2010 United States House of Representatives elections
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All 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives and 5 (of the 6) non-voting members | |||||||||||||||||||
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The current congressional districts for the 111th Congress | |||||||||||||||||||
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For complete list of the races in all districts, but without commentary, see United States House of Representatives elections, 2010 - complete list.
The 2010 United States House of Representatives elections will be held on November 2, 2010, halfway through President Barack Obama's first term in office. Elections will be held for all 435 seats, representing the 50 U.S. states. Elections also will be held for the delegates from the District of Columbia and four of the five major U.S. territories. The only seat in the United States House of Representatives not up for election is that of the Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico, who serves a four-year term and will next face election in 2012.
The winners of this election cycle will serve in the 112th Congress.
Background
Following the 2006 elections, Democrats took control of the House as well as the Senate. In the 2008 elections, which coincided with Democrat Barack Obama's victory over Republican John McCain for the presidency, Democrats increased their majorities in both chambers. Of the 435 congressional districts, 242 were carried by Obama, while 193 voted for McCain. Of the districts Obama won, 34 elected a Republican to the House, while 49 of the districts McCain won elected a Democrat.[1]
Republicans are hoping to win back many of the swing districts they lost in the two previous elections.[2] Both parties have been preparing to defend seats that they risk losing. Democrats, who occupy more of the swing districts, are operating more on the defensive than the Republicans. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) has highlighted 40 Democratic incumbents at risk, part of their "Frontline Program."[3] The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) has in turn highlighted 10 Republican incumbents at risk, part of their "Patriot Program."[4] They later added 15 additional names to the list, bringing the total to 25.[5]
Recently the Republicans have taken a lead in aggregate polling for the generic congressional ballot.[6] The non-partisan Cook Political Report has stated that Republicans may pick up a net 20-30 seats in the 2010 elections.[7] And Michael Barone has predicted that, in light of historic Republican advantages in the latest generic ballot polls, Republican pick-ups could potentially exceed the 54 seats Republicans won in the 1994 midterm elections.[8]
This will be the last congressional election using congressional districts that were drawn based on the 2000 census.
Retiring incumbents
35 U.S. Representatives will retire at the end of their current term and 5 vacancies will be filled by special elections before November.
Retiring Democrats (16 incumbents)
- Alabama's 7th congressional district: Artur Davis: To run for Governor of Alabama.[9]
- Arkansas's 1st congressional district: Marion Berry: Retiring due to health concerns.[10]
- Arkansas's 2nd congressional district: Vic Snyder: Retiring to spend more time with family.[11]
- California's 33rd congressional district: Diane Watson: Retiring [10]
- Florida's 17th congressional district: Kendrick Meek: To run for the U.S. Senate.[12]
- Indiana's 8th congressional district: Brad Ellsworth: To run for the U.S. Senate.
- Kansas's 3rd congressional district: Dennis Moore: Retiring; "Time for a new generation of leadership."[13]
- Louisiana's 3rd congressional district: Charlie Melancon: To run for the U.S. Senate.[14]
- Massachusetts's 10th congressional district: Bill Delahunt: Retiring, "Life is about change. I think it's healthy. It's time." [15]
- Michigan's 1st congressional district: Bart Stupak: For reasons unannounced [16]
- New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district: Paul Hodes: To run for the U.S. Senate.[17]
- Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district: Joe Sestak: To run for the U.S. Senate.[18]
- Rhode Island's 1st congressional district: Patrick J. Kennedy: Retiring to "[take] a new direction."[19]
- Tennessee's 6th congressional district: Bart Gordon: Retiring; "...it's time for a new chapter"[20]
- Tennessee's 8th congressional district: John S. Tanner: Retiring, reasons not known.[21]
- Washington's 3rd congressional district: Brian Baird: Retiring, to pursue other options.[22]
Retiring Republicans (19 incumbents)
- Arkansas's 3rd congressional district: John Boozman: To run for U.S. Senate.
- Arizona's 3rd congressional district: John Shadegg: Retiring to pursue other interests.[23]
- California's 19th congressional district: George Radanovich: Retiring to put family obligations first.[24]
- Delaware's At-large congressional district: Michael Castle: To run for U.S. Senate.[25]
- Florida's 12th congressional district: Adam Putnam: To run for Florida Commissioner of Agriculture.[26]
- Florida's 21st congressional district: Lincoln Diaz-Balart: Retiring to do law practice.
- Florida's 25th congressional district: Mario Diaz-Balart: To run for Florida's 21st district, currently held by his brother Lincoln Diaz-Balart.[27]
- Georgia's 7th congressional district: John Linder: Retiring.[28]
- Indiana's 4th congressional district: Steve Buyer: Retiring due to wife's illness [29]
- Illinois's 10th congressional district: Mark Kirk: To run for U.S. Senate.[30]
- Kansas's 1st congressional district: Jerry Moran: To run for the U.S. Senate.[31]
- Kansas's 4th congressional district: Todd Tiahrt: To run for the U.S. Senate.[32]
- Michigan's 2nd congressional district: Peter Hoekstra: To run for Governor of Michigan.[33]
- Michigan's 3rd congressional district: Vern Ehlers: Retiring[34]
- Missouri's 7th congressional district: Roy Blunt: To run for the U.S. Senate.[35]
- Oklahoma's 5th congressional district: Mary Fallin: To run for Governor of Oklahoma.[36]
- South Carolina's 1st congressional district:Henry E. Brown, Jr.: Retiring to spend more time with his family.[37]
- South Carolina's 3rd congressional district: J. Gresham Barrett: To run for Governor of South Carolina.[38]
- Tennessee's 3rd congressional district: Zach Wamp: To run for Governor of Tennessee.[39]
Vacancies (To be filled before November)
The winners of these special elections will be up for election to a full term in November.
Democratic Seats (4 seats)
- Florida's 19th congressional district: Robert Wexler: Resigned on January 3, 2010 to become president of the Washington-based Center for Middle East Peace and Economic Cooperation. The special election will be held on April 13.
- Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district: John Murtha: Died on February 8, 2010. The special election will be held on May 18.
- Hawaii's 1st congressional district: Neil Abercrombie: Resigned on February 28, 2010 to focus on run for Governor of Hawaii.[40] The special election will be held on May 22.
- New York's 29th congressional district: Eric Massa: Announced he would retire to focus on his health as his cancer has returned.[41] However, he decided to resign on March 8, 2010 amid controversy over an ethics investigation. A special election may not be held, as Governor David Paterson (D) says he is concerned about the financial impact of a special election on the county level. Some speculate that Paterson is refusing to schedule a special election because the district is a Republican-leaning upstate district, increasing the possibility of a Republican winning the seat.[42]
Republican Seats (1 seat)
- Georgia's 9th congressional district: Nathan Deal: Resigned March 22, 2010 to focus on a run for Governor of Georgia.[43] special election will be held on May 11, 2010, with a possible run-off on June 8, 2010.
Predictions
Overall
Most non-partisan pundits predict that the Republicans will gain seats in the 2010 elections, and it is possible that the Republicans could retake control of the House in 2010.
In April 2009, Stuart Rothenberg wrote on his blog that "... the chance of Republicans winning control of either chamber in the 2010 midterm elections is zero. Not 'close to zero.' Not 'slight' or 'small.' Zero." In the same column, Rothenberg wrote "It’s not yet clear which party will gain seats in next year’s midterms or how large the swing will be. The GOP could well gain back some ground, given how far its House numbers have fallen."[44]
However, by late September 2009, Rothenberg changed his predictions, writing that the "national political landscape has changed noticeably over the past few months, with Republicans the beneficiaries" and that "Democratic control of the House is not now at risk."[45]
In a May 2009 column for his newsletter, Larry Sabato wrote "History instead suggests that the overall odds favor Republican gains in the House in 2010, but relatively modest gains. After all, Democrats now hold 257 House seats, 39 seats more than the minimum needed to control the House. Only Truman in 1946 and Clinton in 1994 yielded more than 39 seats to the opposition party in their first midterm election."[46]
In a February 2010 interview with National Journal, he said that "it's very hard to come up with a scenario where Democrats don't lose the House. It's very hard."[47]
In an August 2009 prediction, he wrote that the Democrats would suffer a loss of between 20 to 50 seats in the 2010 House elections.[48] In another August prediction, Silver wrote "While the Democrats are not extraordinary likely to lose the House, such an outcome is certainly well within the realm of possibility (I'd put the chance at somewhere between 1-in-4 and 1-in-3)." [49] In September 2009, an article titled "Generic House Polling Suggests the Republicans Could Regain the House in 2010" was published on Silver's blog, FiveThirtyEight.com.[50]
Race ratings
The following table rates the competitiveness of selected races from around the country according to noted political analysts. Races not included are currently considered safe for the incumbent's party. (Incumbents not running for re-election have parentheses around their name.)
District | Incumbent | Cook[51] | Rothenberg[52] | CQ Politics[53] | Crystal Ball[54] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
AL-2 | Bright (D) | Lean D | Tossup/Tilts R | Tossup | Tossup |
AL-5 | Griffith (R) | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R |
AK-AL | Young (R) | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R |
AZ-1 | Kirkpatrick (D) | Lean D | Safe D | Likely D | Tossup |
AZ-3 | (Shadegg) (R) | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R |
AZ-5 | Mitchell (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Leans D | Leans D |
AZ-8 | Giffords (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Likely D | Leans D |
AR-1 | (Berry) (D) | Tossup | Pure Tossup | Leans D | Leans D |
AR-2 | (Snyder) (D) | Lean R | Pure Tossup | Leans R | Leans R |
AR-4 | Ross (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
CA-3 | Lungren (R) | Lean R | Leans R | Leans R | Leans R |
CA-11 | McNerney (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Leans D | Leans D |
CA-18 | Cardoza (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
CA-20 | Costa (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
CA-44 | Calvert (R) | Likely R | R Favored | Likely R | Likely R |
CA-45 | Bono Mack (R) | Likely R | R Favored | Likely R | Likely R |
CA-47 | Sanchez (D) | Likely D | D Favored | Likely D | Likely D |
CA-50 | Bilbray (R) | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R |
CO-3 | Salazar (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Likely D | Leans D |
CO-4 | Markey (D) | Tossup | Pure Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
CO-7 | Perlmutter (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
CT-4 | Himes (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
CT-5 | C. Murphy (D) | Likely D | D Favored | Likely D | Likely D |
DE-AL | (Castle) (R) | Lean D | D Favored | Leans D | Leans D |
FL-2 | Boyd (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
FL-8 | Grayson (D) | Tossup | Tossup/Tilts R | Tossup | Leans D |
FL-12 | (Putnam) (R) | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Leans R |
FL-13 | Buchanan (R) | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R |
FL-16 | Rooney (R) | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R |
FL-21 | (L. Diaz-Balart) (R) | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R |
FL-22 | Klein (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Leans D |
FL-24 | Kosmas (D) | Tossup | Tossup/Tilts D | Tossup | Tossup |
FL-25 | M. Diaz-Balart (R) | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Leans R |
GA-8 | Marshall (D) | Likely D | D Favored | Likely D | Likely D |
GA-12 | Barrow (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
HI-1 | (Open) (D) | Tossup | Leans D | Leans D | Leans D |
ID-1 | Minnick (D) | Tossup | Tossup/Tilts R | Tossup | Tossup |
IL-8 | Bean (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D |
IL-10 | (Kirk) (R) | Tossup | Pure Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
IL-11 | Halvorson (D) | Lean D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
IL-14 | Foster (D) | Lean D | Tossup/Tilts D | Leans D | Leans D |
IN-2 | Donnelly (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Leans D |
IN-8 | (Ellsworth) (D) | Lean R | Pure Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
IN-9 | Hill (D) | Tossup | Leans D | Leans D | Tossup |
IA-1 | Braley (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
IA-2 | Loebsack (D) | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D |
IA-3 | Boswell (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Leans D | Leans D |
KS-3 | (Moore) (D) | Lean R | Tossup/Tilts R | Tossup | Leans R |
KS-4 | (Tiahrt) (R) | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R |
KY-3 | Yarmuth (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
KY-6 | Chandler (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
LA-2 | Cao (R) | Tossup | D Favored | Likely D | Leans D |
LA-3 | (Melancon) (D) | Likely R | Leans R | Leans R | Leans R |
MD-1 | Kratovil (D) | Tossup | Tossup/Tilts R | Tossup | Leans R |
MA-10 | (Delahunt) (D) | Tossup | D Favored | Leans D | Leans D |
MI-1 | (Stupak) (D) | Tossup | Pure Tossup | Tossup | Safe D |
MI-7 | Schauer (D) | Tossup | Pure Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
MI-9 | Peters (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Leans D |
MN-1 | Walz (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
MN-3 | Paulsen (R) | Solid R | R Favored | Likely R | Safe R |
MN-6 | Bachmann (R) | Likely R | R Favored | Leans R | Likely R |
MS-1 | Childers (D) | Tossup | Tossup/Tilts R | Tossup | Leans R |
MO-3 | Carnahan (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
MO-4 | Skelton (D) | Lean D | Leans D | Likely D | Likely D |
NE-2 | Terry (R) | Likely R | R Favored | Leans R | Likely R |
NV-3 | Titus (D) | Tossup | Leans D | Tossup | Tossup |
NH-1 | Shea-Porter (D) | Tossup | Pure Tossup | Leans D | Leans R |
NH-2 | (Hodes) (D) | Tossup | Pure Tossup | Tossup | Leans R |
NJ-3 | Adler (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Leans D | Leans D |
NM-1 | Heinrich (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
NM-2 | Teague (D) | Tossup | Tossup/Tilts R | Tossup | Leans R |
NY-1 | Bishop (D) | Lean D | Leans D | Likely D | Likely D |
NY-13 | McMahon (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Likely D | Likely D |
NY-19 | Hall (D) | Lean D | Leans D | Leans D | Likely D |
NY-20 | S. Murphy (D) | Likely D | D Favored | Likely D | Likely D |
NY-23 | Owens (D) | Lean D | Leans D | Leans D | Tossup |
NY-24 | Arcuri (D) | Tossup | Leans D | Leans D | Leans D |
NY-25 | Maffei (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
NY-29 | (Open) | Lean R | Pure Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
NC-8 | Kissell (D) | Likely D | D Favored | Leans D | Leans D |
NC-11 | Shuler (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
ND-AL | Pomeroy (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Leans D | Tossup |
OH-1 | Driehaus (D) | Tossup | Tossup/Tilts R | Tossup | Leans R |
OH-2 | Schmidt (R) | Likely R | R Favored | Likely R | Leans R |
OH-6 | C. Wilson (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
OH-12 | Tiberi (R) | Likely R | R Favored | Likely R | Likely R |
OH-13 | Sutton (D) | Lean D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
OH-15 | Kilroy (D) | Tossup | Tossup/Tilts R | Tossup | Leans R |
OH-16 | Boccieri (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Likely D | Leans D |
OH-18 | Space (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Leans D | Leans D |
OR-1 | Wu (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
OR-5 | Schrader (D) | Lean D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
PA-3 | Dahlkemper (D) | Lean D | Safe D | Leans D | Leans D |
PA-4 | Altmire (D) | Likely D | D Favored | Likely D | Likely D |
PA-6 | Gerlach (R) | Lean R | Leans R | Leans R | Likely R |
PA-7 | (Sestak) (D) | Tossup | Pure Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
PA-8 | P. Murphy (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Likely D | Tossup |
PA-10 | Carney (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Leans D | Leans D |
PA-11 | Kanjorski (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Leans D | Tossup |
PA-12 | (Open) | Tossup | D Favored | Tossup | Tossup |
PA-15 | Dent (R) | Lean R | R Favored | Leans R | Leans R |
PA-17 | Holden (D) | Likely D | D Favored | Likely D | Likely D |
RI-1 | (Kennedy) (D) | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
SC-1 | (Brown) (R) | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R |
SC-2 | J. Wilson (R) | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R |
SC-5 | Spratt (D) | Lean D | Leans D | Leans D | Leans D |
SD-AL | Herseth Sandlin (D) | Likely D | D Favored | Likely D | Tossup |
TN-4 | Davis (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D |
TN-6 | (Gordon) (D) | Likely R | Leans R | Safe R | Leans R |
TN-8 | (Tanner) (D) | Tossup | Pure Tossup | Tossup | Leans R |
TX-17 | Edwards (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Likely D | Leans D |
TX-23 | Rodriguez (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
VA-2 | Nye (D) | Tossup | Tossup/Tilts D | Leans D | Tossup |
VA-5 | Perriello (D) | Tossup | Tossup/Tilts R | Tossup | Tossup |
VA-9 | Boucher (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Likely D | Likely D |
VA-11 | Connolly (D) | Lean D | Safe D | Likely D | Leans D |
WA-2 | Larsen (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
WA-3 | (Baird) (D) | Tossup | Pure Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
WA-8 | Reichert (R) | Likely R | Leans R | Leans R | Leans R |
WV-1 | Mollohan (D) | Tossup | Leans D | Likely D | Likely D |
WV-3 | Rahall (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
WI-3 | Kind (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
WI-7 | Obey (D) | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D |
WI-8 | Kagen (D) | Lean D | D Favored | Leans D | Likely D |
Races by state
Template:Congress TOC states 1
See also: Swing District
Alabama
- Alabama's 2nd congressional district: Freshman Democrat Bobby Bright, the former Mayor of Montgomery, defeated Republican State Representative Jay Love by fewer than 1,800 votes in 2008, helped by a bitter Republican primary.[55] There has been speculation that Bright, who intends to run for reelection, would run as a Republican, but he has denied the rumors.[56] Republican Montgomery City Councilwoman Martha Roby has announced she will challenge him.[57] Businessman Rick Barber has formed an exploratory committee to weigh running on the Republican side.[58] This southeastern Alabama district includes most of the city of Montgomery, as well as Troy and Dothan. An internal poll commissioned by Bright's campaign had him leading Roby 54% to 30% and leading other Republican challengers by slightly wider margins.[59] John McCain won 63.42% of the vote here in 2008.[60] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+16).[61]
- Alabama's 5th congressional district: Freshman Parker Griffith recently switched parties to become a Republican. He will face a challenge from Navy veteran Lester Phillip and Madison County Commissioner Morris Brooks in the primaries.[62] Potential Democratic candidates include Madison County Commissioner Bob Harrison, political consultant Steve Raby, developer Jeff Enfinger, county License Director Mark Craig, state Representative Randy Hinshaw, former state Senate candidate Anthony Daniels, state school board member Mary Jane Caylor, state agriculture commissioner Ron Sparks, and public service commission member Susan Parker.[63] This northern Alabama district includes Huntsville, Scottsoro, Decatur, and Florence.[64] John McCain won 61% here in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+12).[61]
- Alabama's 7th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Artur Davis is running for Governor of Alabama.[9] Five Democrats have announced their candidacies: Terri Sewell, an attorney; State Representatives Earl Hilliard, Jr., the son of the district's former representative, Earl Hilliard; Jefferson County Commissioner Shelia Smoot; Martha Bozeman, an attorney; and Eddison Walters, a small business owner from Tuscaloosa.[65] The district, which includes the west central part of the state and includes Selma and Demopolis, as well as most of the cities of Birmingham and Tuscaloosa, gave Barack Obama 71% of the vote in 2008.[66] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+18).[61]
Alaska
- Alaska's at-large congressional district: Republican incumbent Don Young defeated then-Lieutenant Governor (and current Governor) Sean Parnell by 304 votes in the 2008 Republican primary and former Alaska House of Representatives Minority Leader Ethan Berkowitz by five points in the general election. Young is running for reelection,[67] but any opposing candidates may be aided by the fact that because of an ongoing federal investigation, Young has lost his status as ranking member on the House Natural Resources Committee.[68] Before moving to the general election, Young will have to face off in a primary with businessman Andrew Halcro.[69] Democratic State Representative Harry Crawford will run to unseat Young.[69] Party strategists believe that Democrats have a chance here in 2010 because former Governor Sarah Palin will not be on the ballot as the GOP vice presidential nominee.[69] The district includes the entire state of Alaska. A Public Policy Polling poll taken on January 27–28 showed Young leading Crawford 49% to 34%.[70] John McCain won 59% here in 2008.[71] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+13).[61]
Arizona
- Arizona's 1st congressional district: Freshman Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick will face a challenge from former State Senator Rusty Bowers[72] and attorney Bradley Beauchamp.[73] The district includes northern and eastern Arizona including Flagstaff, Prescott, Payson, and some of the Navajo Native American reservation.[74] Native son John McCain won 54% here in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+6).[61]
- Arizona's 3rd congressional district: Incumbent Republican John Shadegg announced that he would not seek reelection in 2010 after having reconsidered about retiring in the last election cycle.[23] Phoenix lawyer Jon Hulburd is the only Democrat and has raised significant funds.[75] State Senators Jim Waring, and Pamela Goring, state Representative Sam Crump, and Paradise Valley Mayors Ed Winkler and Vernon Parker are running for the Republican nomination.[76] Ben Quayle and Steve Mook also are declared Republican candidates. This district includes the northern part of Phoenix, as well as the communties of Paradise Valley, Desert Bell, Cave Creek, and Anthem. Native son McCain won 56% of the vote in this district in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+9).[61]
- Arizona's 5th congressional district: In 2008, Democratic incumbent Harry Mitchell defeated his Republican opponent, former Maricopa County Treasurer David Schweikert, 53% to 44%. Schweikert has filed paperwork in order to run again, and will face businessman Jim Ward and Trauma Surgeon/Former Military Lt Col Dr. Chris Salvino in the primary.[77] Other potential Republican candidates include former State Representative Susan Bitter Smith who was defeated in the 2008 primary by Schweikert, Mayor Hugh Hallman of Tempe.[78] The district, which includes Scottsdale, Tempe, Fountain Hills, Tortilla Flat, and small parts of Phoenix and Mesa, gave native son John McCain 52% of the vote in 2008.[79] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+5).[61]
- Arizona's 8th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Gabrielle Giffords is facing a challenge from Republicans Brian Miller, an A-10 Instructor Pilot in the Air Force Reserves; Jesse Kelly, a construction company executive and former Marine Iraq War combat veteran; veteran Andy Goss and state Senator Jonathan Paton.[80] This southeastern Arizona district includes Cochise County and part of Tucson and its northern suburbs including Oro Valley, Cortaro, and Marana.[81] Native son John McCain won 52% here in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+4).[61]
Arkansas
- Arkansas's 1st congressional district: Democratic incumbent Marion Berry has announced his retirement after six terms. Republican Rick Crawford, a regional agri news network owner and former TV broadcaster, has announced his candidacy for the position [11]. Among Democrats, Chad Causey, who is Berry's Chief of Staff, has announced his candidacy [12], as have state Senator Steve Bryles, former state Senator Tim Wooldridge [13], and Mountain Home businessman Ben Ponder [14]. McCain won 59% of the vote in this district in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+8).[61]
- Arkansas's 2nd congressional district: Democratic incumbent Vic Snyder will retire in 2010.[11] State House Speaker Robbie Wills, state Senator Joyce Elliott, former Snyder Chief of Staff Dave Boling, and Assistant Arkansas Attorney General John Adams are the announced Democratic candidates.[82] Former U.S. Attorney Tim Griffin, who is viewed as the favorite in the primary, will face restaurateur Scott Wallace for the Republican nomination.[83] This central Arkansas district includes Little Rock. McCain won 54% of the vote in 2008.[84] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+5).[61]
- Arkansas's 3rd congressional district: Republican incumbent John Boozman has announced his intentions to run for the U.S. Senate [15]. Announced Republican candidates include retired military officer Bernie Skoch, Rogers Mayor Steve Womack, State Senator Cecile Bledsoe, and former D.E.A. Agent Steve Lowry [16]. McCain won 64% of the vote in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+16).[61]
California
- California's 3rd congressional district: Republican incumbent Dan Lungren defeated his Democratic challenger Bill Durston 49% to 44% in 2008. Amerish Bera, a physician, is running for this seat as a Democrat.[85] Libertarian Art Tuma is also running.[86] The district includes the Sacramento County suburbs of Carmichael, Citrus Heights, Fair Oaks, and Elk Grove. In 2008, Barack Obama narrowly won this district with 49.4% compared to 48.8% for John McCain.[87] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+6).[61]
- California's 11th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Jerry McNerney is facing a challenge from six Republicans who will compete in a primary election to determine the general election candidate. The candidates are Brad Goehring, a winegrape grower; Tony Amador, the former U.S. Marshal under former President George W. Bush; Jeff Takada, a high school teacher; Elizabeth Emken, a businesswoman; David Harmer, a businessman; and Robert Beadles, a construction company owner.[88] The district includes the inland East San Francisco Bay Area suburbs of Danville, San Ramon, Pleasanton, and the northern San Joaquin Valley. Barack Obama received 54% of the vote here in 2008.[89] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+1).[61]
- California's 19th congressional district: Eight-term Republican incumbent George Radanovich has announced that he would not be a candidate for reelection, in part due to his wife's illness.[24] Former Congressman Richard Pombo, state Senator Jeff Denham, and former Fresno Mayor Jim Patterson are running for the Republican nomination. Another potential candidate includes Fresno City Councilman Larry Westerlund.[90] This district includes the Central Valley, and parts of Fresno, Modesto, Turlock, and Madera. An internal poll by Public Opinion Strategies commissioned by Denham showed him defeating Pumbo in the Republican primary 28% to 12%.[91] McCain won 52% here in 2008.[92] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+9).[61]
- California's 33rd congressional district: Five-term Democratic incumbent Diane Watson has announced that she will retire at the age of 76. Attorney Felton Newell, an Assistant Los Angeles City Attorney, is running and former state Assembly Speaker Karen Bass is likely to run [17]. This district includes the Los Angeles suburbs of Culver City, Baldwin Hills, and Ladera Heights, and portions of Los Angeles itself, including Los Feliz, Silver Lake, and Hancock Park. Obama carried this district with 87% in 2008 (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+35).[61]
- California's 36th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Jane Harman has become embroiled in a controversy where she allegedly agreed to help two former American Israel Public Affairs Committee officials accused of espionage. Harman is facing a primary challenge from teacher and party activist Marcy Winograd, who challenged her in 2006 and received 38% of the vote.[93] Blogger John Amato is also considering running in the Democratic primary.[94] This coastal Los Angeles County district includes Manhattan Beach, Torrance, Redondo Beach, and parts of the city of Los Angeles including San Pedro and Venice.[95] Barack Obama won this district with a hefty 64% in 2008.[89] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+12).[61]
- California's 44th congressional district: Republican incumbent Ken Calvert defeated Democratic challenger Bill Hedrick by a slim 51% to 49% margin in 2008, despite Hedrick's being heavily outspent. Hedrick has announced he will seek a rematch. Calvert has announced he will seek reelection[96] and will face a primary challenge from Chris Riggs, a real estate broker.[97] A poll commissioned by the Hedrick campaign showed Calvert leading Hedrick 49% to 35% despite the fact that the same poll showed that 41% of voters perfered someone else compared with 38% who would re-elect the incumbent.[91] This district, which includes Riverside, Norco, and Corona, was close in 2008: Barack Obama won 49.5% of the vote to John McCain's 48.6%.[98] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+6).[61]
- California's 45th congressional district: Republican incumbent Mary Bono Mack is facing a challenge from Palm Springs Mayor Steve Pougnet, a Democrat and an openly gay man.[99] Former State Assemblywoman and 2008 Democratic nominee Julie Bornstein may run again:[100] Bono Mack defeated Bornstein 58.3% to 41.7% in 2008. Considered vulnerable by national Republicans, Bono Mack has been enlisted in a program to receive financial support.[101] The district includes the cities of Moreno Valley, Hemet, Palm Springs, Cathedral City, Rancho Mirage, and Indio. Barack Obama won 52% of the vote in this district in 2008.[102] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+3).[61]
- California's 47th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Loretta Sanchez will run for reelection.[103] State Assemblyman Van Tran and former marine pilot Quang Pham will run for the Republican nomination to face Sanchez in the general election.[104] This Orange County district includes the cities of Santa Ana, Garden Grove and most of Anaheim. Barack Obama won 60% of the vote here in 2008.[105] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+4).[61]
- California's 50th congressional district: Republican incumbent Brian Bilbray is facing a challenge from two Democrats: Tracy Emblem, an attorney and former Cardiff School Board Trustee Francine Busby.[106] Bilbray defeated Busby 53% to 43.5% in 2006.[107] Bilbray is expected to be targeted for defeat by national Democrats.[108] Former prosecutor and 2008 Democratic nominee Nick Leibham may run again;[109] Bilbray defeated Leibham 50.2% to 45.2% in 2008. The district includes the northern parts of the city of San Diego, Solana Beach, Encinitas, Escondido, San Marcos, and Carlsbad. Barack Obama won 51% of the vote here in 2008.[107] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+3).[61]
Colorado
- Colorado's 3rd congressional district: Democratic incumbent John Salazar is facing a challenge from two Republicans: State Representative Scott Tipton, and Bob McConnell, a retired lawyer.[110] This district includes the Western Slope as well as Pueblo. John McCain narrowly carried the district with less than 50% of the vote in 2008.[111] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+5).[61]
- Colorado's 4th congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Betsy Markey is likely to face a spirited Republican challenge in 2010.[112] On the Republican side, University of Colorado Regent Tom Lucero, State Representative Cory Gardner, Fort Collins City Councilman Diggs Brown,[113] and Dean Madere, a heating company worker, are running.[114] The district includes the cities of Fort Collins, Loveland, Greeley, Fort Morgan, and Lamar. John McCain narrowly carried the district with less than 50% of the vote in 2008.[115] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+6).[61]
- Colorado's 7th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Ed Perlmutter is serving his second term in this district. Lawyer Lang Sias and Aurora City Councilman Ryan Frazier and are running for the Republican nomination.[116] Republican music promoter Jimmy Lakey has filed an exploratory committee to consider running.[117] This district includes the Denver suburbs of Aurora, Arvada, and Lakewood. Barack Obama won 59% of the vote here in 2008.[118] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+4).[61]
Connecticut
- Connecticut's 4th congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Jim Himes is facing a challenge from State Senator Dan Debicella, former State Senator Rob Russo, financial industry veteran Rob Merkle, political newcomer Will Gregory,[119] and former mayoral candidate Rick Torres.[120] This southwestern Connecticut seat includes Bridgeport, Fairfield, Westport, Norwalk, and Stamford. Barack Obama won this district with a hefty 60% of the vote in 2008.[121] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+5).[61]
- Connecticut's 5th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Chris Murphy is facing a challenge from three Republicans: Justin Bernier, the former executive director of Connecticut's Office of Military Affairs; State Senator Sam Caligiuri, and businessman Mark Greenberg.[122] The district consists of northwestern Connecticut and includes the cities of New Britain, Danbury, and most of Waterbury. Barack Obama won 56% of the vote here in 2008.[123] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+2).[61]
Delaware
- Delaware's at-large congressional district: Republican incumbent Mike Castle is retiring to run for the U.S. Senate seat that is being vacated by Democrat Ted Kaufman.[25] Former Lieutenant Governor John C. Carney, Jr. has announced his Democratic candidacy for this seat.[124] Carney will be challenged in the Democratic primary by Scott Spencer, a transportation consultant.[125] Businessman Fred Cullis has announced his candidacy as a Republican, claiming he would be an "independent voice for Delaware."[126] Former Republican State Senator Charlie Copeland is contemplating a run. A recent poll shows Carney leading both Cullis and Copeland.[127] The district, which consists of the entire state of Delaware, gave Barack Obama 62% of the vote in 2008.[128] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+7).[61]
Florida
- Florida's 2nd congressional district: Democratic incumbent Allen Boyd will face a primary challenge from State Senate Minority Leader Alfred Lawson, Jr. and also from Florida Whig Party candidate Paul C. McKain.[129] Two Republicans will face off for their party's nomination: Charles Ranson, an attorney; and Steve Southerland, a funeral home owner.[130] This district in the eastern Florida Panhandle, which includes most of Tallahassee as well as Panama City, gave John McCain 54% of the vote in 2008.[131] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+6).[61]. Boyd voted for the health care reform bill in Congress, passed on March 21, 2010.
- Florida's 8th congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Alan Grayson unseated Republican incumbent Ric Keller in 2008 52% to 48%. Known for his tough questioning of people involved in the current financial crisis, Grayson was reportedly the victim of a Ponzi scheme, in which he reportedly lost millions of dollars.[132] He has also been at odds with his hometown newspaper, the Orlando Sentinel.[133] Notorious for his comment about the Republican health care plans, Grayson has suggested they are about making sick people "die quickly", and called the inability to fix the American health care system "the holocaust in America".[134] Grayson has threatened a local critic with jail time, and referred to conservative talk show host Rush Limbaugh as a "has-been hypocrite loser" who "was more lucid when he was a drug addict."[135] While on MSNBC, Grayson referred to former Republican Vice President Dick Cheney as a "vampire" with "blood that drips from his teeth". He called a Federal Reserve senior advisor "K Street Whore" and suggested citizens wanted "A congressman with guts". Republicans running so far include state Representative Kurt Kelly; Dan Fanelli, a former pilot; Patricia Sullivan, GOP activist; Ken Miller, a doctor; 2008 GOP candidate Todd Long; and Armando Gutierrez, an entrepreneur.[136] National Republicans are trying to recruit businessman Bruce O'Donoghue into this race.[137] On February 8, 2010, O'Donoghue announced that he is running against Grayson.[138] The candidates remaining are not the candidates the Republican Party has initially suggested they would like to see run.[139] This central Florida district includes most of Orlando as well as its suburbs of Conway and Ocoee. Barack Obama won 52% of vote here in 2008.[140] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+2).[61]
- Florida's 10th congressional district: Republican incumbent Bill Young is facing a challenge from Democratic State Senator Charlie Justice.[141] Local tea party activist Eric Forcade has announced his intentions to challenge Young in the Republican primary.[142] Since Young raised a meager $4,500 in the third quarter of 2009, there is some speculation that he will retire.[143] While Young has not decided whether to run again, he has stated he is not planning to retire.[144] This district includes most of Pinellas County, including parts of St. Petersburg, Pinellas Park, Seminole, and Largo. Barack Obama won 52% of the vote here in 2008.[145] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+1).[61]
- Florida's 12th congressional district: Republican incumbent Adam Putnam is vacating this seat in order to run for Florida Commissioner of Agriculture.[26] Former State Representative Dennis A. Ross is running as a Republican for this seat[146] and will be joined in the primary by Polk County Commissioner Randy Wilkinson[147] and Thomas Snyder, a banker.[148] Another potential Republican candidate is Polk County State's Attorney Jerry Hill.[149] On the Democratic side, Doug Tudor, a retired United States Navy chief[150] and Polk County Elections Supervisor Lori Edwards are running,[151] and perhaps former State Senator Rick Dantzler as well.[150] This district includes most of Polk County and southeastern Hillsborough County. John McCain won 50% of the vote here in 2008.[152] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+6).[61]
- Florida's 13th congressional district: Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan has announced that he will run for reelection. Democrats heavily targeted this seat in 2006 and 2008, and may do so again.[153] Reverend James Golden, a Democrat, has announced his candidacy.[154] This district includes Sarasota County and most of Manatee County: John McCain won 52% of the vote here in 2008.[155] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+6).[61]
- Florida's 16th congressional district: Freshman Republican incumbent Tom Rooney will face a challenge from St. Lucie County Commissioner Christopher Craft.[156] This South Central Florida district includes Jupiter, Port St. Lucie, and Fort Pierce, as well as parts of Port Charlotte and Wellington.[157] John McCain won 52% of the vote here in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+5).[61]
- Florida's 17th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Kendrick Meek is running for the U.S. Senate.[12] The announced Democratic candidates are Leroy Adam, a Miami-Dade County public school teacher; former state Representative Phillip Brutus; State Senator Frederica Wilson; Miami Gardens City Councilman Andre Williams, Miami Gardens Mayor Shirley Gibson; State Representative Yolly Roberson; Marleine Bastien, community activist; Roderick Vereen, attorney; and physician Rudolph Moise.[158] Teacher Corey Poitier is the lone announced Republican candidate.[158] This district, which includes the north side of Miami as well as Opa-Locka, North Miami, Carol City, Miramar and the western portion of Hollywood, gave Barack Obama a whopping 87% of the vote in 2008.[159] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+34).[61]
- Florida's 19th congressional district: Robert Wexler resigned from Congress effective the evening of January 3, 2010, to become president of the Washington-based Center for Middle East Peace and Economic Cooperation. Florida's 19th congressional district special election, 2010 was held February 2, 2010. State Senator Ted Deutch won the Democratic nomination. Edward Lynch, an entrepreneur, won the Republican nomination. Jim McCormick, small business owner, is running as an Independent. The general election is on April 6, 2010. Obama won 65% in this district in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+15).[61]
- Florida's 21st congressional district: On February 11, nine-term Republican incumbent Lincoln Diaz-Balart announced that he would not be a candidate for reelection, and this was immediately followed by the news that his brother, Congressman Mario Diaz-Balart, would move from the adjoining district that he currently represents into this district in hopes of being its next Congressman.[160] This district is located immediately west of Miami and includes the communities of Hialeah, Miami Springs, Doral, Sweetwater, Olympia Heights, Sunset, and Cutler. McCain won 51% of the vote in this district in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+5).[61]
- Florida's 24th congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Suzanne Kosmas is facing a challenge from three Republicans so far: Edward W. Dedelow, a CPA, economist and author; Winter Park City Commissioner Karen Diebel, and State Representative Sandy Adams. Former Winter Springs Mayor Paul Partyka is challenging Kosmas in the primary.[161] This east central Florida district includes the Orlando suburbs of Winter Springs and Winter Park, as well as part of the Space Coast, including Port Orange, Edgewater, and Titusville. John McCain won 51% of the vote here in 2008.[162] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+4).[61]
- Florida's 25th congressional district: Republican incumbent Mario Diaz-Balart had a difficult reelection in 2008, winning 53% to 47% percent against Joe Garcia, the former chair of the Metro-Dade Democratic Party. On February 11, Diaz-Balart turned this into an open seat when he announced that he would be a candidate in a neighboring district currently represented by his brother, Congressman Lincoln Diaz-Balart [18]. Possible Republican candidates to succeed Diaz-Balart in this district include state Representative David Rivera, a close ally of the Diaz-Balart brothers, state Representative Anitere Flores, state Senate Majority Leader Alex Diaz de la Portilla, state Senator Alex Villalobos, and Carlos Curbelo, an aide to interim U.S. Senator George LeMieux [19]. Among Democrats, Garcia may seek a rematch in 2010.[163] This southwestern Florida district consists of Collier County, Monroe County, and western Miami Dade County and includes the communities of Cutler Ridge, Leisure City, and Homestead, as well as the Florida Everglades. John McCain narrowly carried the district with less than 50% of the vote in 2008.[164] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+5).[61]
Georgia
- Georgia's 9th congressional district: Republican incumbent Nathan Deal is retiring to run for Governor of Georgia.[43] Announced candidates on the Republican side include former State Senator Bill Stephens; State Senator Lee Hawkins; Jeremy Jones, conservative activist; Mike Cowan, a county district commissioner; and State Representative Tom Graves.[165] Other potential Republican candidates include radio talk show host Martha Zoller; State Representative James Mills; State Senators Chip Pearson, David Ralston[166] and Lee Hawkins; and former U.S. Representative of Georgia's 12th congressional district and teacher Max Burns.[167] Gainesville resident Eugene Moon will be running as an Independent.[168] This Northern Georgia district includes Gainesville, La Fayette, and Dalton.[169] At the presidential level, this is the fourth most Republican district in the country: John McCain won a whopping 75% of the vote here in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+28).[61]
- Georgia's 12th congressional district: While Democratic incumbent John Barrow was reelected by a margin of 66% to 34% percentin 2008,[170] he faced a very close race in 2006, being reelected by a margin of less than 1%.[171] Former Thunderbolt City Councilman and current town fire chief Carl Smith and Jeanne Seaver, a Republican activist from Savannah have announced that they will challenge Barrow.[172] Other potential Republican candidates include State Representatives Jon Burns and Bob Lane.[173] The district, which includes Statesboro, Vidalia, and Milledgeville, as well as most of the cities of Augusta and Savannah, gave Barack Obama 54% of the vote in 2008.[174] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+1).[61]
Hawaii
- Hawaii's 1st congressional district: Democratic incumbent Neil Abercrombie is vacating this seat in order to run for Governor of Hawaii.[175] On the Democratic side, former U.S. Representative from Hawaii's 2nd congressional district Ed Case and State Senate President Colleen Hanabusa have announced their intention to run.[176] In addition, state Senator Will Espero has formed an exploratory to run [20]. On the Republican side, Honolulu City Councilman Charles Djou has announced his candidacy and has secured the backing of much of the state's Republican establishment, including Governor Linda Lingle.[177] This district is based on the island of Oahu and includes Honolulu, Waipahu, Waimalu, and Pearl City. The district strongly favored Barack Obama with 70% of the vote in 2008, though in 2004 Republican George W. Bush was able to win 47% of the vote,[178] giving Republicans some small hope that they can win the district in 2010.[179] A recent poll conducted by Star-Bulletin/KITV shows Case leading with 37%, Hanabusa in second with 25%, Djou in third with 17%, 21% currently undecided.[180](Cook Partisan Voting Index D+11).[61]
Idaho
- Idaho's 1st congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Walt Minnick unseated Republican incumbent Bill Sali by a narrow margin of 51% to 49% in 2008, becoming the first Democrat to be elected from Idaho since Larry LaRocco was unseated in the Republican Revolution of 1994. Iraq War veteran Vaughn Ward is running for the seat and has received the endorsement of John McCain.[181] Physicist Allan Salzberg and State Representative Raul Labrador have announced that they will challenge Ward in the Republican primary.[182] Sali is considering running again;[183] other Republicans considering the race are State Senator John McGee; former Idaho State Controller Keith Johnson; and current Idaho Attorney General Lawrence Wasden.[184] The district, which includes the western parts of the state including the Panhandle and the cities of Moscow, Nampa, Caldwell, Coeur d'Alene and most of Boise, strongly backed John McCain with 62% of the vote in 2008.[185] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+18).[61]
Illinois
- Illinois's 8th congressional district: Democrat Melissa Bean has represented this district since 2005. She won re-election with 60% of the vote. George W. Bush carried her district in 2004 with 55% of the vote, while Barack Obama carried her district with 56% of the vote in 2008. Bean's Republican opponent in 2010 is businessman and conservative activist Joe Walsh. This affluent district includes the suburbs of Schaumburg, Palatine, Mundelein, and Zion. A February We Ask America poll had Walsh leading the incumbent 38.33% to 37.61%.[186] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+1) [61]
- Illinois's 10th congressional district: Republican Mark Kirk is retiring to run for the U.S. Senate. In 2008, Kirk defeated businessman and liberal activist Dan Seals with 53% of the vote. In 2004, John Kerry carried the district with 52%, while in 2008 Obama carried the district with 61% of the vote. For the open seat, businessman Robert Dold won a crowded Republican primary, while Dan Seals won the Democratic primary with a small margin. A February We Ask America poll had Seals leading Dold 40% to 37%.[186] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+6) [61]
- Illinois's 11th congressional district: Democrat Debbie Halvorson is a Freshman congresswoman who represents the most conservative district held by a Democrat in Illinois. She won the open seat in 2008 with 59% of the vote. In 2004, Bush carried her district with 53%, while Obama carried the district in 2008 with the same amount. Her Republican opponent in 2010 is military veteran and county board member Adam Kinzinger. Two recent polls show Halvorson trailing Kinzinger. A February We Ask America poll had Kinzinger leading Halvorson 42% to 30%.[186] A March Public Opinion Strategies poll had Kinzinger leading Halvorson 44% to 38%.[187] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+1).[61]
- Illinois's 14th congressional district: Democrat Bill Foster is a Freshman congressman who is running for re-election. He won the open seat in 2008 with 53% of the vote. In 2004, Bush carried his district with 55%, while Obama carried the district in 2008 with the same amount. His Republican opponent in 2010 is State Senator Randy Hultgren. A February We Ask America poll had Hultgren leading Foster 38% to 37%.[186] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+1).[61]
- Illinois's 17th congressional district: Democrat Phil Hare is the incumbent second-term congressman running for re-election. Hare was elected in 2006 with 57% of the vote and was unopposed in 2008. Republican Bobby Schilling is the challenger. Democrats carried the district in each of the last three presidential elections. A February 2010 poll showed Hare leading Schilling 39% to 32%, with 26% undecided.[188] A blog post by conservative news magazine National Review called the race competitive, saying, "This is not a seat that has been on most analysts' lists of likely competitive races."[189] Schilling outraised Hare in individual contributions in the fourth quarter of 2009, raising $53,567 to Hare's $49,420.[190] Out of 64,141 total votes cast in each party for the February 2nd Illinois primary, Hare took 32,496 votes (50.66%) to Schilling's 31,645 (49.34%).[191][192]
Indiana
- Indiana's 2nd congressional district: Democratic incumbent Joe Donnelly will face a challenge from Republican State Representative Jackie Wolarski.[193] This north central Indiana district includes South Bend, Mishawaka, LaPorte, Michigan City, Elkhart, and parts of Kokomo. Barack Obama won 54% of the vote here in 2008.[194] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+2).[61]
- Indiana's 4th congressional district: Republican incumbent Steve Buyer announced on January 29, 2010, that he would not seek reelection.[195] Todd Rokita, the Republican Secretary of State of Indiana, filed his candidacy on February 2, and Republican State Senator Brandt Hershman intends to do so. Cheryle Denise Allen of Martinsville and Mark Seitz of Indianapolis have also filed to run for the Republican nomination.[196] McCain carried this district with 56% in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+14).[61]
- Indiana's 5th congressional district: Republican incumbent Dan Burton defeated former Marion County Coroner John McGoff in the Republican primary 52-45 percent in 2008, leading some to consider him vulnerable to a primary challenge. As result, Burton is increasing his fundraising and announced he will run for reelection.[197] Former Republican candidate Brose McVey, Indiana Republican Party Executive Director Luke Messer, State Representative Mike Murphy, and 2008 primary challenger John McGoff have all formally announced their intention to run.[198] A Public Opinion Strategies poll showed Burton leading in the Republican primary with 43% of the vote against Messer in second with 9%, McVey and McGoff each with 8%, Murphy with 4%, and teacher Andy Lyons in last with 2%. Twenty-six percent of likely voters were still undecided according to the poll.[199] The east-central Indiana district, which includes suburban Hamilton County and Hancock County, and parts of Indianapolis itself, gave John McCain 59% of the vote in 2008.[200] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+17).[61]
- Indiana's 8th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Brad Ellsworth is expected to run for the open senate seat of Evan Bayh. This opens up a competitive race in this district, which supported the Presidential bids of Republicans George W. Bush and John McCain. The Republican nominee will be decided from a crowded primary field. The Democratic party leadership will need to name a successor nominee for Ellsworth. McCain won 51% in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+8). Cook's prediction of an 8-percent Republican advantage (54-46%) would represent an 18.7% swing towards Republicans in this district from the 2008 result.[61]
- Indiana's 9th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Baron Hill has won in this district since 1998, except for in 2004, when he lost to Republican Mike Sodrel by 1,425 votes. Hill narrowly regained his seat from Sodrel in 2006 and won another race with Sodrel in 2008 by a wider margin. However, Sodrel will seek another rematch, and he will be challenged in the primary by attorney Todd Young.[201] This southeastern Indiana district includes Bloomington and New Albany.[202] John McCain narrowly carried the district with less than 50% of the vote in 2008. In the most recent polling, Hill leads Sodrel 43% to 42% according to a Sodrel poll.[203](Cook Partisan Voting Index R+6).[61]
Iowa
- Iowa's 3rd congressional district: Democratic incumbent Leonard L. Boswell is running for reelection[204] and will face a challenge from State Senator Brad Zaun; Dave Funk, an aviation consultant; Jim Gibbons, a former wrestling coach at Iowa State University; and Mark Rees, retired architect.[205] Another possible Republican who may run is former Iowa Republican Party Chairman Michael Mahaffey. Boswell defeated Mahaffey for this seat in 1996, winning 49.3% to 47.6%.[206] The district includes the central and east central portion of Iowa, including Des Moines and its surrounding areas.[207] Barack Obama captured 54% of the vote here in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+1).[61]
Kansas
- Kansas's 1st congressional district: Republican incumbent Jerry Moran has announced that he will run for Sam Brownback's open U.S. Senate seat.[31] Six Republicans have entered the race: State Senator Tim Huelskamp; State Senator and 2006 Republican nominee for Governor Jim Barnett; Rob Wasinger, the former chief-of-staff to Sen. Sam Brownback; Sue Boldra, a college instructor; Tracey Mann, a real estate agent;[208] and former Salina Mayor Monte Shadwick.[209] The district, commonly referred to as the Big First, encompasses much of western Kansas and includes Salina, Hutchinson, and Dodge City and solidly backed John McCain with 69% of the vote in 2008.[210] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+23).[61]
- Kansas's 2nd congressional district: Freshman Republican incumbent Lynn Jenkins is facing a primary challenge from state Senator Daniel Pyle, who doesn't think she is conservative enough.[211] A controversial video of Jenkins has surfaced in which she says that the Republican Party needed a "Great White Hope." This district includes eastern parts of Kansas including Topeka, Manhattan, and Leavenworth. John McCain won 55% of the vote here in 2008.[212] (Cook Partisan Voting Index] R+9).[61]
- Kansas's 3rd congressional district: Democratic incumbent Dennis Moore will retire instead of run for reelection.[13] Former State Representative Patricia Lightner, Daniel Gilyeat, and John Rysavy, Tom Scherer, 2008 candidate and former state Senator Nick Jordan, and state Representative Kevin Yoder are running for the Republican nomination. state Representative Pat Colloton is exploring a bid on the Republican side. In late March 2010, Rep. Moore's wife, Stephene Moore, announced her candidacy for the seat, making her an early favorite to win the Democratic primary on August 3.[213] Kansas City Mayor Joe Reardon is a potential Democratic candidate.[214] Jasmin Talbert is running a third party candidacy as a Libertarian.[215] The urban district consists of the Kansas City region including Overland Park and eastern Lawrence.[216] Barack Obama narrowly carried the district with 51% of the vote in 2008, but lost Johnson County, home to more than three-quarters of the district's residents. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+3).[61]
- Kansas's 4th congressional district: Republican incumbent Todd Tiahrt has announced that he will run for Kansas's open U.S. Senate seat.[32] Announced Republican candidates include State Senators Dick Kelsey and Jean Schodorf;[217] Republican National Committeeman Mike Pompeo; Jim Anderson, businessman;[218], and Willis Hartman, an oilman from Wichita.[219] Retired court service officer Robert Tillman and State Representative Raj Goyle will run in the Democratic primary.[220] Goyle raised more than four times any Republican vying for the seat in the third fundraising quarter of 2009.[221] The district, which encompasses south centrel Kansas including Wichita, Newton, and Arkansas City, gave John McCain a solid 58% of the vote in 2008.[222] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+14) [61]
Kentucky
Louisiana
- Louisiana's 2nd congressional district: Freshman Republican Anh “Joseph” Cao defeated indicted Democratic incumbent William Jefferson in 2008.[223] Democratic State Representative Cedric Richmond, who unsuccessfully ran against Jefferson in the Democratic primary in 2008,[224] and State Representative Juan LaFonta have announced that they will run.[225] Democratic State Senator Cheryl Gray may also run.[226] This heavily urban and African American New Orleans-based district gave Barack Obama a whopping 75% of the vote in 2008.[227] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+25).[61]
- Louisiana's 3rd congressional district: Democratic incumbent Charlie Melancon is vacating this seat in order to run for the U.S. Senate in 2010.[228] Republican professor and businessman Dr. Kristian Magar, and lawyer Jeff Landry will compete against each other in the primary. State Rep. Nickie Monica backed out of the race. [229] Attorney Ravi Sangisetty has announced his candidacy as a Democrat.[230] Other potential Republican candidates include former Speaker of the Louisiana House of Representatives Hunt Downer, Plaquemines Parish President Billy Nungesser, St. John's Parish President Bill Hubbard, and Lafourche Parish President Charlotte Randolph. On the Democratic side, potential candidates include State Representatives Fred Mills, Damon Baldone, and Gary Smith. Additionally, both parties are trying to recruit Scott Angelle, a Democrat who serves as Republican Governor Bobby Jindal's natural resources secretary.[231] This south-central Louisiana district includes Acadia and Cajun Country and the cities of New Iberia, Houma, Thibodaux, and Laplace.[232] John McCain won a decisive 61% of the vote here in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+12).[61]
Maine
- Maine's 2nd congressional district: Four-term Blue Dog Democratic incumbent Mike Michaud is considering running for Governor of Maine.[233] Businessman Jason Levesque will seek the Republican nomination.[234] This district is the largest in the Northeast and encompasses the northern and western parts of the state including the cities of Lewiston, Bangor, and Presque Isle. Barack Obama won 55% of the vote here in 2008.[235] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+3).[61]
Maryland
- Maryland's 1st congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Frank M. Kratovil, Jr. defeated Republican State Senator Andy Harris by a narrow margin of 49% to 48% in 2008,[236] helped by a bitter Republican primary in which Harris unseated moderate Republican Wayne Gilchrest, who proceeded to endorse Kratovil in the general election. Harris, businessman Grady Romblad, and Jefferson Ghrist will face off in the Republican primary.[237] Other potential Republican candidates include State Senator EJ Pipkin, whom Harris defeated in the 2008 Republican primary;[238] former Maryland House of Delegates Majority Leader Alfred Redmer; State Senator Richard F. Colburn;[239] Anne Arundel County Executive John R. Leopold; and State Delegate Jeannie Haddaway-Riccio.[240][241] The district, which consists of Maryland's Eastern Shore as well as part of Anne Arundel County, strongly backed John McCain with 58% of the vote in 2008.[242] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+13).[61]
Massachusetts
- Massachusetts's 10th congressional district. Longtime incumbent Democrat William Delahunt has announced he will retire, leaving a potential competitive open seat.[243] A number of prominent Republicans, including former State Treasurer Joe Malone, state Senator Bob Hedlund, and state Representative Jeff Perry are considering campaigns. This South Shore district includes all of Nantucket Island, Dukes County, and Barnstable County, as well as eastern Plymouth County. It has the most competitive Cook Partisan Voting Index in Massachusetts and was Scott Brown's strongest district in the U.S. Senate special election, giving him 60%. A McLaughlin and Associates poll taken prior to Delahunts' retirement showed Malone leading Delahunt 37% to 34%[91] Obama won this district with 55% to 43% over McCain in 2008, which was his smallest margin of victory in any of Massachusetts's congressional districts. (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+5).[61]
Michigan
- Michigan's 2nd congressional district: Republican Peter Hoekstra announced he will retire in order to run for Governor of Michigan.[33] State Representative Bill Huizenga, former pro-football player Jay Riemersma, businessman Bill Cooper, and State Senator Wayne Kuipers will face off for the Republican nomination.[244] Author, teacher, and activist Bob Wood has announced his candidacy as a Democrat.[245] This western Michigan district includes the cities of Muskegon, Holland, and Ludington. John McCain narrowly carried the district with 51% of the vote in 2008.[246] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+7).[61]
- Michigan's 3rd congressional district: Nine-term Republican Vern Ehlers announced he will retire in 2010 at the age of 76. On the Republican side, state Representative Justin Amash is already running and Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land, state Senator William Hardiman, state Senator Mark Jansen, and former state Senator Ken Sikkema are thinking of running, as well [21]. McCain won this district by a plurality of 49%. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+6).[61]
- Michigan's 7th congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Mark Schauer narrowly unseated Republican incumbent Tim Walberg 48.6% to 46.5% in 2008. Walberg is running again but will face the following Republicans in a primary election: Iraq War veteran Brian Rooney and real estate executive Marvin Carlson. Businessman Bill Martin, another Republican, has said he is considering entering the race.[247] This south central Michigan district includes Battle Creek, Jackson, and Adrian.[248] Barack Obama narrowly won the district with 52% in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+2).[61]
- Michigan's 9th congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Gary Peters unseated eight-term Republican Joe Knollenberg by a 52% to 43% margin in 2008. Peters is facing a challenge from Paul Welday, a former Knollenberg chief of sStaff and former leader of the Oakland County Republican Party, and former State Representative Andrew Raczkowski.[249] This suburban Detroit district includes eastern Oakland County, including Rochester Hills, Troy, Royal Oak, Pontiac, Waterford, and Farmington Hills. Barack Obama captured 56% of the vote here in 2008.[250] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+2).[61]
- Michigan's 10th congressional district: Republican incumbent Candice Miller is a potential candidate for Governor of Michigan.[251] This southeastern Michigan district includes northern Macomb County, Port Huron, and most of the Michigan Thumb. John McCain narrowly carried the district with 50% here in 2008.[252] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+5).[61]
- Michigan's 12th congressional district: Fourteen-term Democratic incumbent Sander Levin is facing a primary challenge from State Senator Mickey Switalski.[253] This district is based in the inner Detroit suburbs including Warren, Clinton, Eastpointe, and Southfield. Barack Obama decisively carried the district with 65% of the vote in 2008.[254] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+12).[61]
- Michigan's 13th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick, the mother of convicted felon and former Mayor of Detroit Kwame Kilpatrick, defeated former State Representitive Mary Waters and State Senator Martha Scott in the 2008 Democratic primary 39% to 35% to 25%, respectively.[255] Several Democrats are considering challenging Kilpatrick in 2010 including Waters, Detroit City Councilwoman Sheila Cockrel, and State Senators Buzz Thomas and Hanson Clarke.[256] The district includes much of Detroit as well as the suburbs of Lincoln Park and Wyandotte. Barack Obama swept the district with 85% of the vote in 2008.[257] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+31).[61]
Minnesota
- Minnesota's 3rd congressional district: Republican incumbent Erik Paulsen is facing a challenge from two Democrats: Executive Director of the Minnesota Optometrists Association Jim Meffert and Maureen Hackett, a physician.[258] This district includes the Hennepin County suburbs of Bloomington, Edina, Brooklyn Park, Plymouth, and Maple Grove. Barack Obama narrowly carried the district with 52% of the vote in 2008.[259] (Cook Partisan Voting Index EVEN) [61]
- Minnesota's 6th congressional district: Republican incumbent Michele Bachmann defeated her Democratic opponent, former Minnesota Transportation Commissioner Elwyn Tinklenberg, 46.4% to 43.4% in 2008.[260] In her congressional career, Bachmann has made a number of comments which have been considered controversial, including calling "on Minnesotans to become 'armed and dangerous' in resisting President Obama’s energy policies," leading Democrats to target her for defeat.[261] Maureen Reed, a former chair of the University of Minnesota's Board of Regents and 2006 Independence Party candidate for Lieutenant Governor,[262] and State Senator Tarryl Clark are running on the Democratic side.[263] Bachmann is also facing a primary challenge from attorney Chris Johnston.[264] The district includes the northern and eastern suburbs of the Twin Cities, including Stillwater, Hugo, Andover and Elk River as well as St. Cloud. A December 2009 Public Policy Polling poll had Bachmann leading Clark 55% to 37% and Reed 53% to 37%. The poll also showed that Fifty-four percent of constituents considered her mainstream.[265] John McCain won the district with 53% of the vote in 2008.[260] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+7) [61]
Mississippi
- Mississippi's 1st congressional district: Democratic incumbent Travis Childers will seek reelection.[266] After being narrowly elected to a vacant seat in a 2008 special election, Childers won a full term in 2008 by a 54% to 46% margin. Republican State Senator Alan Nunnelee, and former Eupora Mayor Henry Ross are running.[267] This Northern Mississippi district includes the cities of Tupelo, Southaven, and Columbus. John McCain swept the district with 62% of the vote in 2008.[268] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+14).[61]
Missouri
- Missouri's 4th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Ike Skelton has easily been reelected by overwhelming margins for years. Skelton is running for reelection,[269] but has three Republican challengers so far: former State Representative Vicky Hartzler, State Senator Bill Stouffer, and James Scholz, a computer security company president.[270] Stouffer has praised Skelton in the past and has sponsored a bill to name a bridge after the incumbent.[271] This west central Missouri district includes some of Kansas City's suburbs as well as Jefferson City and also includes Sedalia, Marshall, and Lebanon.[272] The district strongly favored John McCain with 60% of the vote in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+14).[61]
- Missouri's 7th congressional district: Republican incumbent Roy Blunt is running for the U.S. Senate.[35] Current Republican candidates include Greene County Prosecutor Darrell Moore; State Senators Jack Goodman and Gary Nodler; Billy Long, an auctioneer; Jeff Wisdom, a college instructor;[273] and Michael Wardell, a businessman.[274] Other potential Republican candidates include former State Representitive B.J. Marsh, Jasper County Republican Party Chairman John Putnam, Nixa City Alderman Kevin Elmer, State Representitive Bryan Stevenson[275] and Greene County Circuit Clerk Steve Helms.[276] This southwestern Missouri district is the most conservative in the state of Missouri and includes the cities of Springfield, Joplin, Carthage and Nixa. John McCain swept the district with 63% of the vote in 2008.[277] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+17).[61]
Montana
Nebraska
- Nebraska's 2nd congressional district: Republican incumbent Lee Terry had a difficult reelection in 2008, winning with a meager 51.9% of the vote. He will face a challenge from Democratic State Senator Tom White.[278] Terry is also facing a challenge in the Republican primary from conservative businessman Matt Sakalosky.[279] This eastern Nebraska district is based in Omaha and its suburbs.[280] Barack Obama narrowly carried the district with less than 50% of the vote in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+6).[61]
Nevada
- Nevada's 3rd congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Dina Titus will face a challenge from former State Senator Joe Heck and real estate investor Rob Lauer, both Republicans.[281] Titus may also face other Republicans including Clark County Republican Party Chairman Brian Scroggins; former Nevada State Controller Steve Martin; and James Dean Leavitt, a lawyer and regent for the Nevada System of Higher Education.[282] The district is based in the Las Vegas suburbs, including East Las Vegas, Spring Valley, Henderson, Boulder City and Laughlin.[283] Barack Obama carried the district with 55% of the vote in 2008. A December 2009 Mason-Dixon poll had Titus and Heck tied at 40% each.[284] (Cook Partisan Voting Index: D+2) [61]
New Hampshire
- New Hampshire's 1st congressional district: Democratic incumbent Carol Shea-Porter will seek reelection.[285] She is expected to be targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee and the district has been noted as one of the best chances for a Republican pickup in New England in 2010.[286] It also has been marked by Chris Cillizza of the Washington Post's "House Line" column as one of the top five districts to most likely switch parties in 2010.[287] Cited as one of the top-tier recruits of the National Republican Congressional Committee for 2010, Mayor Frank Guinta of Manchester is running for the seat.[288] Businessman Robert Bestani will join Guinta in the primary. Republican businessman Richard Ashooh has filed papers to explore a run but says he won't make a final decision until the first three months of 2010.[289] The district consists of the eastern half of New Hampshire, including the cities of Manchester, Rochester, Portsmouth, Laconia, Derry, and Dover. Barack Obama carried the district with 53% of the vote in 2008.[290] (Cook Partisan Voting Index EVEN).[61]
- New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district: Democratic incumbent Paul Hodes is vacating this seat to run for the U.S. Senate.[17] On the Democratic side, lawyer and party activist Ann McLane Kuster, State Representative John DeJoie, and Democratic Party activist and 2002 nominee Katrina Swett are running.[291] On the Republican side, conservative radio talk show host and 2008 nominee Jennifer Horn, as well as the district's former U.S. Representative Charles Bass are running. Former Republican State Representative Bob Giuda is another likely candidate.[292] The district consists of the western half of New Hampshire including the cities of Nashua, Concord, Keene, Claremont, Lebanon, and Plymouth. Barack Obama won 56% of the vote here in 2008.[293] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+3).[61]
New Jersey
- New Jersey's 3rd congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent John Adler defeated Lockheed Martin executive Chris Myers 51.7% to 48.3% in 2008.[294] Republicans are heavily targeting this seat.[295] Adler will be facing a primary challenge from the left from former Lacey Township Democratic Chairman, Barry Bendar [296]. Former Philadelphia Eagles football player Jon Runyan has announced his candidacy as a Republican. Republican Toms River Township Councilman Maurice "Mo" Hill considered running, but backed out and endorsed Runyan, citing Runyan's significant financial resources.[297] Adler has taken heat from members of his own party who have criticized him from being "too conservative" and for voting against health care reform.[298][299]. This south central New Jersey district includes Marlton, Mount Holly, Cherry Hill, and Toms River.[300] Barack Obama carried the district with 52% of the vote in 2008, but Republican Chris Christie carried the district in New Jersey's 2009 gubernatorial election 56%-39% over Democrat Jon Corzine [301]. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+1).[61]
New Mexico
- New Mexico's 1st congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Martin Heinrich will face a challenge from former New Mexico Republican Party Vice Chairman Jon Barela.[302] Kevin Daniels, an owner of a chain of funeral homes who can easily finance his own campaigns, may enter the race as a Republican.[302] This district consists of the central area of New Mexico and is based in Albuquerque and surrounding areas. A poll by Public Policy Polling in February shows Heinrich leading Barela 45% to 36%[303] Barack Obama decisively carried the district with 60% in 2008.[304] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+5).[61]
- New Mexico's 2nd congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Harry Teague will be challenged by Republican Steve Pearce, the former U.S. Representative who held this seat until 2008 when he unsuccessfully ran for the U.S. Senate.[305] The district consists of southern New Mexico including Silver City, Las Cruces, Roswell, and the Little Texas region. Two recent polls show Teague trailing Pearce. A Tarrance Group poll shows Pearce leading 48% to 44%[306] and one by Public Policy Polling shows the challenger leading 43% to 41%[303] John McCain narrowly carried the district with less than 50% of the vote in 2008.[307] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+6).[61]
New York
- New York's 1st congressional district: In 2008, Democratic incumbent Tim Bishop was reelected with 58% against an unknown opponent. This year, he will face a challenge from wealthy businessman Randy Altschuler and former attorney George Demos.[308] Bishop received some adverse press when a June 23 town hall meeting in Setauket drew some 200 protesters who were angry at Bishop's vote for the cap and trade bill and federal bailouts and the meeting grew so vocal that Bishop had to be escorted to his car by five county policemen.[309] This district, on eastern Suffolk County includes The Hamptons, Smithtown, and Brookhaven, narrowly backed Barack Obama with 51% of the vote in 2008.[310] In the most recent polling, Bishop holds a statistically insignificant 47% to 45% lead over Altschuler[311] (Cook Partisan Voting Index EVEN).[61]
- New York's 19th congressional district: Democratic incumbent John Hall is facing a challenge from Republican ophthalmologist Nan Hayworth.[312] Wall Street worker Neil DiCarlo says he is running as a Republican but has not yet officially filed his papers. Former Tuxedo Park Mayor David McFadden is considering running as well.[313] This Hudson Valley district includes Peekskill and West Point. Barack Obama narrowly won the district with 51% in 2008.[314] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+3).[61]
- New York's 20th congressional district: Venture capitalist and now Democratic incumbent Scott Murphy won a March 2009 special election for this seat, defeating then-New York Assembly Minority/Republican Leader Jim Tedisco by just 726 votes.[315] For 2010, the Republican nomination is being sought by Patrick Ziegler of Burnt Hills, an insurance salesman and tea party activist, and retired army colonel Chris Gibson of Kinderhook.[316][317] Some New York Republican leaders had been encouraging Tedisco to run again in 2010;[318] other former potential Republican candidates had included 2006 gubernatorial nominee John Faso and former New York Secretary of State Sandy Treadwell,[319] who was defeated here by then-U.S. Representative and now U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand 38-62 percent in 2008.[320] Gillibrand was then appointed by Governor David Paterson to fill the U.S. Senate seat vacated by Hillary Rodham Clinton when she appointed by President Barack Obama to be U.S. Secretary of State. This Upstate New York district includes Hudson, Saratoga Springs, and Glens Falls.[321] Barack Obama narrowly carried the district with 51% of the vote in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+2).[61]
- New York's 23rd congressional district: Democratic incumbent Bill Owens won a special election in 2009 by 48.7% to 46.5% (3,024 votes)[322] over a third party candidate, Conservative Doug Hoffman, after Republican Dierdre Scozzafava suspended her campaign and endorsed Owens less than three days before the election. While Obama won a majority of the district's 2008 presidential votes, Democratic candidate Owens failed to secure a majority in the 2009 election. The district has rarely embraced Democratic congressional candidates; Republicans had been elected continuously since the mid-1800s, and in three of the previous six congressional elections the district's Conservative Party candidate received more votes than the Democratic Party candidate. With less than a year before the 2010 election, a November 6, 2009 newspaper in Owen's district carried the headline "Owens Breaks 4 Campaign Promises in first hour in Congress,"[323] referring primarily to Owens's announced support and eventual vote for House Resolution 3962, the health care reform bill. Owens will face a challenge from whoever is nominated by the Republicans: Hoffman who is running again, or Assemblyman Will Barclay. Franklin County Legislator Paul Maroun and businessman Matt Doheny are other potential Republican candidates.[324] This northern New York district includes Watertown, Plattsburgh, and Oswego. Barack Obama carried the district with 52% in 2008.[325] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+1).[61]
- New York's 24th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Mike Arcuri won by a closer than expected margin over Republican challenger Richard Hanna in 2008, winning 52-48 percent.[326] Republicans are trying to recruit Hanna for a rematch.[327] This Upstate New York district includes Utica, Auburn, and Rome. Obama narrowly carried the district with 50% in 2008.[328] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+2).[61]
- New York's 29th congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Eric Massa had originally indicated that he will run for reelection,[329] but dropped out of the race in March 2010. On March 5, 2010 Massa announced that he would resign from the House, leaving the seat vacant and creating the need for a special election to fill the vacancy. The timing of such an election would be left to the Governor of New York, who is currently David Paterson. Massa is only the second Democrat (Stan Lundine being the other) to have represented the geographic area since 1913. Republican Mayor Tom Reed of Corning is running for the seat.[330] Massa recently got adverse publicity when he told a group in Pennsylvania that he would vote against the interests of his district to get health care reform passed.[331] Other possible Republican candidates include State Assemblyman Tom O'Mara, Monroe County Executive Maggie Brooks, State Senators Catharine Young and George Winner,[332] Chemung County Executive Tom Santulli, and attorney Bill Nojay.[333] The Democrats have not yet indicated who is likely to run in Massa's place. One factor influencing candidate decisions is the possibility this district will disappear after reapportionment in 2012. This Southern Tier-based district includes Elmira, Corning, Olean, and suburban Rochester; the district narrowly backed John McCain with around 50% of the vote in 2008.[334] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+5).[61]
North Carolina
- North Carolina's 8th congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Larry Kissell is facing a challenge from former Army Colonel Lou Huddleston.[335] Another potential Republican candidate is Union County District Attorney John Snyder.[336] The district includes much of south-central North Carolina, including the cities of Laurinburg, Albemarle, Concord, Kannapolis, and parts of Charlotte and Fayetteville. Despite the hostile environment for Democrats in the 2010 cycle, a January 9–11 Public policy poll showed Kissell leading Huddleston 55% to 37% as well as other Republican challengers by similar margins.[337] Barack Obama won 52% of the vote here in 2008.[338] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+2).[61]
- North Carolina's 11th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Heath Shuler faces a Republican challenge from Hendersonville Mayor Greg Newman, Businessman Jeff Miller, Asheville lawyer Ed Krause, Clay County businessman Kenny West, Cherokee County ophthalmologist Dan Eichenbaum and James J. Howard.[339] This Western North Carolina district includes Asheville, Hendersonville, Brevard and Waynesville.[340] John McCain carried the district with 52% of the vote in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+6).[61]
North Dakota
- North Dakota's at-large congressional district: Since first being elected in 1992, incumbent Democrat Earl Pomeroy has won reelection, sometimes with difficulty, but usually by comfortable margins. Republicans say this year will be different. Republicans running against him include state Public Service Commissioner Kevin Cramer, state Representative Rick Berg, and former University of Mary football coach Paul Schaffner. A February 12 poll conducted by Rasmussen Reports shows shows all three running competitively, with Pomeroy polling under 50% of the vote [22]. McCain won in North Dakota with 53% of the vote in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+10).[61]
Ohio
- Ohio's 1st congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Steve Driehaus unseated Republican Steve Chabot in 2008, winning by a margin of 52.5% to 47.5%. Chabot announced he will seek a rematch.[341] A mid-January 2010 Survey USA poll put Chabot ahead of Driehaus 56% to 39%.[342] The district includes western Cincinnati as well as some of the city's suburbs. Barack Obama captured 55% of the vote here in 2008.[343] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+1).[61]
- Ohio's 2nd congressional district: In 2008, Republican incumbent Jean Schmidt defeated Democrat Victoria Wulsin 45% to 37%, with Independent candidate David Krikorian receiving 18% of the vote.[344] Warren County Commissioner Mike Kilburn is competing against Schmidt in the GOP primary. Krikorian, marketing executive Surya Yalamanchili, and Jim Parker are running for the Democratic nomination.[345] This district includes eastern Cincinnati and some of the city's suburbs as well as Portsmouth. John McCain received 59% of the vote here in 2008.[344] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+13).[61]
- Ohio's 12th congressional district: Republican incumbent Pat Tiberi is facing a challenge from Democratic Franklin County Commissioner Paula Brooks[346] and Libertarian Travis Irvine.[347] This central Ohio district includes eastern Columbus as well as some of the city's suburbs, including Reynoldsburg, Gahanna, and Westerville.[346] Barack Obama won 54% here in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+1).[61]
- Ohio's 13th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Betty Sutton is facing a challenge from Republican auto dealer Tom Ganley[348]. Sutton is also facing a challenge from fellow Democrat Justin Wooden in the Democratic primary [349] This district consists of eastern Lorain County and western Summit County and includes the communities of Lorain, Elyria, Strongsville, Brunswick, Cuyahoga Falls, and Akron. A Public Opinion Strategies poll commissioned by the Ganley campaign had him leading Sutton by three percentage points.[350] Obama won this district with 57% of the vote in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+5).[61]
- Ohio's 15th congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Mary Jo Kilroy defeated then-State Senator Steve Stivers, a Republican, by 2,312 votes in 2008. Stivers is seeking a rematch but will face a primary with "conservative alternative" John Adams.[351] The district includes western Columbus and some of the city's suburbs, including Worthington, Hilliard, and Grove City.[352] Barack Obama won 54% of the vote here in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+1).[61]
- Ohio's 16th congressional district: In 2008, Democratic State Senator John Boccieri won this historically Republican district by a 55% to 45% margin. Businessman Jim Renacci, owner of the indoor football team the Columbus Destroyers, is running for this seat as a Republican as is former Ashland County Commissioner Matt Miller.[353] This district in northeastern Ohio includes Canton, Alliance, Massillon, Wooster, and Ahland.[354] John McCain narrowly carried the district with less than 50% of the vote in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+4).[61]
- Ohio's 18th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Zack Space is facing Republican challenges from State Senator Bob Gibbs; Jeanette Moll, who ran unsuccessfully for the Republican nomination in the district 2008; and 2008 nominee Fred Dailey.[355] This eastern Ohio district includes Zanesville and Chillicothe. John McCain received 53% here in 2008.[356] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+7).[61]
Oklahoma
- Oklahoma's 5th congressional district: Republican incumbent Mary Fallin is vacating this seat to run for Governor of Oklahoma.[36] State Representative Mike Thompson announced his candidacy at the state's Republican convention in April.[357] Former State Representative Kevin Calvey, whom Fallin defeated in the 2006 Republican primary for this seat, is running again and is being supported by the conservative organization Club for Growth. Physician Johnny Roy, who also ran in 2006, is another announced Republican candidate.[358] As of September 1, 2009, Baptist General Convention of Oklahoma [359] employee James Lankford has also announced his candidacy.[360] Other potential Republican candidates are Corporation Commissioners Jeff Cloud and Bob Anthony as well as State Senators Todd Lamb and Glenn Coffee and state Representative Shane Jett.[361] This district includes most of Oklahoma City as well as Pottawatomie and Seminole counties. John McCain carried the district with 59% of the vote in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+13).[61]
Oregon
- Oregon's 1st congressional district: Democratic incumbent David Wu is seeking re-election. Beaverton businessman John Kuzmanich[362] and Tualatin sports marketing consultant Rob Cornilles[363] are vying to be his Republican opponent. Obama received 61% from this district in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+8).[61]
- Oregon's 5th congressional district: Freshman Democratic incumbent Kurt Schrader will face a Republican challenge from either State Representative Scott Bruun[364] or retired Georgia-Pacific executive Fred Thompson.[365] This district is located in the Willamette Valley and consists of Salem and parts of Portland and Corvallis. Barack Obama won 54% here in 2008.[366] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+1).[61]
Pennsylvania
- Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district: Democratic incumbent Kathy Dahlkemper unseated eight-term Republican Phil English in 2008 in something of a surprise. Republicans would like to win this district back into their column. Businessman Phil Huber, Elaine Surma, a senior agent with the state Attorney General's office, and former Erie County Solicitor John Onorato are running as Republicans.[367] This Northwestern Pennsylvania district includes the city of Erie. McCain won 49% here in 2008.[368] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+3).[61]
- Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Jason Altmire will face a challenge from lawyer Keith Rothfus.[369] US Attorney Mary Buchanan is pondering a run.[370] Altmire has opposed Democrats this year on cap and trade and thus has a low "party unity" score.[369] This Western Pennsylvania district includes Lawrence County and Beaver County and some of Pittsburgh's suburbs and exurbs, including Plum and Murryville. McCain won 55% here in 2008.[371] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+6).[61]
- Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district: After briefly flirting with a run for governor, Republican incumbent Jim Gerlach announced he would run for reelection. Gerlach will face a primary challenge from biotech executive Steve Welch, geologist Walt Hufford, and electrician Pat Sellers. Journalist Doug Pike, Iraq War veteran Manan Trivedi, and Lower Merion Commissioner Brian Gordon are running for the Democratic nomination.[372] This southeastern Pennsylvania district, which includes some of Philadelphia's suburbs, including Ardmore, Norristown, Phoenixville, and Coatesville, as well as part of Reading, gave Obama 58% of the vote in 2008.[373] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+4).[61]
- Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Joe Sestak is retiring to challenge Republican turned Democratic United States Senator Arlen Specter in the Democratic primary.[18] State Representative Iraq War veteran Bryan Lentz, political consultant Teresa Touey, and environmental lawyer Gail Conner are running for the Democratic nomination.[374] Another state Representative, Greg Vitali, is viewed as a potential candidate.[375] On the Republican side, former U.S. Attorney and former Delaware County district attorney Pat Meehan is running.[376] Another potential Republican candidate is former TV anchor Dawn Stensland.[377] This suburban Philadelphia district includes most of Delaware County. Obama won 56% here in 2008.[378] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+3).[61]
- Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district: Incumbent Democrat Patrick Murphy is facing a strong field of Republican candidates in 2010. Former Congressman Mike Fitzpatrick; Tom Lingenfelter; Judith Algeo, a Warwick Township supervisor; Ira Hoffman, Solebury businessman; Jeffrey McGeary, conservative organizer; James Jones, a decorated disabled veteran and small business owner; and Gloria Carlineo, a Solebury committeewoman and attorney are running for the Republican nomination.[379] This district includes Bucks County in the northern Philadelphia suburbs. Obama took this district with 54% of the vote in 2008.[380] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+2).[61]
- Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district: Incumbent Democrat Chris Carney was the target of many Republicans in December 2009 to get him to switch parties.[381] Snyder County Commissioner Malcolm Derk is the first announced Republican candidate.[382] At a summer tea party, Iraq War Veteran Christopher Bain declared his intention to challenge Carney, but has yet to begin fundraising and campaigning.[383] This northeastern Pennsylvania district includes the central Susquehanna Valley.[384] McCain won 53% here in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+8).[61]
- Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district: In 2008, Democratic incumbent Paul Kanjorski was reelected by a 52% to 48% margin over Republican Hazleton Mayor Lou Barletta. Barletta has announced intentions to make a third run in 2010.[385] Attorney Chris Paige has announced his candidacy with a statement of opposition to bailouts.[386] Kanjorski will also face a primary from Lackawanna County Commissioner Corey O'Brien.[387] This northeast Pennsylvania district includes Scranton, Wilkes-Barre, and Hazleton. Obama won 57% here in 2008.[388] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+4).[61]
- Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district: Republican incumbent Charlie Dent will face a strong challenge from Bethlehem Mayor John Callahan.[389] Dent faces a primary from Matthew Benol, a candidate aligned with the Tea Party.[390] Running as an independent is Jake Towne.[391] The district comprises all of Northampton County, most of Lehigh County and the Lehigh Valley, Indian Valley, Upper Perkiomen Valley and small parts of Berks and Montgomery counties. A January 26 internal poll by the The Tarrance Group for Dent showed him leading Callahan 53% to 27%, with Independent candidate Towne receiving eight percent and twelve percent of voters undecided.[392] Obama won 56% of the vote in this district in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+2).[61]
Rhode Island
- Rhode Island's 1st congressional district: Eight-term Democratic incumbent Patrick Kennedy announced on February 12 that he would not be a candidate for reelection. Polls showed that he was increasingly unpopular with his constituents [23]. Republican state Representative John Loughlin had announced his candidacy on February 6 [24]. Announced Democratic candidates include says Providence Mayor David Cicilline [25] and Democratic Party Chairman William Lynch [26]. Potential Democratic candidates include Secretary of State A. Ralph Mollis, state Representative Jon Brien, and perhaps former Congressman Robert Weygand [27]. Obama won 65% of the vote in this district in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+13).[61]
South Carolina
- South Carolina's 1st congressional district: Republican incumbent Henry E. Brown, Jr. will retire.[37] Former Brown staffer Katherine Jenerette, who won 19% against Brown in the 2008 Republican primary, Carroll "Tumpy" Campbell III, the son of former Governor Carroll A. Campbell, Jr., Isle of Palms City Councilman Ryan Buckhannon, Charleston County Councilman Paul Thurmond, former Brown Chief of Staff Stovall Witte[393], State Representative Tim Scott and Mount Pleasant Town Councilman Ken Glasson a lieutenant colonel in the US Marine Corps Reserve & combat veteran in the Gulf War, are running for the Republican nomination.[394] Restaurateur Robert Dobbs, Iraq War veteran Robert Burton and former Navy officer Dick Withington are running for the Democratic nomination.[393] Possible Democratic candidates include former state Representative Robert Barber, current state Representative Leon Stavrinakis, and Iraq War veteran Robert Burton.[395] This eastern South Carolina district includes part of Charleston and Myrtle Beach. McCain won 56% here in 2008.[396] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+10).[61]
- South Carolina's 2nd congressional district: Republican incumbent Joe Wilson defeated his Democratic challenger, Iraq War veteran Rob Miller, 54% to 46% in 2008. Miller is running again.[397] In September 2009 Wilson caused a controversy when he shouted "You lie!" at President Barack Obama during Obama's healthcare speech to Congress. The controversy has financially benefited both campaigns, with each reporting that it has raised over $1 million.[398] A poll conducted a day after the outburst by the Democratic affiliated pollster Public Policy Polling found Miller ahead of Wilson 44% to 43%.[399][400] The district includes Hilton Head Island as well as part of Columbia and its suburbs. McCain won 54% here in 2008.[401] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+9).[61]
- South Carolina's 3rd congressional district: Republican incumbent J. Gresham Barrett will retire to run for governor. Announced Republican candidates for this seat include attorney Neal Collins, State Senator Shane Massey, physician Mike Vasovski, State Representative Jeff Duncan, businessman and pro-life organizer Richard Cash, and state Representative Rex Rice.[402] Attorney James Galyean dropped out of the race because of health concerns.[403] Another potential Republican candidate is Pickens County council member and former NFL player and coach Sam Wyche. On the Democratic side, former Air Force Captain Jane Dyer is running.[404] The district, which consists of the western part of South Carolina including Anderson, Easley, Greenwood, Edgefield, and Aiken, gave McCain 64% of the vote in 2008.[405] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+17).[61]
- South Carolina's 4th congressional district: Republican Bob Inglis is facing primary election challenges from former US Attorney and current Spartanburg County Solicitor Trey Gowdy, political science professor and former Historian of the U.S. House Christina Jeffrey, information systems consultant Jim Lee, construction company owner Rick Mahler, and state Senator David Thomas.[406] Other potential Republican candidates include Lieutenant Governor Andre Bauer, business man Tim Carnes,[407] and former Greenville County Republican chairman Steven Brown.[408] The district, which includes the cities of Greenville and Spartanburg, gave McCain 60% of the vote in 2008.[409] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+15).[61]
- South Carolina's 5th congressional district: 14-term incumbent Democrat John Spratt has held this district even while it has trended Republican nationally. Republican state Senator Mick Mulvaney is entering the race.[410] A January 27 poll by Public Policy Polling shows Spratt leading Mulvaney bt a 46% to 39% margin.[411] This north central South Carolina district includes the cities of Rock Hill, Gaffney, Lancaster, and Bennettsville. McCain won 53% in 2008.[412] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+7).[61]
South Dakota
- South Dakota's at-large congressional district: Democratic incumbent Stephanie Herseth Sandlin is running for reelection.[413] Communications consultant Thad Wasson,[414] state Representatives Blake Curd and Kristi Noem, and State Secretary of State Chris Nelson are all Republican candidates competing in the primary election. The Republican Party is questioning Herseth Sandlin's votes for the Omnibus and the Stimulus.[415] The district consists of the entire state of South Dakota. McCain won 53% here in 2008. A December 2009 Public Policy Polling poll had Herseth Sandlin leading Nelson 46% to 39% and Curd 52% to 31%[416][417] (Noem was not a candidate at the time the poll was taken). A February 2010 poll by Rasmussen Reports poll showed the Incumbent leading Nelson by margins of 45% to 38%, leading Curd 51% to 33%, and Noem 49% to 34%.[418] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+9).[61]
Tennessee
- Tennessee's 3rd congressional district: Republican Representative Zach Wamp has announced that he will be running for governor in 2010.[39] Republicans Van Irion, businessman Mark DeVol[419], Bradley County Sheriff Tim Gobble, former radio host Chuck Fleischmann, state Republican Party Chair Robin Smith, Chattanooga businessman Tommy Crangle, Cleveland businessman Art Rhodes, and businessman Greg Goodwin[420] have declared their intentions to run. Chattanooga City Council member Andraé McGary is considering a run as a Democrat.[421] This East Tennessee district, which includes Chattanooga and Oak Ridge, gave John McCain 62% of the vote in 2008.[422] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+13).[61]
- Tennessee's 6th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Bart Gordon is retiring from office at the end of his current term.[20] Republican internal polls had supposedly showed Gordon in serious danger of losing his seat if he had run for reelection.[20] State Senators Jim Tracy and Diane Black, former Rutherford County Republican Chairwoman Lou Ann Zelenik, army reserve major general Dave Evans, realtor Gary Mann, and businessman Kerry Roberts are running for the Republican nomination.[423] Possible Democratic candidates include Wilson County property assessor Jack Pratt, Wilson County Sheriff Terry Ashe, former state Senator Andy Womack, and Gordon aide Kent Syler.[424] This district includes the middle portions of Tennessee and parts of Murfreesboro. McCain won 62% here in 2008.[425] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+13).[61]
- Tennessee's 8th congressional district: Democratic incumbent John Tanner is retiring from office at the end of his current term.[21] Republicans have recruited farmer and gospel singer Stephen Fincher, who has been raising a lot of money.[21] On the Democratic side, state Senator Roy Herron has announced his candidacy.[426] Businessman Donn James will run as an Independent.[427] This district includes western Tennessee, and parts of Memphis and Clarksville. McCain won 56% here in 2008.[428] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+6).[61]
- Tennessee's 9th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen is facing a primary challenge from former Memphis Mayor Willie Herenton. Cohen is the only white member of Congress to represent a majority African-American district.[429] In August 2009 Herenton caused confusion when he considered running for the mayorship he had just vacated, but eventually chose to stay in the race against Cohen.[430] The district consists of most of the city of Memphis. Obama won 77% of the vote here in 2008.[431] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+23).[61]
Texas
- Texas's 17th congressional district: Democratic Representative Chet Edwards was reelected by a 53% to 45% against Republican small business owner Rob Curnock, who was overwhelmingly outspent. Edwards is running for reelection.[432] Timothy Delasandro, Dave McIntyre, Curnock[433], and businessman Bill Flores are running for the Republican nomination.[432] This east central Texas district district includes Waco, College Station, and Bryan.[434] McCain won 67% in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+20).[61]
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
- Virginia's 2nd congressional district: Freshman Democrat Glenn Nye is expected to be targeted by state Republicans.[435] Brigadier general Bert Mizusawa and former Virginia Beach Republican Chairman Kenny Golden are running as are four businessman: Scott Taylor, Ed Maulbeck, Ben Loyola, and Scott Rigell.[436] The district includes Virginia Beach, parts of Norfolk, Eastern Shore,and parts of Hampton. Obama won 50% here in 2008.[437] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+5).[61]
- Virginia's 5th congressional district: Freshman Democrat Tom Perriello unseated Republican Virgil Goode by 727 votes in 2008. Six Republicans have announced their candidacies so far: Educator and Republican activist Feda Kidd Morton, private real estate investor Laurence Verga, Albemarle County Supervisor Ken Boyd, state Senator Robert Hurt, businessman Ron Ferrin, and Michael McPadden.[438] Assembly line worker Bradley Rees, who had originally filed to run as a Republican, said he will instead run on the Conservative Party ticket.[439] The district includes much of south-central Virginia including the cities of Danville and Charlottesville. A poll conducted in February by Public Policy Polling showed that in a hypothetical general election contest, Perriello and Hurt were tied with 44% each, this is even despite the fact that Perriello had a disapproval rating slightly higher than his approval and supported the Democratic House Healthcare bill which 52% of his constituents opposed.[440] McCain won 51% here in 2008.[441] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+5).[61]
- Virginia's 11th congressional district: Freshman Democrat Gerald Connolly defeated Republican businessman Keith Fimian 55% to 43% in 2008. Fimian is planning to run again and Fairfax County Supervisor Pat Herrity has announced his candidacy.[442] This Northern Virginia district includes most of Fairfax County including the cities of Fairfax, Annandale, Burke, and Mount Vernon, as well as part of Prince William County. A recent McLaughlin & Associates poll showed Fimian leading Connolly 40% to 35%.[443] Obama won 57% here in 2008.[444] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+2).[61]
Washington
- Washington's 3rd congressional district: Democrat Brian Baird is retiring at the end of his term.[22] Republican state Representative Jamie Herrera will be joined by financial advisor David Castillo, ex-Marine David William Hedrick, and Washougal city councilman Jon Russell in that party's primary. State Senator Craig Pridemore, peace activist Cheryl Crist, state Representative Deb Wallace and Hispanic activist Maria Rodriguez-Salazar are competing for the Democratic nomination,[445] as is former state Representative Dennis Heck.[446] This district includes some of suburban Olympia, and Vancouver.[447] Obama won 53% here in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index EVEN).[61]
- Washington's 8th congressional district: Republican Dave Reichert is facing a challenge from Democrat Suzan DelBene, a former Microsoft vice president.[448] Reichert may decide to run for the United States Senate against incumbent Democrat Patty Murray.[449] This district includes some of suburban Seattle, Bellevue, Sammamish, and eastern Pierce County. Obama won 56% here in 2008.[450] (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+3).[61]
West Virginia
Wisconsin
- Wisconsin's 3rd congressional district: Democratic incumbent Ron Kind running for reelection.[451] Republican state Senator Dan Kapanke has already entered the race; other potential Republican candidates include state Representatives Michael Huebsch and Kitty Rhoades. Michael Krsiean will be running as an independent citizen candidate.[452] This western Wisconsin district includes Eau Claire and La Crosse.[453] Obama won 58% here in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+4).[61]
- Wisconsin's 8th congressional district: Democratic incumbent Steve Kagen is facing a challenge from Republicans including physician Dr. Marc Trager, Door County Supervisor Marc Savard, Brown County Supervisor Andy Williams, businessman Reid Ribble, Kerry Thomas, former state Representative Terri McCormick, and state Representative Roger Roth.[454] Former Niagra Mayor Joe Stern will run as an Independent.[455] This northeastern Wisconsin district includes the cities of Green Bay and Appleton. Obama won 53% here in 2008.[456] (Cook Partisan Voting Index R+2).[61]
Wyoming
American Samoa
- American Samoa's At-large congressional district - Democratic incumbent Eni Faleomavaega, who has held this At-Large seat since 1989, was re-elected in 2008 with 60% of the vote. He is once again being challenged by independent candidate Rosie Tago Lancaster, whom he easily defeated in 2008.[457]
District of Columbia
- District of Columbia's At-large congressional district: Democratic Delegate Eleanor Holmes Norton is up for re-election in 2010. Obama overwhelmingly carried the District of Columbia with 93% of the vote in 2008. (Cook Partisan Voting Index D+39).[61]
Guam
Northern Mariana Islands
- Northern Mariana Islands' At-large congressional district: Democratic Delegate Gregorio "Killi" Sablan, the first delegate from the Northern Mariana Islands to the House of Representatives, is running for re-election.[458] Sablan is being challenged by Covenant Party candidate Joseph James N. Camacho, an attorney and former Floor Leader in the Northern Mariana Islands House of Representatives.[459][460]
U.S. Virgin Islands
See also
United States Senate elections, 2010
United States House of Representatives
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For far too long, politicians have been catering to special interests while leaving people in our region to fend for themselves. I'm running for Congress to replace the old-style politics with new-style leadership, by promoting job growth, encouraging health care reform, holding myself to a higher ethical standard and working to strengthen our children's educational opportunities.
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External links
- Candidates for U.S. Congress at Project Vote Smart
- U.S. House of Representatives from OurCampaigns.com
- Congressional Races in 2010 from Open Secrets (campaign contributions)
- 2010 National Congressional Ballot from Pollster.com
- Election 2010 from Rasmussen Reports
- Election 2010 Polls from Real Clear Politics
- House Races in 2010 from CQ Politics