010)[22]
- Individuals
- Liz Mair, conservative political consultant[26]
- Stuart Stevens, travel writer and conservative political consultant[27]
- Party officials
- Fergus Cullen, chair of the New Hampshire Republican State Committee 2007-2008[28]
- Jennifer Horn, chair of the New Hampshire Republican State Committee 2013-2017, Republican nominee for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2008, candidate in 2010[28]
- Newspapers
Democratic Party
After Hillary Clinton's loss in the previous election, the Democratic Party was seen largely as leaderless[31] and fractured between the centrist Clinton wing and the more progressive Sanders wing of the party, echoing the rift brought up in the 2016 primary election.[32][33]
This establishment/progressive divide was reflected in several elections leading up to the 2020 primaries, most notably in 2017 with the election for DNC Chair between Tom Perez and Sanders-backed progressive Keith Ellison:[34] Perez was elected Chairman, but Ellison was appointed as the Deputy Chair, a largely ceremonial role. In 2018, several U.S. House districts that Democrats hope to gain from the Republican majority had contentious primary elections. These clashes were described by Politico's Elena Schneider as a "Democratic civil war."[35] Meanwhile, there has been a general shift to the left in regards to college tuition, healthcare, and immigration among Democrats in the Senate, likely to build up credentials for the upcoming primary election.[36][37]
Perez has commented that the 2020 primary field will likely go into double-digits, rivaling the size of the 2016 GOP primary, which consisted of 17 major candidates.[38] In the wake of the Me Too movement, several female candidates are expected to enter the race, increasing the likelihood of the Democrats nominating a woman for the second time in a row.[39] Speculation also mounted that Democrats' best bet to defeat President Trump would be to nominate their own celebrity or businessperson with no government experience, most notably Oprah Winfrey after her memorable speech at the 75th Golden Globe Awards.[40]
The topic of age has been brought up among the most likely front-runners: former Vice President Joe Biden, Massachusetts senator Elizabeth Warren, and Senator Sanders; who will be 78, 71, and 79 respectively on inauguration day. Former Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (who will be aged 81 on inauguration day) described the trio as "an old folks' home", expressing a need for fresh faces to step up and lead the party.[41]
Declared major candidates
The candidates in this section have held public office or been included in a minimum of five independent national polls.
| Name | Born | Current or previous positions | State | Announced | Ref |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 John Delaney |
April 16, 1963 (age 61) Wood-Ridge, New Jersey |
U.S. Representative from Maryland since 2013 |  Maryland |
July 28, 2017 (Campaign • Website) FEC Filing |
[42] |
 Richard Ojeda |
October 25, 1970 (age 54) Rochester, Minnesota |
West Virginia State Senate Member since 2016 Democratic nominee for U.S. Representative from West Virginia in 2018 |
 West Virginia |
November 11, 2018 (Website) FEC Filing |
[43] |
Other declared candidates
According to The New York Times, over four hundred people have sent the requisite paperwork to the Federal Election Commission, including the following notable candidates:
| Name | Born | Current or previous positions | State | Announced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Michael E. Arth |
April 27, 1953 (age 71) Burtonwood, England |
Urban designer & public policy analyst Candidate for Governor of Florida in 2010 |
 Florida |
November 4, 2018 (Website) FEC filing[44] |
| File:Ken-E-Nwadike-Jr-motivational-speaker.jpg Ken Nwadike |
December 29, 1981 (age 42) San Diego, California |
Peace activist, inspirational speaker, video journalist |  California |
October 18, 2017 (Website) FEC Filing |
 Robby Wells |
April 10, 1968 (age 56) Bartow, Georgia |
Former college football coach Natural Law nominee for U.S. Representative from California in 1996 Candidate for President in 2012 and 2016 |
 Georgia |
May 24, 2017 (Website) FEC Filing |
.jpg) Andrew Yang |
January 13, 1975 (age 49) Schenectady, New York |
Entrepreneur, lawyer, founder of Venture for America | New York |
November 6, 2017 (Website) FEC Filing |
Individuals who are formally exploring a candidacy
Individuals who have publicly expressed interest
Potential convention sites
Bids for the National Convention were solicited in the fall of 2017, with finalists being announced in June 2018. The winning bid was supposed to be revealed in the summer of 2018.
Endorsements
Libertarian Party
Declared candidates
These candidates have established campaign websites.
| Name | Born | Current or previous positions | State | Announced | Ref |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Kokesh |
February 1, 1982 (age 42) San Francisco, California |
Libertarian and anti-war political activist Candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 Candidate for U.S. Representative from New Mexico in 2010 |
 Arizona |
July 18, 2013 (Campaign • Website) FEC Filing |
[47] |
 Vermin Supreme |
June 1961 (age 57) Rockport, Massachusetts |
Performance artist and activist Candidate for President in 1992, 1996, 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012, and 2016 Candidate for Mayor of Detroit, Michigan in 1989 Candidate for Mayor of Baltimore, Maryland in 1987 |
 Kansas |
May 28, 2018 (Website) |
[48] |
 Arvin Vohra |
May 9, 1979 (age 45) Silver Spring, Maryland |
Vice Chair of the LNC 2014–2018 Libertarian nominee for U.S. Senate from Maryland in 2018 Libertarian nominee for U.S. Representative in 2012 and 2014 Candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 |
Maryland |
July 3, 2018 (Website) |
[49] |
Convention site
On December 10, 2017, the Libertarian National Committee chose Austin, Texas as the site of their 2020 national convention. The convention will be held between May 22–25, 2020.[50][51]
Green Party
Individuals who have publicly expressed interest
Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the last six months.
- Jesse Ventura, former Governor of Minnesota 1999–2003, professional wrestler, actor[52][53]
Independent or unaffiliated
Individuals who have publicly expressed interest
Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the last six months.
- Akon, singer, songwriter, businessman, record producer, and actor from New Jersey[54][55]
- Mark Cuban, businessman and investor from Texas[56]
Maps
-
The 50 states plus DC, scaled according to the number of electors in each state
See also
- 2018 United States gubernatorial elections
- 2020 United States gubernatorial elections
- 2018 United States Senate elections
- 2020 United States Senate elections
Notes
References
- ^ "US Election guide: how does the election work?". The Daily Telegraph. November 6, 2012. Retrieved October 29, 2015.
- ^ Levy, Adam (August 25, 2018). "DNC changes superdelegate rules in presidential nomination process". CNN. Retrieved August 27, 2018.
- ^ Weeks, Linton (January 25, 2013). "Forget 2016. The Pivotal Year In Politics May Be 2020". NPR. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
- ^ Chinni, Dante (April 22, 2018). "Demographic shifts show 2020 presidential race could be close". NBC News. Retrieved April 23, 2018.
- ^ Fox, Peggy (April 17, 2018). "Washington, D.C., may allow 16-year-olds to vote for president in the 2020 election". USA Today. Retrieved April 19, 2018.
- ^ Campbell, James E. (March 1986). "Presidential Coattails and Midterm Losses in State Legislative Elections". The American Political Science Review. 80 (1): 45. JSTOR 1957083.
- ^ Sarlin, Benjy (August 26, 2014). "Forget 2016: Democrats already have a plan for 2020". MSNBC.
- ^ Westwood, Sarah (January 22, 2017). "Trump hints at re-election bid, vowing 'eight years' of 'great things'". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved February 21, 2017.
- ^ Bixby, Scott (February 18, 2017). "The Road to 2020: Donald Trump's Never-Ending Campaign". The Daily Beast. Retrieved January 20, 2018.
- ^ Morehouse, Lee (January 30, 2017). "Trump breaks precedent, files as candidate for re-election on first day". KTVK. Retrieved February 21, 2017.
- ^ Martin, Jonathan; Burns, Alexander (August 5, 2017). "Republican Shadow Campaign for 2020 Takes Shape as Trump Doubts Grow". The New York Times. Retrieved October 22, 2017.
- ^ "Sen. Susan Collins not sure Trump will be 2020 GOP nominee". CBS News. August 21, 2017. Retrieved October 22, 2017.
- ^ Goodkind, Nicole (October 30, 2017). "TRUMP MAY NOT SEEK RE-ELECTION: RAND PAUL, CHRIS CHRISTIE". Newsweek. Retrieved November 4, 2017.
- ^ Kaczynski, Andrew (August 24, 2017). "Sen. Jeff Flake: Trump 'inviting' 2020 primary challenge by how he's governing". CNN. Retrieved October 22, 2017.
- ^ Chaitin, Daniel (May 19, 2018). "Roger Stone says Trump may not run in 2020, pledges to line up challenger to Pence-Haley ticket". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved June 9, 2018.
- ^ Nelson, Louis (August 19, 2016). "Trump predicts he can win 95 percent of the black vote". Politico. Retrieved February 24, 2018.
- ^ Krawchenko, Katiana (July 20, 2018). "RNC picks Charlotte as 2020 GOP convention site". CBS News. Retrieved July 23, 2018.
- ^ Foreman, Jr., Tom (October 1, 2018). "Republican convention set for August 2020 in Charlotte". Associated Press. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
- ^ Luperon, Alberto (August 25, 2019). "George Conway Supporting Joe Walsh to Send Trump to 'Trash Bin of History'". lawandcrime.com.
- ^ Rogers, Josh (September 10, 2019). "Bill Weld Rolls Out N.H. Campaign Steering Committee". New Hampshire Public Radio. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
- ^ Wofford, Benjamin (October 11, 2019). "Anti-Trump GOPer: 'We Laid The Trap, They Leapt Into It'". Washingtonian. Retrieved October 11, 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f g h Nik DeCosta-Klipa (February 10, 2020). "Bill Weld is tallying up endorsements from a particular type of Republican". The Boston Globe. Retrieved February 14, 2020.
- ^ Ambrose, Graham (January 10, 2020). "Once America's 'most fiscally conservative governor' Bill Weld: Trump should be removed from office | Local News". Quad-City Times. Retrieved February 14, 2020.
- ^ NBC 5 News Staff (February 15, 2020). "Gov. Scott gives endorsement in Presidential race". WPTZ. Retrieved February 15, 2020.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ^ Cama, Timothy (April 18, 2019). "Campaign 2020: 'Great environmentalist' Weld dives into race against Trump – Thursday, April 18, 2019". www.eenews.net. Retrieved February 14, 2020.
- ^ Liz Mair (February 19, 2019). "Has Republican Resistance to Trump Collapsed?". The New York Times. Retrieved March 1, 2019.
- ^ Durkee, Alison (April 15, 2019). "Bill Weld Officially Targets Trump With Long-Shot Primary Bid". Vanity Fair. Retrieved May 27, 2019.
- ^ a b Steinhauser, Paul. "Vision 2020: Weld gives GOP never-Trumpers hope". fosters.com.
- ^ "The GOP primaries: Bill Weld would restore principle to the party". BostonGlobe.com.
- ^ Editorials, The Republican (March 1, 2020). "The Republican endorses Bill Weld in GOP primary (Editorial)". masslive.
- ^ Easley, Jonathan (March 31, 2017). "For Democrats, no clear leader". The Hill. Retrieved January 28, 2018.
- ^ Vyse, Graham (April 28, 2017). "The 2020 Democratic primary is going to be the all-out brawl the party needs". The New Republic. Retrieved January 28, 2018.
- ^ Edsall, Thomas B. (September 7, 2017). "The Struggle Between Clinton and Sanders Is Not Over". The New York Times. Retrieved March 25, 2018.
- ^ Abramson, Jill; Aronoff, Kate; Camacho, Daniel José (February 27, 2017). "After the divisive Democratic National Committee chair election, what's next?". The Guardian. Retrieved March 23, 2018.
- ^ Schneider, Elena (May 19, 2018). "Democrats clash over party's direction in key Texas race". Politico. Retrieved May 19, 2018.
- ^ Schor, Elana (December 30, 2017). "Dem senators fight to out-liberal one another ahead of 2020". Politico. Retrieved January 23, 2018.
- ^ Miller, Ryan W. (June 29, 2018). "New York's Kirsten Gillibrand, Bill de Blasio echo progressive calls to 'abolish ICE'". USA Today. Retrieved July 4, 2018.
- ^ Janssen, Kim (October 26, 2017). "DNC chair Tom Perez: Expect a 'double-digit' field in 2020 presidential primary". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved January 28, 2018.
- ^ Scher, Bill (November 24, 2017). "Why 2020 Will Be the Year of the Woman". Politico. Retrieved June 23, 2018.
- ^ Huey-Burns, Caitlin (January 9, 2018). "Oprah Run in 2020 Entices Leaderless Democrats". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved January 28, 2018.
- ^ Zengerle, Jason (December 27, 2016). "Who Will Do What Harry Reid Did Now That Harry Reid Is Gone?". New York. Retrieved January 28, 2018.
- ^ Delaney, John (July 28, 2017). "John Delaney: Why I'm running for president". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 28, 2017.
- ^ Korecki, Natasha (November 12, 2018). "Ojeda to run for president". Politico. Retrieved November 12, 2018.
- ^ Arth, Michael E. (November 4, 2018). "FEC Form 2" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved November 13, 2018.
- ^ a b Seitz-Wald, Alex (May 9, 2018). "Eager Democrats 2020 prep: DNC eyes convention cities, debates, rule changes". NBC News. Retrieved May 9, 2018.
- ^ Glauber, Bill; Nelson, James B.; Daykin, Tom (February 21, 2018). "Milwaukee leaders announce bid for 2020 Democratic National Convention". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved February 21, 2018.
- ^ "Adam Kokesh, jailed gun rights activist, to run for president". RT. July 19, 2013. Retrieved November 5, 2017.
- ^ "Adam Kokesh vs Vermin Supreme 2020". Adam Kokesh. May 28, 2018. Retrieved June 1, 2018.
- ^ "Libertarian presidential hopefuls: Now there are 2 … or 3?". Libertarian Party. July 3, 2018. Retrieved July 6, 2018.
- ^ Winger, Richard (December 11, 2017). "Libertarian Party Sets Location and Date of 2020 Presidential Convention". Ballot Access News. Retrieved December 23, 2017.
- ^ Francis, Eric (December 21, 2017). "An alternative to the right/left political menu". California Catholic Daily. Retrieved December 6, 2018.
- ^ "Jesse Ventura Says Democrats Should Work with Him to Defeat Trump in 2020". TMZ. November 29, 2018.
- ^ Brandon Stroud (November 28, 2018). "Jesse 'The Body' Ventura Is Considering A 2020 Presidential Run". Uproxx.
- ^ Kurtz, Judy (November 1, 2018). "Akon 'very seriously' weighing 2020 Trump challenge". The Hill. Retrieved December 6, 2018.
- ^ "Akon Envisions 2020 Presidential Run with Mark Zuckerberg as VP". TMZ. March 9, 2018. Retrieved July 7, 2018.
- ^ Haltiwanger, John (December 8, 2018). "Mark Cuban said running for president would be the 'definition of bad parenting,' but he might go for it anyway". Business Insider. Retrieved December 12, 2018.